Text | fig
Zhejiang Haida Hu Xiaoxi
With the recovery of the carp market, what strategies should farmers adopt to quickly monetize?
1. Carp market direction
2024 is a significant year for carp, after the price trough in 2023, carp in 2024 is finally hardened, and the price trend is very good!
The price of carp with a specification of about 2 and a half catties has reached 6.5-7.2 yuan per catty. At present, the market is less than 1 percent of the adult fish storage pond, and it is expected that the price will maintain a high level before the Mid-Autumn Festival.
In view of the good market of carp, the enthusiasm of each farmer for carp farming is also unprecedentedly high, but there is also a problem: the shortage of seeds, the price of seedlings is high, and the cost of seedlings has increased exponentially.
01 The price of seedlings has been rising
Due to the low price of carp in 2023, the number of seedlings has dropped significantly, accounting for only about 42% of previous years, resulting in a shortage of seedlings and no seedlings to release. Followed by a sharp rise in the price of seeds, the current 10 carp fry, some areas have reached 11-13 yuan / catty; The price of carp fry with a size of about 3-4 is 7-8 yuan/catty, and the cost of seedlings is almost twice that of previous years!
02Paradigm shift
In previous years, carp farming was mostly released in April and May, and the conventional mode of fish before the year was the mainstay, but this year due to the doubling of seed prices, the profit margin was compressed, and the farmers showed a polarization trend.
Some farmers have chosen the mode of putting small sizes (large pieces) to reduce the cost of seedlings; Another part of the farmers choose to enlarge the size of the fry mode, impact the hot water fish, and quickly realize.
△ Figure 1: Direct pull mode
△ Figure 2: Hot water fish mode
△Figure 3.Changes in carp patterns in 2023 and 2024
How can I monetize quickly in 032024?
In the current situation of the model-focused market, how to quickly monetize?
Through the exploration of the market and the trend of carp prices in previous years, the service team of Zhejiang Haida concluded that the price of carp in 2024 will maintain a high level before the Mid-Autumn Festival, which has guided the farmers who have hit the hot water fish in a direction - hurry up and rush the specifications.
△Figure 4: Carp price trend in previous years
△Figure 5: Price Forecast for 2024 (for reference only)
Based on the above reasons, Zhejiang Haida suggests that all farmers and friends should compete for the big as soon as possible!
Catch up with the farmers with hot water fish specifications, and they can quickly realize cash; Even if the fish is out at the same time, the advantage in size will directly bring the advantage in price. Therefore, it is the king to get out of the fish early, produce large-sized fish, realize it quickly, and hold the money in your hands.
Second, compete for the big one as soon as possible and realize it quickly
In 2024, the carp market will grow by leaps and bounds, in order to help farmers seize the market, sell at a good price, and improve profitability, Zhejiang Haid's service team has launched a special product - Supreme Carp Dabao.
Core technology: ultra-high grinding fineness (more than 90% of 80 meshes), 3 times of coarse powder, fine powder, ultra-fine grinding, process optimization, raw material upgrading, sensory, odor, color, fineness compared with other materials have obvious advantages.
Supreme carp Dabao is the star product of Zhejiang Haida, with a design bait coefficient of about 1.1. After market verification, it has the characteristics of fast growth, low coefficient and good physique, which helps farmers to produce fish early and large-sized fish in the current market situation, run ahead of the market, and achieve better profits.
Effect of use by farmers
Boss Sun of Dongying, Shandong, with a water surface of 230 acres, will release 178 carp fry per catty on June 7, 2023, with a density of 774 carp per mu. The fish will be released on August 16, 2023, and the carp specification is 1.6 kg/tail (compared with the direct drawing mode on the market, the specification is larger, and the listing specification will be reached at a high price).
Shandong Dongying Fang boss, carp intensive farming mode, 200 acres of water surface, 0.18 kg/tail carp fry in May 2023, density of 390 carp/mu, the use of Zhejiang Haida Supreme Carp Dabao, carp health and fast growth; In March 2023, the fish will be released, and the carp size will be 2.41 kg/tail, with a total feed ratio of 1.13 (the feed ratio is generally high after wintering in the market, and 1.13 is the lowest feed ratio of carp in Shandong).
According to the comprehensive calculation of the breeding data of previous years, assuming that the farmers who use the Supreme Carp Dabao in the case of 0.25 kg/tail and a density of 500 tails/mu can be listed about 18 days earlier than the farmers who use ordinary materials; In the absence of fish in the market, early fish is a high price, and even if the cost of seed increases, there is still a strong profitability.
Even if the fish are produced at the same time, the average size of the supreme carp Dabao is 0.9 catties/tail higher than that of ordinary materials, and the yield per mu is 450 catties, and the large-sized carp also has a price advantage of 0.5-1 yuan/catty.
Before, a farmer friend asked: Now the cost of breeding is so high, why choose a higher price of high-grade materials? There are advantages in breeding time and specifications, and there will be a big gap in breeding costs?
The following analysis will answer these questions.
3. Cost analysis of supreme carp Dabao and ordinary feed
Taking the Shandong hot water fish model as an example, assuming that the stocking size of 3-4 carp fry has a density of 400 carp per mu, the average yield is 95 per mu, the fish selling size is 2.5 kg/tail, and the yield per mu is 950 kg/tail.
The fixed cost includes pond rent, water and electricity, labor, medicine, network fee, and seed cost, totaling 2,250 yuan/mu, which is apportioned to each catty of fish, and the fixed cost is 2.36 yuan/catty.
△Table 1.Fixed costs of farming
The cost of catty fish feed = feed unit price * bait coefficient, plus the fixed cost, the total cost is clear at a glance.
We analyze the total cost of fish farming per catty of ordinary feed (feed coefficient of about 1.3) and supreme carp Dabao (feed coefficient of about 1.1) that perform well in the market.
△ Table 2 Total cost of farming
As shown in Table 2, as long as the quality of ordinary feed and supreme carp Dabao meets the requirements, carp have profit margins, and supreme carp Dabao has a cost advantage of more than 0.15 yuan/catty. However, as long as the feed feed factor exceeds 1.3, the profit margin of carp will be compressed.
Therefore, the use of high-grade materials is the trend of the future.
Fourth, profit analysis
We all know that compared with ordinary materials, high-grade materials also have obvious advantages in feeding volume, specifications and output, so what is the profitability of Supreme Carp Dabao?
△Table 3.Seedling release
Assuming that we mainly raise carp this year and release a small amount of silver carp, according to the current seed price, the seed cost is 1322.5 yuan/mu.
Assuming that the rest of the costs are consistent with the costs mentioned above, the ordinary material is calculated according to the material ratio of 1.3, the supreme carp Dabao is calculated according to the material ratio of 1.1, and the mu feeding is calculated according to 1200 catties:
Suppose the fish come out at the same time
Assuming that the fish time is the same, the fish price is 6 yuan/catty, and the profit per mu of ordinary material is 1355 yuan/mu; The Supreme Carp Dabao has larger specifications and higher yields, with a profit of 1877.5 yuan per mu, which is 522.5 yuan/mu higher than that of ordinary materials.
It is assumed that the fish are of the same size
Assuming that the fish specifications are the same, the supreme carp Dabao fish is early, assuming that the fish price is 0.5 yuan/jin higher, according to 6.5 yuan/jin, the profit per mu will reach 2433.5 yuan/mu, which is 1078.5 yuan/mu higher than the ordinary material.
Assuming high quality and high investment
Assuming high quality and high investment, the supreme carp Dabao is calculated according to 1400 catties per mu, the fish specifications are larger than ordinary materials, the yield is higher, and the profit per mu is 3025.5 yuan/mu, which is 1670.5 yuan/mu higher than ordinary materials.
△ Table 4.Profit model
The 2024 breeding season is in full swing, and although feed prices are expected to fall, the cost of seed is almost twice as high as in previous years, which is basically the same as the reduction in feed costs, according to the current seed prices.
Therefore, in 2024, carp farming can produce early fish and large-sized fish to maximize profitability. With the optimized formula, as well as the characteristics of low bait coefficient, fast growth speed and stable products recognized by market farmers, Supreme Carp Dabao helps farmers and friends to produce fish early and large-sized fish, seize the front line of the market, and start the first shot of the carp track.
END
This article is the original of Haida Agriculture and Animal Husbandry, and it is forbidden to reprint without authorization! Article submission, reprint authorization, welcome to send an email to: [email protected]