Abe was shot and killed, and Japan may take the opportunity to play the sad card and warn against NATO's accelerated entry into Asia.
Former Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe was shot and killed, and the news came too suddenly. How does such sudden news affect Japan? What kind of impact will Sino-Japanese relations and the regional situation be on?
On July 8, shinzo Abe died a few hours after being shot while giving a speech in Nara, Japan, and the politician who set a record for the length of a Japanese prime minister's term died in a very sad way. It is worth mentioning that his grandfather, Nobusuke Kishi, was also assassinated during his tenure as prime minister, although he was only stabbed at the time, but the day after the incident, Kishi announced his resignation.
Chinese impression of Shinzo Abe is more of a "right-wing leader." After Shinzo Abe returned to power in 2013, along with the rightward shift in Japanese politics, especially Abe's visit to the Yasukuni Shrine, there was a resurgence of confrontation and friction between South Korea, Japan, and China-Japan relations, and stagnation.
But what few people pay attention to is that when Abe first became prime minister in 2006, he appeared as a "pro-China" faction. In fact, it is not difficult to find that 2006 and 2013 were in different periods of Sino-US relations, sino-US relations in 2006 were actually relatively good, and after 2013, the United States began to contain China's development, such as the United States in 2012 proposed the "Asia-Pacific rebalancing" strategy.
Therefore, Abe's attitude toward China, or the development of the right wing in Japan, often changes with the changes in the US China policy.
However, it is interesting that after Abe entered the palace, he adopted a pragmatic domestic and foreign policy as a whole, and for China, Abe did not blindly oppose China. After 2017, Sino-Japanese relations began to warm up, and on the 40th anniversary of the conclusion of the Sino-Japanese Treaty of Peace and Friendship in 2018, Abe visited China to release positive signals to China, and the two countries basically resumed normal development, of course, the war of words can not be avoided.
Compared with the restoration of Sino-Japanese relations, Abe's attitude toward South Korea is much colder. The Japanese government under Abe's leadership has adopted a so-called "separation of politics and economics" policy against China, and has adopted a "combination fist" of political and economic integration with South Korea, and even broke out a trade war with South Korea, resulting in a further decline in Japan-South Korea relations after 2018.
Of course, this is not to say that Abe is pro-China, but economically, China is more important to Japan, and combined with the time of the recovery of Sino-Japanese relations, it can be seen that it was also the time when "Abenomics" encountered a bottleneck.
"Abenomics" is Abe's magic weapon to get rid of the "short-lived prime minister", although it failed to change the general trend of Japan's economic weakness during the implementation period, but to a certain extent stabilized Japan's economic decline, while opening up Japan's overseas market, a large number of printing money, did not lead to hyperinflation, which made Abe once enjoy a high status among young Japanese people.
On June 15, Abe also demanded a successor to the central bank governor, with the intention of continuing to implement "Abenomics" with massive monetary easing and proactive fiscal policy at its core, Japan's Kyodo News Agency reported.
But whether such a sudden assassination will hinder the implementation of Abenomics remains to be seen. After Abe's assassination, the Nikkei fell in response to the sound, but the yen exchange rate rose, which seems to mean that the assassination will trigger the Bank of Japan's reflection on easing policy, and Japan is likely to tighten monetary policy.
However, because Abe has a huge influence in Japanese politics, and even has the title of "shadow prime minister" after his downfall, there are a large number of Abe followers in the current Japanese political arena, including the current Prime Minister Kishida Fumio, who is closely related to Abe, and his personnel arrangements after he came to power are also very Abe's characteristics, and many important positions are Abe's cronies.
Therefore, the assassination of Abe may have some impact on Japanese politics and Japanese economic policy, and this impact may be small, but the premise is that the LDP does not mess with itself and does not take advantage of the internal struggle for power and profit.
For Abe's assassination, it is the Japanese right-wing forces that deserve vigilance. After the shooting, the Japanese network revealed that the murderer was a far-leftist, and Abe was a leading figure on the right, and the right wing was likely to make a big fuss about Abe's assassination, and it was likely to see various conspiracy theories in the future.
The assassination of the right, which has always aimed at radicalizing political goals that are highly populist, xenophobic and even extreme, is a perfect excuse.
It must be noted that Abe's successors may speed up the process of revising the "Peace Constitution" under the tragic banner of "inheriting Abe's legacy" and accelerate the introduction of external forces into Asia, especially now that Japan has just participated in the NATO summit, it is very worthy of vigilance whether NATO will accelerate its entry into Asia.
