In the current situation in Ukraine, everyone pays attention to Kiev. Is Kiev really that important? What do you think of fighting a war? You can't look anywhere, and you can't be completely led by news reports. So what to see? The key is to guess the intentions of both sides of the battle, that is, what he wants to do, especially the intentions of the attacking side, which is the most critical.
Let's guess now the intentions of the Russians. The main offensive sites of the Russian army now, Donbass in the east, Kharkov in the north, Zapori in the south, and Kiev in the west, look like they are blooming everywhere and out of order.
When Russia launched a special military operation, it said that the main purpose is to make Ukraine "de-militarized" and "de-Nazismized". One is to fight and knock out his army; the other is to talk about "de-militarizing" and "de-Naziming" Ukraine through political arrangements. Of course, whether it is a fight or a talk, the most important thing is to fight. Where to fight? Kiev is the capital, and laying down the capital is conducive to talks and to the achievement of military objectives through political arrangements.
But the main force and elite of the Ukrainian army is not in Kiev. And even if Kiev is laid and people don't talk to you, you still can't do it. At this time, another goal is involved, that is, the main force, elite and heavy army group of the Ukrainian army. Isn't there an old saying, "Where the land is lost, the land is lost; if the land is lost, the land can be regained."
So where is the main force, elite, heavy army group of the Ukrainian army? Before the war, it was in the eastern part of Ukraine, where the Ukrainian army was almost 100,000 people small. Because of the long-term armed confrontation with eastern Ukraine, the main and elite forces of the Ukrainian army are here, including the "Aydar Battalion" and "Azov Battalion" regarded as neo-Nazi forces, and it is said that there are mercenaries from abroad. At present, the progress of the Ukrainian East to the Russian army is quite limited, and no effort has been made to fight. Find a map here for everyone to see, you may understand. There are three main railways from the hinterland of Ukraine to the Wudong region, one from Kharkiv to here, one to here via Zaporozh, and one to Dnipropetrovsk. Looking at these three locations again, Kharkiv, Dnipropetrovsk, Zaporozhye, there is a north-south railway that runs through these three cities. To fight a war, we must consider mobility and logistics, and railways, roads, and transportation hubs are the most important things. If the Russians controlled Kharkiv, Zaporizhia and Dnipropetrovsk, then the main force of the Ukrainian army in the Wudong region was in a state of encirclement. Then this part of the force will eventually be encircled and annihilated. So is it possible that Russia is taking this step? Let's take a look at the next step. If the war had extended to Dnipropetrovsk, it would have been almost certain.
For Russia, the talks are certainly about talks. But now, the chips in his hands are limited after all. So Ukraine is talking, I'm going to put forward my conditions. If the main force of the Ukrainian army is encircled, then this part of the army will no longer be a chip in the hands of Ukraine, but a chip in the hands of Russia. At this time, I am afraid that the Russian side will be much easier to talk about.
If so, why is the Kiev direction still doing vigorously? Kiev is the capital of Ukraine, of course to be controlled. For the Ukrainian side, it is of great benefit to stir up the "defense war of Kiev". On the one hand, it will establish an image, restore confidence, and restore morale; on the other hand, if the Russian army really falls into the so-called "mud pit of street fighting", Ukraine can be freed from the predicament.
Many people are saying that it seems that the Russian side is a bit "bored" until now, and the battlefield situation is gradually unfavorable to the Russian army. This conclusion came a little earlier, after all, the battle had just been fought for two or three days. If in such a short period of time, the Russian army lost the initiative on the battlefield, which is impossible. In that case, Putin would not be Putin, the Russian army would not be a Russian army, and Russia would no longer be a "fighting nation." Sometimes the temporary calm on the battlefield means that the attacking side is "holding back a big move". What exactly will this "big move" be? Is it a strong attack on Kiev or what is the main force of the Ukrainian army? We can only guess. After all, the information we have is too limited. But in a day or two, I believe the situation will become clearer. #The situation between Russia and Ukraine Last night and this morning ##俄方: Ukraine rejects peace talks Russia resumes military operations #
