As the battle for Gaza continues, Israeli casualties continue to rise, while Israel's economic situation continues to deteriorate. Meantime. The scope of the war is also spilling over, with Allah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen taking the initiative to participate in the war, and even threatening the safety of shipping routes in the Red Sea. Although Israel at this time cannot be said to be in a desperate situation, at least it is in a predicament full of dangers.
(Damascus was bombed, 5 Iranian advisers were killed in the bombing)
In order to get out of the current predicament, Israel has resorted to a series of attacks on targets in Iran and Syria. The bombing on 20 January alone resulted in the deaths of at least five Iranian military advisers and several Syrian military personnel in a single day.
In fact, this is not the first time that Israel has targeted Iran's targets in Syria, since Hamas launched the "Al-Aqsa flood" operation, Israel has been bombing Iran in a targeted manner, not only blowing up a large number of ordinary Iranian military bases in Syria, but even directly killing Iran's liaison with Syria, Sejed-Rasi Mousavi.
On the one hand, Israel has resorted to this method in order to retaliate against Iran, after all, Hamas, Allah and the Houthi are all the "big bosses" behind it. Therefore, only by striking Iran can it be possible to weaken the resistance of these armed factions.
On the other hand, it is in the interests of the United States in the Middle East to strike Iran, so if Iran retaliates against Israel, it is very likely to pull the United States into the water, which can greatly alleviate the pressure it is facing.
(Iran's missiles maintain a strong deterrent against Israel)
Judging from the results achieved so far, Israel has indeed achieved certain goals. The institutions and personnel of the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps in Syria have suffered enormous losses. However, attempts to drag the Americans into the water and continue to invest troops and material resources in the Middle East seem to be frustrating.
In fact, before the start of the war, the US-Israel relationship was in an awkward position because of Israel's "judicial reform". So, after the start of the war in Gaza, the United States could show its support for Israel in complete disregard of morality, but it was much more stingy in terms of military aid, and there was no further aid program beyond the initial $11 billion.
In terms of troop deployment, although the US military still retains the "Eisenhower" aircraft carrier strike group in the region, the "Ford" aircraft carrier strike group has withdrawn to the mainland, and even the "Bataan" amphibious readiness group is currently far away from the land of right and wrong. After all, the United States, which is facing pressure on multiple fronts, still focuses on Europe and the Indo-Pacific region, so it is wishful thinking to want it to focus on the Middle East.
(Yemen's Houthis still maintain a strong fighting force after being attacked by the United States)
Since it is impossible to pull the United States into the water, Israel's continued bombing of Iranian targets is actually a big gamble that Iran will not be directly involved in combat operations against Israel. Judging from the current situation, Israel seems to have met certain expectations.
Because Iran, in the face of repeated Israeli strikes, has taken a relentless attitude in most cases, except for a round of retaliation in mid-January. This is because Iran's current strategic focus is to consolidate internal relations with the Shiite Arc and cut off internal opposition forces, while also preventing a surprise U.S. strike at it. Therefore, Iran has no time to pay attention to the affairs of the Israeli side for the time being, so it has not responded more after facing multiple strikes.
But this does not mean that Iran does not have the ability to counter Israel, knowing that there are enough cruise and ballistic missiles in Iran's arsenal to launch "cross-border air strikes" against Israel. Moreover, the Iranian-backed Hamas, Allah and Houthis are fighting Israel in different ways, and all have great combat power.
(Iraqi anti-American forces)
According to US intelligence estimates, after more than 100 days of fierce fighting, the Israeli army killed only about 20 to 30 percent of Hamas fighters, which means that the "Qassam Brigade" maintains at least about 20,000 fighters. Although the Houthis, which are directly engaged in confrontation with the United States, have suffered several rounds of strikes, only limited losses in their technical equipment and missile launchers, according to US media estimates, only about 20 percent.
In other words, the Houthis still maintain a strong and vital force, as well as a large number of missiles and other technical equipment. And the Allah armed forces, which have been fighting Israel for a long time, can even be said to be unscathed, and the stockpile of 159,000 rockets has not yet been consumed.
If we take into account the large number of anti-American forces amassed in Syria and Iraq, Israel will face many problems in this small area, such as insufficient troops and limited air defense capabilities, in other words, the country's infrastructure related to its national economy and people's livelihood will be put in danger.
(Iran and Israel on the future of war and peace in the Middle East)
It can be seen from this that Israel's wanton bombing of Iranian targets was not so much a successful "big gamble" as Iran's strategic determination that allowed Israel to escape.