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The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

author:Hengdian rambles and sings

In fact, the housing prices of county-level cities in Jiangxi are not expensive, but with the tightening of housing loans and the three red lines of real estate development enterprises to inhibit corporate financing, it may also have a certain impact on the housing prices of county-level cities in Jiangxi.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

Today's Fengcheng

If you have to compare Jiangxi, which city has the most expensive housing prices, it must be the provincial capital Nanchang.

For a provincial capital city such as Nanchang itself is an important regional center city, then the probability of a sharp decline in the future property market house prices is not high, but with the improvement of the comprehensive strength of Nanchang, the space for the appreciation of the property market is still a long way.

The migration of people to big cities is the root of the growth of Nanchang in the past. Nanchang's permanent population has now reached more than 6.25 million, and Nanchang's net population inflow in the past 10 years has exceeded 1.3 million.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

Nanchang Honggu Beach

The population of the whole of Jiangxi is generally flowing out, but the population of Nanchang is net inflow, which is reflected in the rapid outflow of the population of Jiangxi county-level cities.

And this part of the population outflow, perhaps more young people in county-level cities, but also county-level cities have the ability and skills of highly educated talents.

For the three economically strong county-level cities in the Yichun area, the distance to Nanchang is too close, and in the past 10 years, all three cities have seen a certain degree of population outflow.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

Leisurely beautiful river water, the most beautiful spring city

These three county-level cities are Fengzhanggao in Yichun District, and these three cities are very close to Nanchang County, and for the future development of Greater Nanchang, perhaps these three cities still have certain opportunities.

According to the data of the 7th Population Census, the population of Fengcheng City has shrunk from 1.33 million in 2010 to 1.06 million in 2020, with a net outflow of 270,000 people.

Gao'an City has shrunk from 810,000 in 2010 to 740,000 in 2020, with a net population outflow of up to 70,000 people.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

Gao'an Station

Zhangshu City has shrunk from 550,000 in 2020 to 480,000 in 2020, with a net outflow of 70,000 people.

Since the distance between Fengcheng and Nanchang County is the closest, the net outflow of population outflows to this area is much higher than that of Zhangshu City and Gao'an City.

From the state of population outflow, then for Fengcheng City, Zhangshu City, Gao'an City, the future property market house price rise space should be small.

After all, population is fundamental to supporting the property market, not to mention the young population.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

A corner of the city

The economic development of Yichun City is very good, after Nanchang, Ganzhou and Jiujiang in Jiangxi.

For the Fengzhang high area, it is the top priority of Yichun's economy.

In 2020, the total economic volume of the entire Yichun area was 278.9 billion, while for Fengcheng City it reached 53.5 billion, Gao'an City 46.8 billion, and Zhangshu City 42.4 billion. The total economic output of the three county-level cities ranks 1st, 2nd and 4th respectively among the 10 districts and counties in Yichun.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

Yichun City in distress

If the total economic aggregate of these three regions is added up and converted, accounting for about 51% of the entire Yichun area, it can be seen that the Fengzhanggao area is the most core economic development highland in Yichun.

For the current Fengcheng City, the current average house price is 0.82 million, while the current average house price in Gao'an City is 0.78 million, and the current house price in Zhangshu City is 0.83 million.

The house prices from these three areas are basically the same as the average house prices in the entire Yichun area, of course, these three areas have a large population and are also the most densely populated and important areas in Yichun.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

Spring Rainbow Square

The development of urbanization for the value of fixed assets in the central urban area property market will inevitably rise, after all, urbanization has brought about the improvement of medical facilities, the improvement of basic education, and even some county-level cities have higher education institutions.

If you look at the distribution of housing prices in Jiangxi county-level cities, perhaps the housing prices in Fengzhanggao areas are very expensive in Jiangxi county-level cities, and for Shanggao County in Yichun Area, the current average house price is only 0.66 million, and Wanzai County is even only 0.58 million.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

County-level city lights

It can be seen that the housing prices in the Fengzhang high area are indeed expensive, and the current house prices in Nanchang County in the Nanchang area are only 10,900.

The gap between housing prices between the two places is not large, but Nanchang County may become an important part of Nanchang Urban Area in the future, so for some young people in Fengzhanggao area, they may choose to settle in Nanchang County, or even choose to settle down in Nanchang Honggutan District.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

Nanchang Tengwang Pavilion

In the past 10 years, for Jiangxi prefecture-level cities, Yichun has the largest outflow of population, and the part with the largest population outflow is the Fengzhanggao area.

With the future development, especially the improvement of the comprehensive strength of Nanchang's central urban area, and accelerating the integration of Nanchang County into the construction of Nanchang urban area, then for the Fengzhanggao area, the population outflow phenomenon may be a little more than in the previous 10 years.

In line with the principle of housing not speculation, for the county-level city of about 8,000 house prices, may really be relatively expensive, but from the perspective of the current price rise in labor material costs, perhaps the price of 8,000 is only temporarily expensive, the future is not expensive.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

The city is dark at night and illuminated

Among the components of the property market price, the land price occupies a large proportion, followed by the cost of building installation.

For the cost of building installation, the scope is now broader, in addition to the most basic civil construction costs and installation costs, there are now additional municipal garden costs and public area decoration costs.

It should be said that now in the city to build a high-quality community, civil installation, municipal gardens, fine decoration, may be converted into a cost per square meter can be as high as 4,000 or so.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

Ecologically livable high-rise residences

With the rise of material costs and the increase in labor costs, there is actually little room for the future decline in housing prices.

The most fundamental factor in the need for groups to settle down is that it is close to the place of work and close to the place where the children go to school, so for the Fengzhanggao area, the future urban construction should be much better than the present.

However, for the Fengzhang high area, from the perspective of county-level cities, the probability of a sharp rise in housing prices is not high. After all, the city energy level is placed there, and the real home in this city is this city, the most real just need group.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

Nostalgia for hometown, the most beautiful hometown people

Fengcheng City, Zhangshu City, Gao'an City and the eastern coastal developed provinces of the city house prices, may have a great advantage, after all, such house prices are relatively very close to the people.

The biggest value of the house lies in the residence, talking about the potential appreciation of the property market prices in these three county-level cities is not large, but the space for value preservation is still large.

The development of urbanization is to solve the problem of the rural population moving towards the city, so as to achieve balanced development and common prosperity.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

Rural imprint

Rural families continue to work outside the home with young workers to get higher salaries, vigorously enhance family wealth, and settle down in the city, is also the accumulation of wealth, the accumulation of wealth.

From a long-term point of view, Fengcheng City, Zhangshu City, Gao'an City and the Greater Nanchang Urban Area are very close, and perhaps the Greater Nanchang Urban Area will also form the Greater Nanchang Metropolitan Area in the future.

The county-level cities around the Greater Nanchang Metropolitan Area will inevitably become the outer second pole of the metropolitan area, that is, satellite cities.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

The wind is flourishing, the new Nanchang

Perhaps in the future, Nanchang's subway traffic will extend to the surrounding county-level cities, and for these three county-level cities, it may be the first month to get the moon near the water.

However, the development trend of housing prices in the three county-level cities may also be the situation faced by the future property market in many county-level cities in Jiangxi Province.

Only by continuously strengthening the central city and vigorously improving the relevant supporting facilities of these three county-level cities will naturally attract the population of surrounding townships to settle in the urban area.

The property market crisis in Jiangxi county-level cities, the potential and future of the property market in Fengcheng, Zhangshu and Gao'an

The capital city of Nanchang

With more population cities, housing prices have greater tension, and with more people, property market assets will have room for appreciation and preservation.

I believe that the future development of Jiangxi Fengcheng City, Zhangshu City and Gao'an City is good, and there should be certain expectations for these three areas.

Personal opinion, for reference only.

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