I haven't written the ball in a long time, I admit I'm hungry, small prediction of the second round of the playoffs, the first article to write the Green Bucks
Celtic vs Bucks
The Celtics undoubtedly picked one of the toughest roads to advance (perhaps), and after beating the Commanderless Nets, we also saw the horrors of the Green Army's defensive end
Bucks offense vs Green Army defense
Missing Middleton's Bucks, missing a very important pillar at the offensive end of the high-end innings - Middleton can provide long-range projection that ignores the environment and the ability to organize the backcourt above the level, and when facing the Bulls with a weak defense on the inside, they can solve the problem by dropping ten by letters, but when it comes to the Green Army, this trick may not be good...
The Green Army's face-breaking ability and swipe-assist ability are terrifying (the average of 8.8 steals per game is only lower than the Death Five Small Intercept bonus, and the Heat against the Eagles in the first round), they can use Durant's dribbling habits to intercept him one by one, then I have reason to believe that Alphabet Brother will be treated the same, and I don't think alphabetic anti-intercept resistance is greater than Durant
So Jugo will be under unprecedented pressure in this series, he needs to block Tatum - bouquet will not defend Tatum with letters in non-life moments, and Matthews will be sunk a few minutes after the start of the game; at the same time he will also be responsible for the combing of the entire team on the offensive end; but Holliday can not play 48 or even 53 minutes, what should Holliday rest time Bucks?
Although the Bucks' three-point shooting rate in the first round ≥ 36% of role players up to 5, and even Allen shot 58% of the three-point shooting rate in the first round, the Green Army's defensive intensity and rotational position are geometrically multiples of the Bulls; so it is foreseeable that Matthews' 48% three-point shooting rate in the first round is an imaginary number, and Javin Carter can play more than 8 minutes in the high-end round, and the next thing to see is what kind of performance Portis, Allen and Connaughton can deliver
Given that the Green Army let Mills shoot 4-of-5 in the series against the Nets, as long as the alphabet can pose enough threat on the offensive end, the three-point opportunity left for the Bucks to support the role will not be too bad, but what kind of performance can the alphabet play?
A cursory count of the difficulties encountered by the following letters:
1. Smart, Jaylen Brown's raiding interception
2. The green army's thick forward line and defensive discipline caused by the ball crisis
3. Horford
The first needless to say that Durant encountered the same dilemma; as for the second, the alphabet brother has the ability to pass the ball low to the weak side bottom corner, but when facing the Green Army's blockade, whether the quality of the pass can be guaranteed, how much interference the receiver will be, this is unknown; as for Horford, on the talent -
DDDD Okay... The good news is that Horford is two years old again, the bad news is that Horford is in good shape, the good news is that the impact of the alphabet brother has also gone to a higher level, and the bad news is that the Green Army has Lowe and Gway...
At this time, Portis's response will be particularly important, the Green Army's forward group may unswervingly give up defending Matthews or another pitcher, but in terms of size, it must be the fourth or fifth position, and whether Portis can forcibly take away Gwelow will be the key to the letter reduction plan, and even become an important weight in the balance between the left and the right - after all, the Bucks can dismantle the Offensive method of the Green Army goal board, I am afraid that this is the only one
In addition, there is good news, Middleton may return in the series - will the balance of victory be tilted as a result? Bucks offense vs Green Army defense Compared to Bucks, the Green Army may be a little better on the offensive end, but only a little
Alphabet Big Lobodis will turn the three-second zone into a straight-forward bridge, as long as you go up easily don't think about it, but the same way, the development of the Green Army's three-point opportunity will become simple - but the bad news is that the playoffs' windy Horford is likely to usher in a pullback, and he is an extremely important part of the Bucks' interior defense, and Jaylen's first-round three-point shot is outrageous, outrageous to the point of not believing that one day to pull back...
Figure 1: Jaylen Brown's playoff shooting percentage distribution
Figure 2: The Green Army's main rotation playoff three-point shooting percentage
So, in the above situation, the offensive end of the Green Army almost perfectly fits Budenholzer's formula - because there are many three points, the Bucks seem to be able to afford it
Compared with the complex and sticky defense of the Green Army, the Bucks' defense is more simple and direct, and the method of cracking is relatively single - you can never challenge the letter + Big Lo /Portis combination, you can only rely on projection to let the Bucks break the defense, how much time will the Green Army use to let the Bucks break the defense, and it will also become the key to breaking the balance of victory and defeat, so who will be the weight that breaks the balance of victory and defeat?
Tatum is naturally the most important link in the Green Army's offense, and Tatum can pull down the Bucks defense with one link at a time, and if Horford can successfully complete the containment task, Jaylen's surprise attack will also take effect, and Smart's high-quality pass will be useful
As for why I say Horford instead of Gvi, the strategic significance of the young Gvi when acting as a cover wall, whether it is the ability to respond or the ability to punish misalignment, is indeed not the same as Horford's, and as Lowe's physical condition gets better, Gwe's time may be further compressed
In fact, there is another unique way to crack the Bucks defense, this method DeRozan has been made into a textbook, but most people can't learn it, that is, single-point blasting
Tatum's single-point blasting ability is excellent, but the Green Army has a strange circle - the commander's main offensive ability is not strong (Smat is the head, White is even more), there is no skill point (Tatum) on the commander's skill tree, although Tatum once he enters zone mode, he also has a strong single-point blasting ability, but can he smash the letter like DeRozan with three threats and half pull?
I dare not say, but I am looking forward to the performance of this set of duels
summary
In addition to the duel of the superstars in this series, it is also an internal showdown, is Horford + Tatum first to break the defensive formula of the coach, or Is It portis first to break down a layer of green army goal board to let the alphabet break in? Regardless of corporate culture, the seemingly star-studded and meaningless showdown between Horford and Portis could change the course of the game
Score Prediction:
Bucks 4-3 Green Army (100% Middleton later in the war)
Bucks 2-4 Green Army (100% Middleton can't fight)
The above forecast does not contain any corporate culture factors