Dreams always have to be, in case they come true!
Among the emerging powers, in addition to China's great rejuvenation that has attracted the world's attention, there is another country that also has its own grand ambitions, that is, India. India can be said to have fully possessed the basic qualities of a big country with "ideals, self-confidence and courage".
As one of the "Asian Twin Engines", seeing China leap up in various fields, India, which prides itself on being a good student of the West, is naturally envious, jealous, and secretly competing everywhere.
But the rise of a country is a complex systemic process, the time and place are indispensable, and blind self-confidence is useless. Recently, two more news broke in India, which was shocking.
First thing: India plans to own a space station in 2030, and the Indian media believes that "China can, we can too."
In recent years, the global eye has focused on the space competition between China and the United States, and after the decommissioning of the International Space Station in the next decade, China will become the only country in the world to have a space station.
Due to the poor progress in the space field, India's "limelight" seems to have been all snatched up by China, and it is a bit impossible to sit still. Recently, some Indian media have come out and threatened: Don't just stare at China, India's side is also a good scenery!
According to the Eurasian Times reported on January 17, India's Ministry of Space Development announced that India will launch its first manned spaceflight program "Gaganyan" in 2022. Going forward, India will also embark on more ambitious space programs and build its first space station by 2030.
Not only did they give a vision, but Indian officials also painted a colorful description of what the "Indian Space Station" looked like. The plan may seem like a painstaking effort, but building a space station is no easy task, not to mention that India's current manned spaceflight has not yet succeeded.
So, what is the reason why India dares to boast like this?
It turns out that according to the optimistic analysis of Indian defense expert Nitin Tiku: if you link the history of science and technology development between China and India, you will find that India has been catching up with China quickly - this historical law shows that since China has built a space station, it is not difficult to infer that India will also build its own space station by 2030.
This judgment based on the "laws of history" cannot help but make people stunned. For example, the son of the old Zhang family next door went to tsinghua for three years of junior high school and three years of high school; although my son is a few years younger, he has also studied three years of junior high school and three years of high school, so he can also be admitted to Tsinghua.
If China can do it, will India certainly be able to do it?
In fact, the construction of the space station is an extremely large and complex project, there are many difficult technologies that need to be tackled and broken, and it can be jumped over, and it has been "stuck in the neck" if it cannot jump over, which is not a linear accumulation process. The success of China's space station project is the accumulation of decades since the two bombs and one satellite project.
In Contrast, India's first manned space mission, which was scheduled to launch in December 2020 and July 2021, has been repeatedly postponed, and almost all space launches have been stopped in the two years since the epidemic, for no other reason than that foreign technical experts have not been able to come due to the epidemic.
In the relatively traditional areas of satellite launch, foreign technology can still be relied upon; but when it comes to the construction of a truly sophisticated space station, which country is willing to export its own technology? You can only rely on self-reliance.
So what is the situation in india's "self-reliant" field, look at the second news.
The second thing: an Indian destroyer exploded, killing 3 and injuring 11.
According to overseas network news, on January 18, local time, the destroyer HMS Ranville in India exploded in the cabin of the Mumbai Naval Shipyard, causing 3 deaths and 11 injuries.
In October 2021, the ship participated in a military exercise jointly organized by the United States, Japan, India and Australia, and a fire broke out several days after the exercise, resulting in burns to four crew members.
The same warship, 2 major accidents in 4 months in succession, it seems that India in addition to the "crash plane" fell famous, "bomb warship" is not to mention more.
At this point, here are two simple suggestions for India.
First, ambition also needs strength to support.
Historically, China has been the world's first for more than a thousand years, so China's desire for rejuvenation and rise is rooted in cultural genes, and the inheritance of five thousand years also allows us to have inexhaustible wisdom to govern the country.
We look forward to making progress with other countries, but India wants to emulate China's rise and even "catch up with China", and it is probably not enough to rely on ambition alone, but also needs sufficient strength to support. This kind of power includes both hard power and cultural, political, historical, institutional and so on.
Second, technological breakthroughs should be made steadily.
Rome was not built overnight, and the space station cannot be said to exist.
China's "three-step" strategy for manned spaceflight was approved in 1992, the shenzhou 5 was successfully launched in 2003, and the space station was completed in 2021, which lasted nearly 30 years. Seeing that China has built a space station, India will deduce that it will be able to do it, and this logic may not be established.
Development still needs to come step by step, india might as well first solve the problem of frequent "dropping planes" and "bombing warships", otherwise what if the spacecraft is really launched into the sky and then blown up? At that time, the safety of spacecraft and astronauts in orbit around the world will be endangered!