During the three-year War to Resist US Aggression and Aid Korea, about 197,000 volunteers were sacrificed. This battle showed the U.S. side the horror of the Chinese army, and since then, although the U.S. side is still provoking the Chinese side, on the whole, it does not dare to start another war with us.
Recently, however, the United States intends to provoke a second war on the peninsula, and has even directly stated that it will first settle the PLA, because only by defeating the PLA can it defeat the DPRK. As far as the United States is concerned, North Korea is not their biggest threat, the biggest threat is China, if they attack North Korea first, North Korea's own missiles alone can severely damage the US military, and then how can they fight with the People's Liberation Army?
In an interview with Yonhap News Agency, former US Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense Elbridge Colby said that the Second Korean War will definitely start, but this time the protagonist is not the United States, but South Korea. At that time, the U.S. military will hand over wartime command to the ROK army, and they will have full authority to fight the North Korean army.
If China dares to resist South Korea and aid Korea this time, the US military will inevitably end up competing with the PLA. Of course, the US military is well aware of the power of China's rocket forces, and in order to win the war, the US military cannot rule out the possibility of using nuclear weapons.
In other words, the U.S. military knows that it can't defeat the Chinese army, but it still has to fight the PLA. In order not to be defeated, it is very likely that the US military will launch nuclear missiles at that time, and in short, this war can only be won and not defeated.
The U.S. military did not dare to fight the DPRK first, and then the PLA
With the help of the United States, relations between South Korea and North Korea, which should have been a family, fell to a freezing point, and the two sides were tense, and war on the peninsula seemed to be on the verge of breaking out. In this case, as long as the United States adds another fire, the war will be fought. However, in order to increase its deployment in the Asia-Pacific region and suppress the PLA, the United States does not intend to stoke this fire for the time being.
Colby said that in recent years, the DPRK has developed very rapidly in nuclear missiles, intercontinental missiles and other weapons and equipment, and has become a "medium and heavy strength player" of the US military. In the absence of China, perhaps the U.S. military would have fired its first shot against North Korea by now.
But China is already so strong that the United States cannot ignore it, and if it starts a war with North Korea first, it means that the American military may lose about half of its strength. Wait until the settlement of North Korea and then go to China to fight, and the final result will be defeat.
Therefore, Colby believes that the United States should now focus all its efforts on dealing with China, and only by first solving the PLA will the war on the peninsula become simpler, otherwise the tragedy of 71 years ago will be repeated. Moreover, under the joint offensive of China and the DPRK, the US military will pay a hundred times more painful price than it did back then, and perhaps the edifice that the United States spent more than 200 years building will collapse.
When the time comes, let alone dealing with North Korea and China, even if you find a country whose military strength is acceptable, it is estimated that the US military will not have any hope of winning.
To put it simply, if the Second Korean War were to be fought by South Korea and North Korea, the United States would not intervene. The U.S. military will put all its focus on dealing with the PLA, and if it really can't fight, it would rather "destroy the earth" than let the PLA win.
Fighting a war with the PLA? The United States does not dare
In response to Colby's question, U.S. military expert Wechett retorted: If the U.S. military really starts to act, according to the "area denial/anti-access" combat system laid out by the PLA, whoever comes to the Asia-Pacific region will die!
At present, the US military bases in Japan, South Korea, the Philippines, Australia, and other places are simply insufficient, and the military forces deployed are relatively weak. Taking a step back, even if the U.S. military and equipment are deployed with sufficient strength, if they really want to fight the PLA, what about the follow-up support and supplies? With the military strength of Japan, South Korea, Australia and other countries, it is simply impossible to support it.
Supplies are delivered from other regions, including the US mainland, and the PLA's J-20 and 055 drives will be intercepted from the sea and air, and these supplies of the US military will have to fall into the pockets of the PLA at that time.
In other words, whether it is on the peninsula or in the South China Sea, if a war is waged around China, the US military will have no second outcome except defeat. No matter how hard the rhetoric is on paper, the outcome will never change, and this can be seen from the US military push over the years.
In addition, the so-called "nuclear war" is nothing more than the rhetoric of the United States. Everyone knows very well the dangers of nuclear war, and once it starts, it will definitely affect more than one area. The U.S. homeland is useless even if it is thousands of miles away, and the chain reaction caused by a nuclear war can also cause the United States to suffer heavy losses.
As the Chinese side said, "there is no winner under a nuclear war", if it is really that simple, why didn't the US military send it directly to Ukraine and let them use nuclear bombs against the Russian army?
If nuclear war is so simple, why doesn't the grumpy Putin just launch a few nuclear bombs on Ukraine itself to end this ridiculous and pathetic war? And as for dragging this battle on for more than two years?
Therefore, Wechtt said that if South Korea really wants to fight North Korea without its own strength, the US military will indeed not participate as Colby said, but it will definitely not turn its guns at the PLA, let alone start a nuclear war. There is no other reason, mainly because the United States no longer has the energy to support the Russian-Ukrainian war and the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, and even after the Iran-Israel conflict, it will go to war with a military power like China.
If the United States really can't think of it, China, Iran, Russia, and the DPRK will join hands to deal with the United States, and the United States will surely "return to its pre-liberation period overnight."