Recently, a former senior official of the US Department of Defense said in an interview with Yonhap News Agency: In order to deal with the Chinese threat, the United States will first attack China and then North Korea, even if the second Korean war breaks out, it will not hesitate, and will also provide "nuclear protection" for South Korea.
I have to say that the United States is really in a hurry, and even dares to say such things. So is this the real intention of the United States or just to deter China and North Korea?
Elbridge Colby
Elbridge Colby, a former senior U.S. Defense Defense official, said this, is Trump's deputy secretary of defense, of course, now he is a former Defense Department official, and he can also rank among the top few in the Department of Defense, so whether the United States really has made this kind of plan or intimidated its opponents, at least what the outside world sees is the United States' tough statement, but it can also be seen that the United States is weak-minded, and they believe that they will not be able to win a second "Korean War" in North Korea.
From Colby's words, we can see three points,
First, the primary adversary of the United States is China, and China's strength has indeed given the United States a headache, presumably with the sea trials of the Fujian warship, many high-level American leaders are unable to sleep, and the United States, which is deeply anxious, is always thinking about how to contain China, and the biggest opponent of the United States in the Asia-Pacific region or the world is China. Of course, at present, when Sino-US relations are still relatively stable, the United States will give priority to the Middle East and Europe, but it will not let go of China's containment and suppression.
Second, North Korea, the United States also has to deal with, the United States has imposed sanctions on North Korea for decades, and the two countries are "adversaries" to each other, and North Korea also has weapons that pose a great threat to the United States, such as hypersonic missiles, intercontinental missiles with a range of 15,000 kilometers, or possibly nuclear weapons. However, it is only a threat to the United States, and the primary target of the United States is China, and only after defeating China will it take the lead against the DPRK and will not distract its efforts to deal with it in advance.
North Korean missiles
Third, due to the instability of the situation in Northeast Asia, it is very likely that there will be a second "Korean War" in the US exercise, but the United States is not confident of winning, so it has given South Korea a promise of a "nuclear umbrella" and has also shown the outside world that the United States is prepared to fight a nuclear war if it fails again in Korea.
Colby's words are also the concerns of many high-level officials in the United States, don't look at the asymmetric wars that the United States has fought in recent decades, which are basically devastating, but that is because neither Iraq nor Afghanistan has weapons of mass destruction that can threaten the United States, why does the United States only dare to sanction Iran and North Korea, but does not dare to attack, except for the great power game.
The most important thing is that they really have, the United States does not have confidence, no matter how powerful the US Air Force is, it has sea and air supremacy, but in the end it will still be put into the army, Iraq and Afghanistan, how many people have been killed in the US Army? If in Iran and North Korea, how many more are the US troops going to die?
If the U.S. military loses too much in Korea, then if the Asia-Pacific region is overstretched, how can there be any spare strength to target China, and it is estimated that Japan will be unstable first. Moreover, the US military has repeatedly stated that it will hand over the command of the ROK military to South Korea, but South Korea does not agree, because that means that South Korea will have to face the threat of North Korea alone, and South Korea must be weak-minded.
In the U.S. exercise, if the second "Korean War" breaks out and China sends troops to intervene, the U.S. military may also intervene. Don't look at the US military think tank, how can the US military win in the exercise, but they can't deceive themselves, after all, if there is a real war, they want to go there.
Whether it is the strength of North Korean missiles or the strength of Chinese missiles, the US military is destined not to intervene in a big way, as it did in 1950, unless the United States intends to suffer huge casualties and fight a meaningless war that will make the United States completely decline. And from Colby's statement, the United States is not sure of North Korea's victory.
North Korean missiles
If the second "Korean War" breaks out, the DPRK's missile forces can empty all the US military bases in Japan and South Korea, and at the same time, the DPRK's intercontinental missiles have a range of 15,000 kilometers and nuclear weapons. Dare to bet?
As for attacking China first, it can only be said that the US top brass is either really stupid or really bad, and at that time, all US military bases and aircraft carriers in the Asia-Pacific region, including the second island chain, will be within the range of our missile forces, and even US experts have to admit that the PLA has an area denial capability within 2,500 kilometers, and the US military has no chance of winning.
This is also the reason why the United States has repeatedly made small moves in the Asia-Pacific region to provoke China, but China has always remained calm, because all the arrangements are meaningless, and China is only strengthening itself while maintaining its strategic focus.
Although the United States has no confidence, it must give confidence to its allies, otherwise everyone knows the true face of the original American "paper tiger", so who is willing to follow the United States? Therefore, even if it brags, the United States has to give the outside world a feeling that the United States is still the world hegemon and is still very strong. Even the U.S. media shouted that the Biden administration is very unworthy of going to war over islands and reefs that have nothing to do with the United States, and it is obvious that the United States lacks confidence in victory.
That's why Colby said he was committed to giving South Korea "nuclear protection."
Of course, whether it is the so-called second "Korean War" of the United States, or the first attack on China, or the clamoring for a "nuclear war", we can understand that the United States is weak-minded, and we can also understand that the United States is incompetent and angry. This is impossible to happen, given the current weakness of the United States, which is mired in the situation in Europe and the Middle East, and cannot extricate itself, under the crisis of 35 trillion US debt, what can be used to engage in a full-scale conflict with China in the Asia-Pacific region? The only thing the United States can do is to instigate the Philippines and Japan to pull China back in China's neighborhood.
In the War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea 74 years ago, when the gap between China and the United States was the largest, the United States was still beaten to the negotiating table by China to admit defeat. By self-deception? Instead of thinking about fighting this and sanctioning that every day, the United States should think about how to solve the $35 trillion foreign debt.
It must be known that although the country is large, the belligerent will perish. Now the boomerang of the United States has finally slashed at itself.
Reference: South Korea's procurement of "Standard-3" missiles Guangming.com