On the afternoon of December 13, from the high-definition visible light satellite cloud map, when the cold air has been completely southward in China, and many places in the south are covered with large areas of cold clouds, a large number of tropical clouds have emerged in the western Pacific Ocean, especially in the southern South China Sea and the low latitude ocean east of the Philippines, two clusters of tropical clouds seem to have begun to rotate, and the active period of the tropical system here is still continuing.
Among them, the typhoon embryos located east of the Philippines began to show obvious signs of development since yesterday, and convective clouds near the center have erupted in large numbers and begun to gather in the center, and the spiral shape has become more pronounced. Therefore, today the Japan Meteorological Agency announced its development into a tropical storm, naming it Typhoon Rey No. 22 of the year, declaring that this year's typhoon season is not over, and the tropical cloud in the southern South China Sea has been numbered Typhoon Embryo 97W.
Then some netizens will ask, this is the middle of December, how can there be a typhoon, is the climate abnormal? Does this have anything to do with La Niña? In fact, the western Pacific ocean is known as the global "warm pool", and the typhoon in December is very normal, and for now, even in mid-December, on December 13, the western Pacific Ocean still has a large area of warm water with a surface sea temperature of more than 29 degrees, which means that it is still suitable for the development and strengthening of typhoons.
Even, some meteorological agencies believe that this just generated typhoon Rey has the potential to further develop and strengthen in the future - for example, the forecast of the Central Meteorological Observatory believes that typhoon Rey may increase rapidly in the process of moving westward close to the Philippine Islands, and may rapidly develop to a super typhoon of 16 before making landfall in the Philippine Islands. Of course, there are also many predictions that do not support such high intensity, which means that Typhoon Rey is still a very variable typhoon.
Whether it is the forecast of China or other meteorological agencies, the current short-term path forecast for Typhoon Rey is relatively uniform, believing that Typhoon Rey will steadily travel westward, close to the Philippine Islands, may cross the Philippine Islands around December 17, and then enter the South China Sea.
However, after entering the South China Sea, the path of Typhoon Rey may take a turn - many forecasts have pointed out that after Typhoon Rey enters the South China Sea in the future, under the action of factors such as sub-high and south branch troughs, it may turn north in the south-central part of the South China Sea, and rarely close to the south China coast in mid-December, which will become the latest typhoon to affect China, and even do not rule out becoming the latest typhoon in history to land on China's land. At present, the Central Meteorological Observatory has clearly pointed out in the medium-term weather forecast that in the next 10 days, there will be a typhoon in the northwest Pacific Ocean, and will affect the south China Sea around the 18th, which is Typhoon Rey.
In general, Typhoon Rey has been aimed at the South China Sea, and its impact on the south China coast after entering the South China Sea deserves great attention, but in the short term, it is still in the depths of the western Pacific Ocean east of the Philippines, and after it passes through the Philippine archipelago, how the situation will change, how it will be close to China, and whether it will land in China will become clearer.