What does It mean that Biden emphasizes avoiding a new Cold War with China, but then publicly promises to defend Taiwan? The US Government's policy toward Taiwan has always been strategic ambiguity, that is, it recognizes one China and supports Taiwan's self-defense.
On October 22, in an interview with CNN, Biden was unusually tough, and was asked twice whether the United States would protect Taiwan if Chinese mainland attacked. Biden all replied, yes, we have a commitment to this, and Biden also stressed that the United States has the most powerful military in the history of the world. What really needs to be worried about is that China, Russia and other countries may make serious mistakes in their activities. At the same time, Biden also said that he spends the most time with Chinese leaders among all world leaders, and the United States does not want to have a new Cold War with China, and the United States only wants China to understand that it will not change any of our views.
Afterwards, a White House official clarified that the United States did not announce that it wanted to change its Taiwan policy, that is, it still insisted on strategic ambiguity. But from these conversations with Biden, the underlying ideas can still be discerned. The Biden administration believes that the United States has the most powerful military in the world, and neither China nor Russia can compete with the U.S. military. It is not difficult to see from this that Biden is very arrogant, this statement seems to be correct on the surface, the US military seems to be still the most powerful military force in the world, but it depends on where he is and what kind of opponent he fights. The United States has been fighting for twenty years, and has just suffered a crushing defeat and was forced to withdraw.
In addition, several local wars in Asia, such as the Korean War and the Vietnam War, ended in failure. A key factor in its failure was that both wars would have to face the Chinese People's Liberation Army. Then, if the US military competes with the People's Liberation Army in the Taiwan Strait, Biden will face another fiasco, and it may be a key event that will lead to the decline of US hegemony. Now that the mouth cannon is sounding, it is estimated that if you really move your hands, it is more likely that the turtle will shrink its head.
Second, the United States has promised to defend Taiwan, and has placed special emphasis on not allowing the PLA to change the status quo in the Taiwan Strait through force; that is to say, the so-called commitment to protect Taiwan is a cover, and it is only true that the PLA will not be allowed to complete reunification by force. Now the United States regards the Taiwan issue as a trump card to contain China's rise, on the one hand, it can bargain with Chinese mainland and deal with it. On the other hand, it can also extract high protection fees from Taiwan. Therefore, the Taiwan issue itself is like a drug to the United States, it has long been addicted, and once the Chinese mainland unifies Taiwan, the United States will not adapt, and it will also impact the global hegemony of the United States and the image of the United States in the hearts of its allies.
However, Biden must understand that the current situation in the Taiwan Strait is not something that the United States can protect if it wants to protect it, and if the Taiwan independence elements are forced to Chinese mainland and need to solve the Taiwan issue through force, the United States will probably already lose, because do you dare to interfere? Whether the United States has promised to protect Taiwan or not is not important to the Chinese mainland, because this itself is an empty phrase, what is important is the comparison of Sino-US military forces, and one day the US military will find that in the Asia-Pacific region, it is simply unable to confront the PLA, and it will lose any bargaining capital, and sooner or later the Taiwan issue will become a hot potato for the United States and become a card that Chinese mainland beat the United States.
Biden's speech focused on the overall Sino-US relationship, that is, not engaging in a new Cold War, the United States will still confront China in the fields of human rights and ideology.
This is a portrayal of the future confrontation between China and the United States, of course, confrontation is confrontation, but when cooperation is needed, the two sides will still sit down and negotiate seriously, for example, China and the United States still need dialogue and cooperation in the fields of climate change, economy and trade, in fact, we certainly welcome cooperation between the United States and China. However, the United States must confront us, and we are not afraid, the dispute between China and the United States for influence is a long-distance race, and the core factor is the contest between the social systems of the two countries and the level of social management.
If China becomes the most successful country in the world, then it will gain more say in all areas of Sino-US competition, Chinese leaders have said that democracy is not the patent of Western countries, its essence still depends on the government, whether it can solve the problem of people's livelihood, and the people's participation in politics and deliberation, China is walking out of a road of democracy, different from the Western countries. In the case of social rift, racial discrimination, and other problems in the United States are very serious, what the United Nations has done is nothing more than a performance of donkey skills, and finally we evaluate the Taiwan Strait policy of the United States, the important thing is not to see what Biden says, but to see what the United States is doing, Chinese mainland has long mastered, the initiative to solve the Taiwan Strait problem, if the United States dares to challenge the red line of one China, then the armed reunification may come at any time, and then no matter what choice the United States makes, it will end in failure. As the Spokesperson of the Chinese Foreign Ministry said, the willingness of the 1.4 billion Chinese on the Taiwan issue will not end well.