Whether to cooperate with NASA on the International Space Station, the Russian Space Agency should now make a decision, whether to continue to cooperate, or to go their separate ways and dismantle the International Space Station, there must be a choice, yes, there will be a result soon.
At 16:50 on April 1, the Russian Satellite News Agency said:
Dmitry Strugowitz, head of the information department of the Russian Aerospace Corporation, said on April 1 that the group's president, Rogozin, will announce the company's position on future cooperation on the International Space Station on April 2.
See? The Russian Space Agency will make a final decision on April 2, when the Russian space agency Rogozin will come out to issue an official statement on whether the International Space Station is really going to be dismantled, and the results will be released on April 2.
Referring to many data, the decision made by the Russian Space Agency is nothing more than three possibilities, one of which is very likely, with a probability of more than 60%.
The space station jointly built by Russia and the United States has spent a lot of effort on Russia
To briefly review the current situation of the International Space Station, the International Space Station was jointly built by 11 countries, but there are only two main builders, one is the United States and the other is Russia, the United States built 7 modules and 1 module, and Russia built 5 modules and 1 module.
Although the U.S. module has the most data, but in terms of its importance, the Russian module is more important, the International Space Station does not have a Russian module, the reason is also very simple, the Russian module is equipped with an engine system, responsible for all the maneuvering operations of the International Space Station.
If the International Space Station is regarded as a giant mothership traveling in outer space, then the Russian module is the power system of the mothership, and it is really impossible to leave it.
The International Space Station was formed in 1999, and by this year, it has now been in operation for 23 years, and if the 15-year life of the space station's module is calculated, the International Space Station should have been retired long ago, and it is now in overdue service.
However, the service life of the International Space Station can be postponed backwards, and many years ago, Russia and the United States planned to extend the International Space Station to 2024, but now it is 2022, and only two years will end.
In December 2021, Nasa Deputy Director Kathy Lueders said it was well known that countries would continue their efforts to extend the international space station's operating life until 2030.
But now, the relationship between the United States and Russia continues to deteriorate, and in the words of the Russian ambassador, "Russian-American relations have sunk into the Mariana Trench". The Mariana Trench is the deepest trench on Earth, reaching a maximum depth of 11,034 meters, which means that Russian-American relations have reached a historical freezing point.
In this case, whether the United States and Russia can continue has become a question, without the Russian module, the International Space Station cannot be extended to 2030. Russian Space Agency Director Rogozin once said: If the Russian Space Agency does not want to extend to 2030, it does not know "how the United States operates the space station."
The decision made by the Russian Space Agency is nothing more than three possibilities
First, Russia and the United States parted ways on the International Space Station, the Russian module is separated from the US module, and the Us module without the power system will most likely crash within a year.
Many scientists said that if the US module really crashed, it would be a big loss for all mankind and not conducive to the development of human spaceflight. The International Space Station is the world's most expensive spacecraft, the brainchild of the United States and Russia, so it is speculated that the Russian Space Agency should be unlikely to make such a decision, and I personally believe that the probability of Russia making such a decision is only 20%.
Second, the Russian Space Agency and nasa continue to cooperate, but the cooperation will end in 2024, not cooperation until 2030, 2024 is the extension date planned by Russia and the United States, this possibility is very large, the probability is more than 60%, after all, the International Space Station construction, the Russian Space Agency has also paid a lot of effort.
Russian Space Agency Director Rogozin also said recently that the Russian Space Agency has been approved by the Russian Federal Government to allow the International Space Station to operate until 2024, and whether it can continue to cooperate after 2024 is a big question mark.
Third, the Russian space agency will not only continue to cooperate with NASA, but also continue to cooperate until 2030, as if nothing happens, which is also possible, but unlikely, personally think the probability is only 20%.
According to what the Russian Space Agency Director Rogozin said before, the Russian Space Agency cannot turn a blind eye to the hostile behavior of the United States, so how can the Russian Space Agency now cheerfully cater to the wishes of the Us Space Agency.
Of course, the Russian space agency did not reject nasa's statement that it would not extend to 2030, so this is very flexible, depending on the US-Russia relationship in 2024, if the relationship improves, cooperation can continue, if the relationship deteriorates, it will no longer cooperate.
Is the Is the International Space Station about to be dismantled? Russia's decision has three possibilities, one of which the most likely one may be postponed to 2024, after all, in the construction of the international space station, Russia has also paid a lot of effort, not to say that demolition is willing, what do you think about it. Interesting and informative scientific content, please pay attention to the only WeChat public account: Interesting Exploration