After last year's US election, Democratic President Joe Biden did not improve Sino-US relations as some people expected, but frequently rubbed the sidelines on the Taiwan issue.
Perhaps out of fear before the end of the day, taiwan's re-elected Tsai Ing-wen administration has also begun to drive fast on the road of "Taiwan independence."
On the Taiwan issue, the United States has flagrantly violated the spirit of the three Sino-US joint communiques and grossly interfered in China's internal affairs, which has put the Taiwan Strait on the brink of war.
Biden
While many Chinese netizens are clamoring for a solution to the Taiwan issue as soon as possible, some experts point out that the United States is still the biggest obstacle to China's reunification. Until China's comprehensive strength is inferior to that of the United States, it is better to postpone the settlement of the Taiwan issue.
So we really have to ask, is the United States really an obstacle that China cannot overcome on the issue of reunification? Does it have to wait until a few years later, when China completely crushes the United States, before it can usher in the day of the reunification of the motherland?
Taiwan
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="6" > the economic gap between China and the United States has narrowed at this stage, but the comprehensive strength is still huge</h1>
At the economic level, the total GDP of the United States has long accounted for more than 40% of the world, and even if it has declined, the UNITED GDP will account for 24.7% of the world in 2020; while the second most developed European Union on the earth accounts for only 17.9%, and Japan is less than 6%.
In terms of science and technology, the United States has obtained more than half of the world's high-tech patents, and the number of Nobel laureates accounts for nearly half of the world's total. As for military power, the United States has 10 nuclear-powered aircraft carriers in front of it, and its total tonnage of ocean-going warships exceeds that of other countries' navies combined.
U.S. stealth aircraft are all capable of actual combat, and the Air Force's combat effectiveness is almost superior to that of other countries combined.
And that's not all: The United States has the world's most powerful agricultural production capacity, the largest number of comprehensive universities and research institutions, and the most powerful cultural dissemination capabilities; these may seem less aggressive, but they are enough to make other countries envious.
U.S. stealth aircraft
However, the powerful national power of the United States has not benefited the people of the world, but has used it as a bullying capital for its ruling class. Since World War II, in order to maintain hegemony, the United States has constantly created conflicts and troubles around the world. Related to China, there is interference in the Chinese civil war, aggression against Korea, and aggression against Vietnam.
Both the War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea and the War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Vietnam were wars of self-defense and counterattack waged by China in order to maintain its peripheral security and had no choice but to fight against the US military when its own strength was weak.
The reunification of Taiwan will be the military power that the Chinese central government must exercise to safeguard national reunification. However, the United States has never given up Taiwan, but has intensified its use of the Taiwan issue to contain China's rise.
In every respect, powerful U.S. imperialism is China's greatest enemy in achieving its rise and national reunification.
The strength of US imperialism has also been deeply experienced by the older generation of Chinese soldiers who have experienced wars at home and abroad.
U.S. military might
In the early 1950s, the U.S. Seventh Fleet had fallen from the pinnacle of World War II, so that during the Korean War, only a few cruisers and destroyers could be used in East Asia; but the naval power that could not be lined up at all during World War II completely cut off the People's Liberation Army's passage across the Taiwan Strait.
Later, the United States armed the remnants of the Kuomintang army in Taiwan under various names, making it have a relatively powerful naval and air force combat capability.
The leaders of new China are well aware that the gap in military strength between China and the United States is superficially huge, but in fact it is due to the weakness of the old China for more than 100 years, which has led to China's political, economic, and cultural backwardness.
Therefore, after more than 70 years of arduous efforts, the Chinese people have finally brought China's national strength to a level close to the level of great rejuvenation.
China
China's total GDP in 2020 is equivalent to 70% of that of the United States[1], surpassing its rivals at any time in history.
For example, in the most powerful period of Japan, its total economic output was only more than 50% of that of the United States, and the total economic volume of the Soviet Union would not exceed 30% of that of the United States.
Even more frightening is the decline of Japan and the Soviet Union after they reached their peak, while China's current growth momentum is still strong. Even U.S. experts believe that China's economy will surpass that of the United States in a decade at the latest.
The world's largest economy , the United States
But Chinese know that even if China's total economic volume reaches the first place in the world, the per capita value is far below half of the benchmark line of developed countries.
What is more serious is that the strength of the United States is comprehensive, not only looking at GDP and naval and air combat capabilities. Even if China can become the world's first economic power in ten years, there is a gap of more than 30 years between our high-end manufacturing industry, basic scientific research capabilities, and higher education level and the entire Western camp.
And in the process, Americans naturally do not sit still. They know that as China's economy grows rapidly, the resources needed will increase dramatically. With the earth only so big, China must snatch meat from their mouths.
Therefore, in the next few years, the external pressure on China's economy will be unprecedented.
China's chips rely on imports, and high-end technology lags 30 years behind the West
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="14" > China is really stronger than the United States, will Taiwan take the initiative to return</h1>?
It is precisely because China cannot achieve the comprehensive national strength of the United States in a short period of time, so now they have the ability to interfere in China's internal affairs, and China is powerless to fight back.
This is also the psychological basis for Tsai Ing-wen and the like to be able to hold the thighs of the United States so stubbornly and go black in the only way in Taiwan.
Although optimistically looking at China's comprehensive national strength is approaching the United States year by year, one day we will be able to crush the United States.
Central America
Those who believe that as long as Chinese mainland surpass the strength of the United States, the Taiwan issue can be resolved in a natural way, they are likely to be misled by the so-called East German experience.
As we all know, in the late Cold War, the strength of East Germany in all aspects was crushed by West Germany, and the vast number of East German people have long changed their minds.
After the Soviet Union relaxed its grip on the Eastern European Union in 1986, the People of East Germany decisively voted with their feet and broke through the obstruction of the East German authorities to rush into West Germany. Eventually, the East German government had to declare its borders open, and the fall of the Berlin Wall became an important sign of the end of the Cold War.
The Berlin Wall fell
But by analogy, the insurmountable gulf between China and the United States is ignored.
As pointed out above, even if China's economic strength exceeds that of the United States, there are many indicators related to people's personal happiness, such as per capita income, per capita education level, per capita social security, etc.;
China still has a huge gap with the United States and other Western countries. Moreover, after Experiencing so-called democratization, Taiwan does not aspire much to the mainland's political system. In this way, even if China truly becomes the world's largest economic power, it is not so optimistic about the ability of Taiwan's individual people to attract people.
Taking a step back, at that time, the Taiwanese people all have their hearts set on the mainland, and they simply cannot vote with their feet. The reason could not be simpler: the Taiwan Strait is not the border between the two Germanys.
Taiwan strait
As long as the Taiwan authorities blockade the Taiwan Strait and prevent cross-strait civil aviation traffic, then only a few brave people in the Taiwan people can cross the strait by their own strength and express to the outside world the aspirations of the people of Taiwan.
There are huge risks in this, and most people in Taiwan will still choose to settle for the status quo, and at most they will be bitterly awaiting change.
Individual Taiwanese people are incapable of expressing their political demands, so can we pin our hopes on Taiwan's political groups? Or, with Chinese mainland clearly surpassing the United States, can pro-continental groups come to power through political elections? The answer, too, is difficult.
The reason is very simple: at present, whether it is the Kuomintang or the Democratic Progressive Party, the well-being of the people of Taiwan is not at all their concern; the starting point of their policies is only to safeguard their personal interests.
Taiwan's Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Tsai Ing-wen
Obviously, in the case of their current agents of US imperialism in Taiwan, their personal gains will certainly exceed the political gains that Chinese mainland after reunification; this is best reflected in those high-ranking Kuomintang officials who fled Taiwan or fled abroad.
Moreover, although Taiwan is now claimed to be a democratic politics, the tragedies in Germany and Spain in the 1930s have proved that if the ruling authorities, with the support of strong foreign aid, can openly tear up the democratic consensus.
Not only can the results of the election be overturned, but there can also be political persecution of the groups that have been elected.
Elections in Taiwan
To put it simply, it was not who had more votes than who had more votes at that time, but whose fists were hard. Under the circumstance that the Taiwan independence forces already have deep roots and far-reaching influence in Taiwan, it is impossible to turn things around by relying solely on democratic elections, and in the end, I am afraid that we will have to rely on the mainland to intervene in order to give the Taiwan reunification faction a head start.
Although the average GDP of Chinese exceeds that of the United States, the above problem may not exist. However, in this process, how many stumbling blocks the United States will give us, and it is unimaginable how much we will pay for the future reunification of Taiwan.
Not to mention that waiting for China's national strength to surpass that of the United States can successfully resolve the Taiwan issue, the time cost will also be too heavy.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="23" > Taiwan issue is China's internal affair</h1>
Although the comprehensive national strength of the United States can still create trouble for China's reunification of Taiwan, China is not without a way.
What is interesting is that the greatest favorable external conditions for our ability to reunify Taiwan are actually the set of international laws that the Westerners themselves have developed and the United Nations framework advocated by them.
The overwhelming majority of countries in the world, including other permanent members of the UN Security Council, agree with the one-China principle; Taiwan cannot participate as a sovereign state in most international institutions, including the United Nations.
Permanent member of the United Nations
Under the propaganda of the Chinese government over the years, foreign people have recognized that Taiwan is a part of China, and the proportion of the Taiwan issue in China's internal affairs has risen rapidly.
There is an old Chinese saying that if the name is not correct, it is not smooth, and the great emperors or commanders of ancient Europe also emphasized that a teacher must be famous. China's reunification of Taiwan is reasonable in any historical context and conforms to all international laws and international conventions.
Moreover, China is a permanent member of the UN Security Council, and even if China uses force against Taiwan, the United States has no way to obstruct it within the framework of the UN.
Since China's reunification of Taiwan is the trend of the times and the aspiration of the people, even if forced to use force in the future, there is absolutely no reason for the Taiwan military and people to fight to the end as bloody as they resist foreign aggression. And even if the United States interferes in Taiwan by force, they must first make preparations in public opinion and prove that the mainland is an aggression against Taiwan, which in itself will consume a certain amount of time.
Cross-strait reunification is a matter of concern to the will of the people
Because the United States is a global empire, when the People's Liberation Army has begun to land, the military power that the United States can mobilize is very limited. By the time the large US troops arrived in the Taiwan Strait, I am afraid that the Platon Army would already have taken control of the whole of Taiwan.
Then, without comparing the gap between the two sides in advanced aircraft and warships, they asked the Americans whether they dared to send the army to land and fight a land war with the Platon Army.
Therefore, while considering the issue of the United States interfering in our reunification with strong national strength and military strength, we can also make full use of the theory of the Americans and attack the shield of the son with the spear of the son.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="28" > resolve the Taiwan issue as soon as possible and help China completely surpass the United States</h1>
Rather than discussing whether China can complete reunification before surpassing the United States, we may wish to consider the question in reverse:
If we recover Taiwan in a short period of time, will it allow China's national strength to be further developed, thus further narrowing the gap with the United States?
On the surface, the current reunification of Chinese mainland and Taiwan has simply realized the integration of the two economies into one. At present, Taiwan's total economic output has not been as good as before, and even the duplication of cross-strait data has been reduced.
But we should take into account that at present, both the mainland and Taiwan actually want to further open up each other's markets. That is to say, both sides currently have their own strengths and have their own needs.
Trade between China and Taiwan
However, the political antagonism between the two sides of the strait, especially the perverse acts of the DPP authorities, has led to the failure of the cooperation that should have been achieved between the two sides of the strait.
If this part of potential cooperation can be translated into results, the GDP created is absolutely unlimited.
After the reunification of Taiwan, our side can also carry out rapid transformation of Taiwan.
At present, although Taiwan's economic development achievements are still remarkable, most of its infrastructure is based on the foundation before the 1980s.
At present, many public facilities in Taiwan have been seriously aged, and even have a power shortage every year, and the Taiwan authorities are unable to improve them.
After the reunification of Taiwan, the central government can lead a new round of infrastructure construction in Taiwan and enhance Taiwan's overall economic efficiency. At the same time, it can also promote the development of the mainland power, steel and cement industries.
Infrastructure in Taiwan
At the same time, as a developed economy, Taiwan itself naturally has a lot of experience worth learning from. If its advanced industries blossom everywhere in the mainland, they will naturally achieve win-win cooperation.
In addition, if the two sides of the strait realize the reunification of China's southeast coast, there will be no possibility of war, then the external factors that previously plagued Fujian's development will disappear. At the same time, foreign investors will also prefer the Chinese market, because they no longer have to worry about war or civil strife in China.
This will allow us to better attract foreign investment through Hong Kong and Taiwan. Once Taiwan is reunified, Western countries have no intention of confronting China and seeking comprehensive cooperation. In this way, many industries that are now suppressed can be developed, and China's comprehensive rejuvenation will be just around the corner.
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="34" > strength is not equal to combat strength, China should strike in time</h1>
Although the comprehensive strength and military strength of the United States are still above China, we still have a long way to catch up. However, human history has long proved that national strength is important but not equal to everything, and there are many examples in history of the defeat of one side with strong national strength over the other, or even the annihilation of the other side.
Therefore, although the national strength of the United States is strong, it does not mean that we must be afraid of it; it is even more unnecessary for purely mechanical competition to compete for comprehensive national strength, so that we are cocooned and bound.
Those who firmly believe that China's comprehensive national strength can only reunify Taiwan after it surpasses that of the United States; Chinese history can give them a good counterexample.
Zhao Kuangyin
After the establishment of the Northern Song Dynasty, the national strength of the Northern Song Dynasty at that time far exceeded that of the Liao State, and the soldiers in the founding period were not lost to the Liao Army. But Zhao Kuangyin was indecisive and exaggerated the gap in military strength between the two countries. He actually sat in the palace and built a "pile vault" to hoard gold.
He planned to use these treasures to redeem Yanyun Sixteen Prefectures, or to recruit enough dead soldiers to cut down the Liao. However, after the death of Zhao Kuangyin, the national strength of the Northern Song Dynasty was still thriving, but the military strength was no longer able to rise. Not only failed to solve the problem of Yanyun Sixteen Prefectures in the north, but instead dragged out a Western Xia problem in the northwest.
This is why we cannot wait until China surpasses the United States before we can discuss the Taiwan issue.
Because the United States, which is still strong in the process of dragging on, can completely create more trouble for China and let China fall into the predicament of multi-front operations.
U.S.-China relations
Those who believe that the second elder must be stronger than the boss to make a difference, and the German Navy after the outbreak of World War I is also a counterexample.
At the beginning of the First World War, in terms of combat strength on paper, the British Navy was still the world's leading player. But according to the shipbuilding plan of 1914, it was not entirely impossible for the Germans to achieve their goal of surpassing Britain.
However, after the outbreak of World War I, Germany had to reduce its shipbuilding plan because of its larger land battlefield. The gap between Germany and Britain on the main battleships did not narrow, but increased rapidly.
German Land Warfare
But at this time, heaven still gave the German Navy a chance, that is, the new British ships had a series of accidents, and at the same time transferred three capital ships to the South Atlantic; thus making the gap in the number of capital ships between Britain and Germany reach a record low of 22 to 20.
However, the German leadership still believed that it was necessary to wait for the strength of both sides to change to the advantage of Germany before going to an all-out war, and the result was that the day did not wait until the defeat.
Therefore, national strength is not equal to the combat strength of the army, and the combat strength of the army is not necessarily equal to victory or defeat on the battlefield.
As far as the causal relationship between the unification of Taiwan and China's national strength surpassed that of the United States is concerned, if the PLA is not strong enough to rush across the sea and fail to fight, and thus attract severe economic sanctions from Western countries, the gap between the national strength of China and the United States may widen.
Pla
But as long as the PLA forms the established facts of the recovery of Taiwan, the Western countries will eventually have to recognize the result; and then bargain with China again over its economic interests in Taiwan.
The only way they can attack China is, I'm afraid, is to boringly calculate the gap in military power between the two sides and conclude that China should not have won.
Therefore, as long as we grasp the opportunity and strike decisively when the United States encounters a major crisis in international affairs, after the completion of cross-strait reunification, we will no longer be afraid of any means used by the United States.
This is the mentality that we should really have when facing the Taiwan issue. Instead of being afraid of the feelings of the United States all the time, let the United States continue to use the Taiwan issue to trap China's hands and feet.
< h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="40" > references</h1>
[1] Authoritative Express| China's GDP exceeded 100 trillion yuan for the first time in 2020. Xinhua
History Office, People's Education Publishing House. "Senior High School Textbook: Modern and Contemporary World History". People's Education Press. In 2001
[3] Pride of the German Empire: The High Seas Fleet's 30-year achievement as the second largest in the world. Phoenix Network Information