#文章首发挑战赛#
For your better reading and interactive experience, in order for you to see more content in time, click "Follow" We update wonderful stories and share different story moments for you every day
Text: Praise and praise are on the way
Edit|Zanzans are on the way
The Russia-Ukraine war continues to be fierce, and the situation has entered a critical period. The Russian army launched a fierce offensive on April 29, carrying out large-scale bombardment of many places in Ukraine, targeting the political and military decision-making centers of Ukraine. In the face of the menacing Russian offensive, the Ukrainian government and President Zelensky had to make a desperate bet to send an urgent signal for help to the United States and allies, eager for more military aid. At this moment, how will the fate of Ukraine play out? The situation is confusing and the outcome is unpredictable. This war has attracted the attention of the world, not only about the survival of the Ukrainian state, but also on the European and world pattern. It is necessary for us to conduct an in-depth analysis and comprehensive interpretation of this major event.
(1) Ukraine's life hangs by a thread, Zelensky Jedi shouts for help?
On April 29, the Russian army's fierce offensive put Ukraine in a desperate situation. In the face of the siege of the Russian army, the Ukrainian government and military suffered heavy losses, and the command and control system was almost paralyzed. At this most critical juncture, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky had to send a request for help to the United States and allies, hoping that external forces would intervene to stop Ukraine's defeat. Although the Ukrainian side has received some foreign aid before, it still seems to be unable to catch it under the continuous suppression of the Russian army's firepower. Whether or not it can obtain substantial military assistance from the United States and its allies in a timely manner will directly determine whether Ukraine can survive the death.
(2) How will the fate of the decisive battle play out, and may the shocking situation be repeated?
Why is Ukraine in such a predicament? This is what many people are asking. The Russian army's all-out offensive this time is undoubtedly a long-planned plan. Since the outbreak of the war in February last year, the positions of both sides have been erratic. The reason why the current situation in which the Russian army can take the opportunity to sweep is largely due to the fact that the Russian side has adjusted its combat strategy and concentrated its superior forces on the battlefield in Ukraine. At the same time, due to the long-term defensive position and lack of foreign support, the Ukrainian side will inevitably be demoralized and depleted. In addition, Russia's strong long-range strike capability has paralyzed the Ukrainian command system and interrupted many decision-making chains. How to recover the declining situation? This is a serious challenge facing Ukraine.
(3) Incident traceability: The Russian army's heavy buildup of troops is gradually revealed
Looking back on this battle, it is not difficult for us to find that the Russian army had premeditated. At the end of last year, the Russian army gathered a large number of heavy troops on the border of Ukraine, and gradually increased its troops, and its strength grew stronger day by day. Analysts believe that this is Russia's strategic deployment to regain its dominance of the war this year. Entering this year, the Russian army's troop strength and arms buildup have become more intense. Since mid-April, the Russian army has launched attacks on Ukraine in multiple directions, but the scale is not too large. Until April 29, the Russian military launched a general offensive fiercely, and the firepower was very fierce, which overwhelmed Ukraine.
Although Ukraine has developed a defensive strategy, it is still suffering heavy losses under the prepared offensive of the Russian army. The Russian missile attack has plunged many places in Ukraine into flames, and civilian and military facilities have been damaged. The key thing is that the Russian army accurately struck Ukraine's command and control center, almost paralyzing its command system. At one time, the situation was extremely unfavorable for Ukraine. At a critical moment, Zelensky had to send a distress signal to the United States and allies.
(4) In-depth analysis: The reasons behind the desperate struggle between Russia and Ukraine are complex
The deep-seated reasons for the current situation lie not only in the position and deployment of the Russian army, but also in the deep-rooted conflict of interests between the two sides. As a member of the former Soviet Union, Ukraine and Russia have complex geopolitical relations, and there are contradictions and differences between the two sides in many fields such as politics, economy, and military. Russia has always wanted Ukraine to be under its circle of influence, but Ukraine has sought to break away from Russian dominance and move closer to the West. This fundamental disagreement led to a continuous escalation of tensions between the two sides, culminating in a military conflict.
The strategic intentions of the Russian army's large-scale offensive this time are also multifaceted. On the one hand, it is to force Ukraine to give in and accept Russia's demands, and on the other hand, it is also to demonstrate Russia's military strength to Western countries and try to gain an advantageous position in future negotiations. At the same time, considering the continuation of the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, the Russian side also hopes to win the initiative through the offensive and eventually dominate the trend of the war.
For Ukraine, the war is about the survival of the country and the direction of its future development. In Ukraine's view, capitulation to Russia would result in the loss of national sovereignty and strategic autonomy and the need to return to Russia's sphere of influence. Therefore, Ukraine must hold its ground and repel the Russian offensive at all costs. This mentality of fighting against the odds makes Ukraine never easily admit defeat. And the continuous strikes and sieges of the Russian army have also put Ukraine in a desperate situation.
(5) Examples: Lessons from the wars in Afghanistan and Georgia
This Russia-Ukraine war is somewhat reminiscent of some of the military conflicts that have been in the past. For example, in the Afghan war in the eighties and nineties of the last century, when the former Soviet Union sent troops to intervene in the Afghan civil war, it eventually paid a heavy price. Moreover, the brief but fierce armed conflict between Russia and Georgia in 2008 also took a toll on both sides. These lessons remind us that military conflicts are often costly and that the root causes of the problem cannot be solved simply by force.
Judging from the war in Afghanistan, even the Soviet Union, which was far superior at that time, was eventually forced to withdraw its troops. The reason is that even with the investment of significant resources and military power, it is difficult to suppress the stubborn resistance of the Afghan people. In turn, the Afghan insurgents, with the support of the local population and complex terrain, made it difficult for the Soviet army to achieve a decisive victory. This is undoubtedly a heavy lesson for the Russian army. Therefore, in the Russian-Ukrainian war, just being famous does not mean that you can conquer everything.
As for the war in Georgia, it once again demonstrated that military force is not the best way to solve all problems. When it comes to core interests such as territorial and maritime sovereignty, the two sides will not make concessions lightly and are likely to move toward military confrontation. However, even if the Russian army won the upper hand for a time, it has not been able to reach a consensus on the fundamental contradictions since then, which has led to continued tensions between Russia and Georgia. These lessons from history may make Russia more scheming about Ukraine.
(6) Future direction: Russia-Ukraine confrontation continues or reconciliation, and the prospect of a win-win situation is slim
Looking ahead, there are still many uncertainties about the direction of the Russia-Ukraine war. Judging from the current predicament of Ukraine, if the United States and its allies cannot provide sufficient and powerful support in a timely manner, it is very likely that Ukraine will completely lose its combat effectiveness under the continuous attacks of the Russian army. In the event of a complete defeat of Ukraine, Russia would be able to force Ukraine to accept its terms or take direct control of all of Ukraine. This will undoubtedly give Russia the dominant position in the whole affair.
However, if the United States and other Western countries finally decide to fully intervene to provide weapons and military support to Ukraine, the situation will be reversed. Ukraine, reinforced by external forces, is expected to repel the Russian army and even gain an advantage in ground battles. At that time, the bargaining chips of Ukraine and Russia will also change dramatically, and Russia may have to make concessions.
However, both extremes could cost both sides dearly and fail to resolve the underlying contradictions. Ukraine's complete defeat will inevitably lead to greater chaos within the country, and if Russia wins the war, it will be difficult to fundamentally solve the problem of Ukrainian people's hearts. On the other hand, if Ukraine gains the upper hand with external assistance, it may also put Russia in a situation of isolation and containment around the world.
Therefore, the prospects for a win-win situation are not encouraging. Unless both sides can make some concessions and reach new compromises and consensus through diplomatic negotiations, a complete victory for either side could lead to even greater turmoil. For Russia, if it fails to achieve a fundamental breakthrough on the Ukraine issue, I am afraid that its influence in the Eurasian region will also be damaged. And for Ukraine, the continuation of the war will also exacerbate internal divisions and economic recession. Therefore, a negotiated peace is the best way to achieve peace before the two sides reach a stalemate.
(7) Heated discussion among netizens:
This Russia-Ukraine war has sparked heated discussions and comments from netizens. Some netizens said that although the casualties and damage caused by the war are distressing, both Russia and Ukraine have unshirkable responsibilities. "War is always the result of confrontation between the two sides, and we should reflect and be vigilant, rather than simply blaming one side or the other."
Some netizens also believe that Russia's attack this time is an extreme diplomatic means aimed at forcing Ukraine to comply. "Russia wants to replace diplomatic negotiations with force, which is a very dangerous practice that could provoke a larger war and bloodshed".
Some netizens also pointed out that the involvement of the United States and Western countries in Ukraine's affairs is also an important reason for the deterioration of the situation. "The United States seems to want to counterbalance Russia on Ukraine, but such an approach could further complicate the situation and backfire."
However, some netizens expressed their understanding of Ukraine's situation and believed that it was understandable that the Ukrainian government turned to allies in times of crisis. "If Ukraine does not manage to get external support, it will be difficult for it to survive this war".
In general, netizens have different views and comments on this incident, reflecting the different views and positions of different groups on the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Such differences and controversies are precisely the current predicament and challenges facing the international community.
(8) To sum up: The Russia-Ukraine war has hidden mysteries, and the prospects for peace still need to be worked on
Looking at the whole process of this Russia-Ukraine war, we can find that the development of events is far more complicated than it seems on the surface. On the surface, this is indeed a Russian military offensive against Ukraine. But at a deeper level, this implies geopolitical wrestling, great power games, and the outbreak of long-term contradictions between the two sides.
The reason why Russia launched this war at all costs is largely out of consideration for safeguarding its influence and strategic interests in the Eurasian region. As a member of the former Soviet Union, the development direction of Ukraine is of great importance to Russia. Once Ukraine is thoroughly pro-Western, it will seriously weaken Russia's dominance in the region as a whole.
And the Ukrainian side, although it is temporarily in a predicament, is more unwilling to become a vassal of Russia and lose the country's autonomy and direction of development. Therefore, the Ukrainian government had to resist with all its might, pinning its hopes on the support of Western countries. As a result, this seemingly simple Russian-Ukrainian war has actually evolved into a tripartite contest between Russia, the United States and Europe.