Today is Tuesday, July 6. Chen Shui-bian, who once served as the leader of the Taiwan region and called himself "president," has recently been revived with blood and has actually started running his own media. You really can't look down on him, because Chen Shui-bian will also make progress, and Chen Shui-bian can actually speak a sentence and a half correctly now, for example, Chen Shui-bian said: "Taiwan independence is not something that Taiwan can decide." ”
In this sentence, he is not only stating the facts, but also speaking to the essence of the problem. Why does the United States not support Taiwan independence? Because once Taiwan becomes independent, it will shake the mountain, and the United States must maintain the status quo to deter China. Therefore, many things we cannot judge with such a simple dichotomy as either-or, black and white.
The incident occurred on July 4, local time, when Qiu Yiren, president of the Association for Relations between Taiwan and Japan, who had not appeared for a long time, was interviewed by Chen Shui-bian, a former "president" of Taiwan. During Chen Shui-bian's term of office, Qiu Yiren served as secretary general of Taiwan's "Executive Yuan," "Presidential Office," and "National Security Council," and vice president of the "Executive Yuan." He was also known as the "eternal secretary general" because he served as the secretary general of the four major party congresses of the government and the people's procuratorate.
In the program, Chen Shui-bian asked that Qiu Yiren had opposed the revision of the Taiwan independence party program, but why did he say at an online seminar at Georgetown University in the United States last year (2020) that any pragmatic politician in Taiwan would not promote Taiwan independence unless he was crazy, and that "even if he was like Chen Shui-bian, he would eventually step on the brakes"?
Qiu Yiren was busy explaining: "It is 'inappropriate at this time' to declare Taiwan independence; the DPP's proposition is a goal and an ideal, and it is hoped that it will be realized one day, but it must still be retained at present. Of course, Chen Shui-bian also agreed with him, and then echoed it, "This is our god's main card."
Qiu Yiren further pointed out that the matter of Taiwan's declaration of independence is not something that the Taiwan people themselves can decide; although it sounds cruel, this is a reality, and it is necessary to consider the international situation and possible actions of China. Qiu Yiren said that it is a good thing to promote "Taiwan independence" as a goal, but in fact, if it is done now, it will not only cause everyone to be nervous, but also taiwan's own internal discord, not to mention that China may attack Taiwan because of this, even the United States will also express its opposition.
Qiu Yiren added that from his current understanding, the United States does not approve of Taiwan independence at all, so as a country that wants to promote legal independence, Taiwan is no longer something that the Taiwan people themselves can decide.
Chen Shui-bian, on the other hand, held that after he spoke of "Taiwan China and one country on one side" when he was in power, he should continue to follow Taiwan's national path. Sometimes the international environment only has two steps forward and one step back, but on the whole it is still a step forward, and we cannot always retreat, after all, Taiwan's future and Taiwan's future are determined by Taiwan's residents, and how long will Taiwan succeed if it wants to continue to take the national road of Taiwan? No one knows, but can't give up.
Qiu Yiren went on to point out that the DPP's retention of the goal of "Taiwan independence" has its value, but in reality it is still necessary to consider the international situation, the reaction of the United States, domestic politics, and the reconciliation between reality and ideals. Qiu Yiren said that when he said these words, he was mainly a reminder. Chen Shui-bian replied, "Yes, otherwise some people will misunderstand." ”
The two sides of the Taiwan Strait have been separated for more than seventy years, and it is time for reunification. There has never been a prosperous dynasty in history that is in a state of division, and if the Chinese nation wants to achieve great rejuvenation, it is first necessary to complete the political reunification of the two sides of the strait. National reunification is one of the preconditions for national rejuvenation, but at present, both the Kuomintang and the Democratic Progressive Party on the island of Taiwan are waiting for change, and even if they dare not pursue blatant "Taiwan independence," resisting reunification is the consensus of the two parties and even the whole of Taiwan.
Many young people on the island of Taiwan do not accept reunification under the spell of "Taiwan independence" teaching materials, and those intellectual elites, whether blue or green, do not believe that the CHINESE Communists will rush to reunification, still less do they believe that the mainland will put forward a timetable for reunification.
But in November 2020, in the "14th Five-Year Plan and 2035 Long-term Goals" just released by the mainland, there was a plan to repair the mainland's high-speed rail to Taipei in 2035. If the two sides of the strait have not yet realized reunification, the plan for building high-speed rail cannot be put on the agenda. As Zhang Xiong, a Taiwanese NPC deputy during the two sessions of the mainland this year, said: "2035 or the timetable for the process of the reunification of the motherland." It can be seen that the mainland has grasped the initiative in cross-strait relations and will not let the great cause of reunification drag on indefinitely.
As a reference, we can compare the construction of the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge. Also involved in the construction of the cross-sea tunnel, the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge project began on 15 December 2009 and opened for operation on 24 October 2018, taking a total of 9 years to complete, and it was only after the recovery of hong Kong and Macao sovereignty. In contrast, the construction difficulty of the Taiwan Strait is even higher than that of the Hong Kong-Zhuhai-Macao Bridge. If we push back the construction period by 10 years, then we must realize cross-strait reunification in 2025.
(Image from the Internet)
In 2018, the mainland has amended its constitution, which shows that the window of reunification left by the mainland to Taiwan is not long. If the political forces on the island continue to oppose "one country, two systems" and resist national reunification, then they will lose their last chance to bargain. In the face of the mainland's firm determination to reunify, if the Taiwanese people still fantasize about relying on foreigners to respect themselves and pursue the three noes of "no reunification, no independence, and no force" with an ostrich mentality, then it is really the aspirations of Yan Que an Zhi Honghu.
Reunification is already a set goal, so peaceful reunification or reunification by force is only a matter of choice of means; peaceful reunification may also realize "one country, two systems," and reunification by force can only achieve "one country, one system" in the end.
Since the DPP is now ruling on the island and pursues the concept of "Taiwan independence," they do not even recognize the "1992 Consensus," and the hope for peaceful reunification is even more elusive. In addition, the Kuomintang in the Blue Camp also opposes "one country, two systems," which shows that the plan of "peaceful reunification and one country, two systems, although the cost is the smallest, the possibility is declining.
"One country, two systems" is a great idea, but judging from Hong Kong's practice, there are also many problems. Last year, Beijing enacted the National Security Law for Hong Kong, and this year it revised Hong Kong's election system, all of which are patching loopholes in "one country, two systems." Taiwan's problem is more complex than Hong Kong's, and the original "one country, two systems" plan even allowed Taiwan to retain its troops, and the central government did not station troops. If this is the case, Taiwan's "one country, two systems" will become even more fragile, and it will inevitably be a political crisis that will be faltering.
Taiwan's Kuomintang and Democratic Progressive Party are incompetent political parties, and Taiwan's electoral system is an inferior form of democracy. The people of Taiwan have been fooled by incompetent political parties and vicious systems for decades, and the central government of the mainland has the responsibility and obligation to put things right and untangle the people, so that the people of Taiwan have the opportunity to enjoy the rain and dew of socialism and share the glory and pride of national rejuvenation.
Therefore, if the mainland is unfortunate enough to only use force to promote reunification in the end, it must not dogmatically retain the old plan of "one country, two systems," but will rapidly carry out military control transformation of Taiwan, just as it liberated Tibet in those years. In punishing Taiwan independence traitors, it is necessary to do everything possible to eliminate evil and leave no dead ends, so as to avoid the troubles caused by Hong Kong's failure to carry out decolonization and transformation after its return to the motherland.
Recently, many friends have told me about Taiwan's reunification, such as restoring the establishment of Taiwan Province, returning Kinmen and Matsu to Fujian Province, transferring Dongsha to Guangdong Province, Taiping Island to Sansha City in Hainan Province, dissolving all political parties in Taiwan, and pro-unification figures can join the Communist Party or the Kuomintang Revolutionary Committee and the Taiwan Democratic Self-Government League. Although the island is governed by the Communist Party, local autonomy can be exercised at the county and city levels, so as to preserve Taiwan's local characteristics and is also a spiritual inheritance of another form of "one country, two systems".
Through the dialogue between Chen Shui-bian and Qiu Yiren, many people realized a problem, that is, today's China already has the strength to complete national reunification, and what to do in the end is only to wait for an order. Everything is ready, only the east wind is owed, and this shareholder wind also needs conditions to brew.
As for the integration of Hong Kong and Macao, the formulation of the National Security Law, the revision of the Election Law, and the implementation of the Greater Bay Area integration development plan are already being done by the state.
Everyone will make progress, things in the world are always changing, even people like Chen Shui-bian will tell some of the truth, you say that the world has not changed greatly. The situation that has not changed in a hundred years is also changing.