Recently, the domestic regulation and control policies for the property market are continuous, and there are three main policies that have aroused great concern from all walks of life: first, the mainland is about to launch a new round of housing reform, and plans to launch 6 million sets of affordable housing in the next five years to meet the housing needs of low-income groups. In the future, commercial housing will account for 40% of the real estate market, while affordable housing will account for 60%. The price of affordable housing is much lower than the price of surrounding goods.
Second, all localities are abolishing restrictions on land prices in land auctions and beginning to implement the bidding method of the highest bidder. According to the data, all the 7 land auctions in Chengdu have been cancelled and the highest bidder has been obtained. In addition to Chengdu, Jinan, Xiamen and other cities also followed. According to experts' predictions, if nothing else, the abolition of land price limits will become the development trend of the national auction market.
Third, various localities have begun to relax restrictions on price reductions for developers. First, Suzhou fired the "first shot" to liberalize the price limit, and then Nanjing, Shenzhen and other cities have also successively released the price limit order for developers, allowing developers to reduce prices and promote according to their own conditions. This can stimulate the recovery of transaction volume in the property market, so that developers can withdraw funds in a timely manner, avoid debt crises in real estate companies, and reduce the occurrence of unfinished buildings.
The introduction of the above three policies shows that the country is really moving this time, which is to promote the complete marketization of the domestic property market and let the real estate market enter the track of sustainable development. For example, the mainland will promote a new round of housing reform and provide 6 million units of affordable housing in the next five years, which is a support for low-income groups in China. At the same time, the price of land and commercial housing has been liberalized in the future, and the market will have the final say. This has played a positive role in reducing the cost of land acquisition for real estate enterprises, as well as avoiding the occurrence of debt crises and unfinished buildings of real estate enterprises.
However, some netizens have raised the question of whether the cancellation of land price restrictions in land auctions will lead to an overall rise in land prices, which will then push up the prices of commercial housing in various places? In fact, the reason why land price restrictions in land auctions have been cancelled in various places is that developers are not as keen on frantically acquiring land as they were in the past. Most developers will decide the cost of their own land acquisition according to the current market situation, and developers will not do anything at a loss. Besides, the land auction market is so sluggish now, even if the land price limit is lifted, there will be no retaliatory rise in land prices.
In the face of the current trend of the real estate market, the well-known economist Ma Guangyuan has already said: At present, the era of real estate as the best investment in China has ended, and the future house will return to residential attributes. In this regard, we also agree with Ma Guangyuan's view. The main reason is that due to the impact of unfavorable factors such as the end of the urbanization process, the decrease in people's income, the acceleration of social aging, and the serious surplus of houses, domestic housing prices will be "stable and falling" in the next few years, and finally achieve a "soft landing", and housing prices will be linked to the income of local people.
Now the question is, after reading the economist Ma Guangyuan's judgment on the future trend of the property market, should ordinary people buy a house? We put forward three suggestions to you: First, if you are a family who just needs to buy a house, you need to settle down, get married, etc., now you can take advantage of the frequent emergence of various favorable policies of the state to find opportunities to buy a house.
Second, if it is an investment family, it is necessary to sell the property in hand now, instead of buying a house easily, and it is very risky to invest in buying a house in the future. Third, if you are a low-income family, don't rush to buy a house now, the country will launch 6 million sets of affordable housing in the future, and the guaranteed housing price will be much lower than that of commercial housing, and the cost of buying a house for low-income families will be greatly reduced.