Revenge is not simply a tooth for a tooth or an eye for an eye.
At the lowest cost, to obtain the maximum benefit, that is the most reasonable retaliation.
Khamenei at the funeral of an Iranian official who was killed by the bombing
01
In the past two days, state media reported that Iran has sent a message to the United States through an intermediate country.
Iranians say Iran will not retaliate against Israel as long as the United States can secure a ceasefire in Gaza.
Well, if the Americans don't want Israel to be nervous every day, then let Israel cease fire in Gaza, and the Iranians will give in.
What kind of rhythm is this? The Iranians are "cowardly" again?
This embassy was bombed, and so many high-ranking officers died without retaliation, and this still dares to call himself the boss of the Shiites and the first brother in the Middle East?
Actually, there really isn't much to question whether the Iranians don't coax this.
When it comes to fighting US imperialist hegemony, Iran is the standard doer.
Eight years ago, the Iranian Navy captured a U.S. Navy ship, and the image of more than a dozen U.S. soldiers kneeling on the ground and begging for mercy once made the United States lose face.
In the aftermath of Soleimani's death, Iran launched a massive missile attack on US military bases in Iraq, and the US military said that no one died, only a few concussions.
But in fact, the casualties of the US military were not small, but the Americans forcibly saved their dignity because they just did not want to get bogged down in the quagmire of war with Iran.
Directly attacking US military bases, grabbing US military personnel and forcing them to kneel on the ground and beg for mercy, these two points alone, in the past 20 years, what other country in the world has been able to do?
We are not giving others long-term ambition, and some world powers may not dare to tear their faces so directly.
After all, there are too many calculations and worries about all kinds of pots and jars.
Over the past six months or so, Iran has initially grown into the role of a geopolitical "chess player", coordinating its Shia arc allies, and giving various eye medicine and attacks to the United States and Israel, which is also unprecedented in recent decades.
And the U.S. military is so arrogant in the face of Iran, and the strategic determination of that great power is also quite strong.
From this point of view, Iran's international gaming ability is quite good.
As for why they are always assassinated and dug out of their nests, it is really that there are too many internal leading parties, and the internal is infiltrated like a sieve, and no secrets can be kept.
02
If Iran is really willing to give up retaliation for the sake of peace in Gaza, that's a pretty clever move.
Now the whole world is waiting for how Iran will retaliate against Israel, after all, the embassy was bombed, so many people died, Iran will retaliate to a certain extent, and most countries will not say anything.
Even if there is a large-scale retaliation against Israel, everyone will still not say anything.
Who made Israel so hated these days? Everyone will clap their hands.
Again, Israel has tossed up decades of international popularity in the past few months, and it will have no other value in the future except for making meat on the table.
And now, Iran says that as long as there is a complete ceasefire in Gaza, I, Iran, will not retaliate, forget it.
This moral high ground stands very well and steadily, which makes Iran stand on the moral high ground of Middle Eastern countries again, and the princes of the Gulf should be ashamed of this.
A ceasefire in Gaza is what the world is unanimously looking forward to.
If there are many right and wrong differences in the international community about the fight between the Slavs of Eastern Europe, then the war in Gaza is a completely one-sided condemnation of Israel.
If the war in Gaza really ceases and becomes peaceful because of this move by Iran, it will be a great success for Iran.
This is enough to make Iran the leading big brother in the Middle East.
Speaking of which, the Shiites, who account for one-tenth of the population of the Middle East, are doing a good job and are in full swing, and more than half of the Sunni Arabs, do they really need to reflect on themselves?
More importantly, if a ceasefire is reached, it will also be very good for the United States and the West, and the United States can be regarded as doing a good thing to save its international image, and Lao Bai has also done a good thing, which is conducive to its own election
For Europe, a ceasefire in Gaza can also ease the pressure of public opinion on the people in the country, and it is much easier to worry about not having to balance between Israel and Arab countries.
For the Palestinian people, having escaped the threat of death, they can at least try to live again.
Egypt, another major sufferer, will also breathe a sigh of relief, its canals and tourism, its two main incomes, can be boosted, and there is no need to worry about the influx of more than 2 million Gaza refugees, and can sleep peacefully.
Otherwise, it will be a large-scale retaliation by Iran, Israel will fight each other with more intensity, and the United States will be involved again without paying attention, and it will be the general outbreak of a full-scale war in the Middle East.
It's not a bad thing for most countries, it's just that if you get involved and fall in, the hegemony of US imperialism will be over.
03
Iran's proposal can be regarded as giving Israel a chance, a chance to "be a man."
In fact, it can be regarded as giving Israel a step down.
So will Israel "cherish" this opportunity?
It is almost impossible for Netanyahu to accept Iran's favor.
From the perspective of Lao Hu's thinking, let him cease fighting and cease fire, that is, let him admit defeat, how can he bear it.
In the past two days, he was forced by the extreme pressure of the United States and other parties, and he couldn't fight anymore, so he chose to withdraw his troops, but he was reluctant.
He has been showing a tough stance, and even the day for attacking Rafa has been set, and now it is just a tactical break.
Either way, it's good for Iran as well.
If you refuse peace and love war, then Iran's retaliation will be even more famous and justified, and it doesn't matter if the movement is bigger.
Iran's retaliatory behavior can be raised to several levels, and it is no longer just revenge, but for peace, for peace in Gaza, and for the just act of stopping Israeli aggression.
The actions of the Hu government and the Israeli army in the past few months have fully verified their brutality, madness and bloodshed in the face of civilians, as well as their inward-looking, greedy for life and fear of death in the face of powerful powers.
Although Israel's voice is still tough, its defeat has been doomed since it was forced to withdraw from Gaza.
It will not sign an armistice, it cannot afford to carry out a large-scale offensive in Gaza, and Iranian retaliation will come quickly.
Don't expect Israel to make any wise choices, they're already dazed.
It's basically a road to the dark.
04
Before the war, Israeli society was deeply divided, and Netanyahu was about to step down.
After the war, Israeli society was completely torn apart, and Netanyahu inevitably stepped down and was inevitably liquidated.
Those who cannot escape, all kinds of political groups, organizations, and even the people need to have someone who bears the blame for the defeat of the war.
What about the periphery? Demarcating the borders in accordance with the 1967 United Nations resolution and allowing Palestine to establish a state is something that all parties should strive to move forward.
This means that Israel will spit out at least a few thousand square kilometers of land.
What about Syria? He's going back to the Golan Heights, how can he get it back?
Israel must not want to spit out these lands. Then a new war will soon take place.
It's just that if you understand the Arab coalition forces that Israel has pulled across, you will quickly kill Israel and completely solve the Palestinian-Israeli issue that has existed for nearly 100 years.