After Tsai Ing-wen of the Democratic Progressive Party came to power in 2016, cross-strait relations fell to a freezing point. Tsai Ing-wen's early "cultural Taiwan independence" route successfully independentized public opinion on the island, allowing her to successfully win 8.17 million votes in 2020, kidnapping the direction of the entire Taiwanese society. Tsai Ing-wen was born in the Kuomintang and is the heir cultivated by Lee Teng-hui. There is an obvious gap between Tsai Ing-wen's proposition and the "de jure Taiwan independence" put forward by the DPP in the early years, and what she really hopes is to revive the "two-state theory" put forward during the Lee Teng-hui period and establish her own new exposition on this basis. In her speech on October 10 this year, Tsai Ing-wen has clearly stated her "two-state theory," breaking the bottom line between the two sides of the strait and bringing the smoke of war closer to the sky over the Taiwan Strait again. The situation in the Taiwan Strait is once again in a critical situation, and the specific situation will be slowly revealed.
Tsai Ing-wen publishes Tsai's "Two-State Theory"
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="6" > Lee Teng-hui's "two-state theory."</h1>
At the beginning of his term of office, lee teng-hui deliberately built himself into a practitioner of China's reunification in order to eliminate the dispersion of power within the KMT and realize his ambition to become a monopoly of the family, so as to confuse the masses. In the early nineties of the last century, he put forward the "Program for National Unification" and established the "National Unification Committee" within government organs, under the banner of seeking national unity. In the "National Unification Program" promulgated in February 1991, it was clearly stated at the beginning of the book: "China's reunification, in seeking the prosperity and strength of the country and the long-term development of the nation, is also the common aspiration of Chinese at home and abroad." This sentence was also Lee Teng-hui's favorite political slogan in various public occasions, and this had a strong appeal to the Chinese on the island at that time who had an emotional attachment to Chinese mainland, and Lee Teng-hui thus sat firmly in the first chair on the island. This is because the principles within the "Program for National Reunification" stipulate: "Both the mainland and Taiwan are Chinese territories, and it should be the common responsibility of Chinese to promote national reunification." This document, also known as Taiwan's version of the one-China principle, played a positive role on both sides of the taiwan strait at that time. The adoption of this document is also considered by later generations to be the basis for the two sides in the Taiwan Strait to meet and reach the "1992 Consensus," and the two sides have thus opened up a good situation.
Lee Teng-hui declared his support for reunification
Lee Teng-hui carried the insidence and deceitfulness of the Japanese who came to Taiwan during the Period of Japanese Colonialism in Taiwan; he chose to support reunification for the sake of power, and when the power was completely in hand, he naturally changed his face. In 1993, Hao Baicun, who was a general who had entered the society, was violently harassed by Lee Teng-hui and the Democratic Progressive Party in the legislature, and resigned from his post as head of the administrative organ in anger. Since then, Lee Teng-hui has lost the last restraint and reached the peak with all his might. He no longer needs to disguise, no longer needs to pretend to support reunification in order to please. In 1994, Lee Teng-hui was interviewed by the famous Japanese writer Sima Liaotaro, in which he put forward his views on Taiwan independence and related fallacies such as the so-called "Kuomintang during the two Chiang Kai-shek periods was a foreign regime." His fundamental starting point is the colonial thinking that remained during Japan's rule over Taiwan. What is different from the traditional Theory of Taiwan independence is that Lee Teng-hui himself, out of the consideration of continuing his power, has wrapped up a gorgeous cloak in his theory of Taiwan independence, making it even more confusing. For example, terms such as "localization," "Taiwan consciousness," and "the voice of the Taiwanese people" are all props that Lee Teng-hui deliberately threw out to disrupt cross-strait relations. They all seem to be neutral words, but they all imply an intrinsic interpretation of Taiwan's differences from the mainland.
Lee Teng-hui met with Sima Liaotailang
In 1995, Lee Teng-hui was suddenly allowed by the US side to go to his alma mater, Cornell University in the United States, to give a speech, which was a provocative act that seriously trampled on Sino-US relations. In the course of his speech at Cornell University, Lee Teng-hui also continued to frantically test cross-strait relations, so much so that it triggered a major crisis between the Taiwan Straits. In 1996, the mainland held military exercises on the southeast coast. At that time, the island of Taiwan was full of noise, prices rose sharply, stock prices fell sharply, and people frantically cashed out to buy gold and daily necessities. The families of top brass even packed the airport's waiting halls, ready to fly overseas. Although the mainland did not have a large-scale aircraft cruise that year, it really frightened the island of Taiwan. Even such tensions did not hinder Lee Teng-hui's taiwan independence process, and he secretly set up a policy research group on the island of Taiwan in 1997 and brought in many young scholars in the legal and political fields in the Taiwan region. When she was young, Tsai Ing-wen was an important researcher in this group, and according to later circumstances, this task force was responsible for concocting the "two-state theory."
In 1996, the Taiwan Naval Exercise
The year 1997 had a special significance for China, Hong Kong returned to the motherland, one country, two systems from writing to practice, Chinese used their wisdom to solve this long-pending issue. However, on the island of Taiwan, there is a dark tide, and the "two-state theory" is in the process of being formulated in an intense manner. On 9 July 1999, Lee Teng-hui, accompanied by Cheng Jianren, then head of the news department, was interviewed by a reporter from Deutsche Welle. Lee Teng-hui formally proposed that "cross-strait relations are positioned in special state-to-state relations." As soon as this remark came out, it immediately caused an uproar on both sides of the strait, and this is the infamous "two-state theory." After putting forward the "two-state theory," Lee Teng-hui was unanimously attacked by compatriots from all walks of life on both sides of the strait who were bent on reunification, and he became a true "godfather of Taiwan independence." This was also the first "confrontation of reunification and independence" between the two sides of the strait in legal terms since the kmt's defeat in Taiwan in 1949. The reason why Lee Teng-hui put forward the "two-state theory" at that time was, on the one hand, to carry out his long-cherished wish for many years and to sever the ties between Taiwan and the mainland. Secondly, for more practical reasons, he hoped that his term of office would be extended through tensions and further asserted power. Lee Teng-hui was unable to achieve re-election after his successful re-election in 1996, but his desire for power did not die, and he proposed a case for the extension of his term of office in early 1999. He deliberately created chaos between the Taiwan Straits in order to allow his re-election plan to cross the border in the highly tense environment of the Taiwan Strait. But what he did not expect was that after he put forward the "two-state theory," the United States was also very dissatisfied. The United States directly exerted pressure on Lee Teng-hui, causing Lee Teng-hui to reluctantly withdraw his re-election motion and completely step down in 2000.
Lee Teng-hui and the two-state theory
<h1 class="pgc-h-arrow-right" data-track="20" > Tsai Ing-wen revived Lee Teng-hui's "two-state theory."</h1>
Because the DPP officially came to power in the Chen Shui-bian era, the relevant policies proposed during the Lee Teng-hui era all faced the risk of being corrected. At the beginning of his rise to power, Chen Shui-bian made a political commitment of "four noes and one noes," the most important two of which were: "Independence will not be declared." There is no question of abolishing the National Unification Programme and the National Unification Council. However, with the vicissitudes of the political situation on the island, Chen Shui-bian's Taiwan independence drama has been constantly staged, and the two sides of the strait are once again facing a critical moment of turmoil. In 2006, during his second term, Chen Shui-bian violently reneged on his political commitments by freezing the National Unification Program and the National Unification Committee. This is undoubtedly another heavy blow to relations in the Taiwan Strait, and it is also the first time that the mainland has dealt with tensions between the Taiwan Straits since the promulgation of the "Anti-Secession Law." However, soon a case of corruption and malpractice by Chen Shui-bian was set off on the island of Taiwan, which made him no longer have the strength to stir up trouble between the two sides of the strait, and the two sides of the strait did not reach the point of sword-rattling.
Chen Shui-bian Announces the Freezing of the "National Unification Program"
As the main concoctor of Lee Teng-hui's "two-state theory," Tsai Ing-wen is very familiar with the contents of the "two-state theory." Although Tsai Ing-wen is now the leader of the DPP, she only joined the DPP in 2004. Her theory is different from the traditional DPP's "de jure Taiwan independence" and is more inclined to Lee Teng-hui's "two-state theory." The fundamental goal of the "cultural Taiwan independence" she pursued after coming to power was to truly realize the resurrection of the "two-state theory," and she wanted to evolve her own theoretical exposition on this basis. In 2020, Lee Teng-hui passed away, and Tsai Ing-wen completely inherited his mantle. She first put forward the "neighborly theory" to test the bottom line of the two sides of the strait, and now she officially presented Tsai Ing-wen's version of the "two-state theory" in her speech on October 10. The words of this declaration are sharper and more delicate and specific, and directly point out that "the two Chinas are not subordinate to each other." This is completely stepping on the red line of cross-strait relations.
The situation in the Taiwan Strait has heated up
It is worth noting that lee teng-hui put forward the "two-state theory" in 1999, Chen Shui-bian's freeze on the "National Unification Program" in 2006, and Tsai Ing-wen's speech today all occurred during their second term of office. At this time, they no longer have the pressure to run for re-election, and they can more brazenly create chaos and uneasiness and constantly harm cross-strait relations that have been torn apart. Tsai Ing-wen's measures are particularly abhorrent, because she has kidnapped the public opinion of the entire Taiwanese society, built her Tsai's "two-state theory" on the basis of the entire Taiwanese society, and blackmailed the people to respect themselves. However, this series of risky moves actually brought the entire people of the Taiwan region to the brink of war, as Qiu Guozheng, head of Taiwan's defense department, said: "This is the most dangerous time in the Taiwan Strait forty years." "The clouds of war between the two sides of the strait are likely to heat up again because of Tsai Ing-wen's speech on October 10, and even reach a critical point."
Tsai Ing-wen and Lee Teng-hui
After Lee Teng-hui and Chen Shui-bian created a cross-strait storm, the United States would often come out at the first time to cool down. Because what Americans want to see is the highly tense Taiwan Strait, not the Taiwan Strait, which is flooded with warships and military aircraft. They hope to exert extreme pressure on the Taiwan issue, make Taiwan fall to the United States and become a dumping ground for US weapons, and at the same time curb the mainland's development, but they do not want to see a real war break out between the two sides of the strait. However, after Tsai Ing-wen's speech, the US side was very calm. Tsai Ing-wen even announced her "two-state theory" in front of Sun Xiaoya, director of the Taipei office of the American Association in Taiwan. This is a completely different place from Lee Teng-hui and Chen Shui-bian. This also seems to indicate that the United States is likely to have received relevant reports in advance, and they have also acquiesced to Tsai Ing-wen's outrageous behavior. Although the United States' frenzied attitude is now slowing down, its intention to disrupt East Asia and the Taiwan Strait has not changed. It can be said that how the mainland side treats this speech of Tsai Ing-wen will also play an important role in the future Sino-US game.
Sun Xiaoya, director of the Taipei office of the American Institute in Taiwan
The Chinese nation is an ancient nation with a long history, and it has experienced countless great winds and waves. We love peace, support reunification, and attach importance to flesh and blood affection. However, the words and deeds of the DPP authorities have gone beyond the scope of the red line and have become the rebellion of this ancient nation. The punishment of rebellion requires the use of heavy codes, which is also a valuable experience that history tells us. Chinese people have wisdom, patience, courage and courage. Taiwan's Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) Taiwan independence clique continues to consume the mainland's already few good intentions, which will inevitably lead to tragic consequences and will be reviled by future generations. Just like the strongest voice of the Central Committee: "Those who have forgotten their ancestors, betrayed the motherland, and split the country have never had a good end." "How the situation in the Taiwan Strait will develop in the future, let us wait and see."