The more incompetent you are, the less you know your own incompetence——— the Dunning-Kruger effect

There is an old Chinese saying that "newborn calves are not afraid of tigers", a saying that is clearly praised and derogatory, and is often used to describe the newcomers who are "fearless of the ignorant". However, there are also many people who love to understand the positive meaning out of the favor or simple joke about small probability events.

However, the logic behind this phenomenon has nothing to do with positive meaning.

Because it only says one thing:

The more incompetent a person is, the less aware he is of his own incompetence.

The double dilemma of this incompetence is the "Dunning-Kruger Effect" in cognitive psychology.

The Dunning-Kruger effect is essentially a phenomenon of cognitive bias, which refers to the fact that people with insufficient abilities are easily immersed in self-created "illusions" and "advantages", and they will neither overestimate their own ability levels nor objectively evaluate the abilities of others.

From cognitive bias to return to reason, people generally go through three stages: the mountain of fools, the valley of despair, and the slope of enlightenment.

For example:

When a person is not yet started with work, he will feel a little nervous in the face of the unknown, but once he gets started, he will soon feel good about himself, not only thinking that he has seen through it, but also loves to point fingers at others——— so he trotted up the Mountain of Fools.

When he was full of confidence and felt that he was about to reach the top of the mountain, he found that he was actually thousands of miles away from the real master, so he fell down, as if falling into the valley of despair.

After that, put away the foolishness, return to reason, begin to regain awe of their work, and climb the slope of enlightenment. (See figure below)

After the example is finished, some people may say: Then I followed the master at the beginning, and didn't I have to climb this "mountain of fools"?

Not necessarily.

First of all, the master does not necessarily want to work with you——— is not "looking down", it may simply feel that the efficiency is too low, the cost of communication is too high; secondly, even if there is a chance to work with the master, but before establishing a complete understanding of the industry and the work, all you see is the few minutes in front of the stage - a report, a speech, a negotiation.

At first, you will feel amazing, but if you have a little longer time and your ability has not improved, you will feel: What is so difficult about this? I can go too.

Therefore, if you want to avoid the cognitive bias of the Dunning-Kruger effect, there is actually no shortcut, even if you are lucky enough to join a high-level team at the beginning, it is absolutely indispensable to "harden the wall, fight a stupid battle" link. That is, after the fresh energy, you can still maintain a lot of repetitive training, and while doing deep, widen your cognitive boundaries.

If you don't believe it, you can ask the masters around you, everyone has come this way.