In the past few days, Xianxian Finance has repeatedly pointed out that the United States is currently experiencing a phased economic predicament, and judging from the official remarks and actions of the United States, it reveals anxiety and self-contradiction. Perhaps, many people will question why you, an observer in the field of finance and economics, always like to discuss the international situation.
When analyzing problems, we must put aside personal preferences, and an indisputable fact is that at present the United States is still the only superpower in the world, and the influence of the United States on the whole world is the first variable, and many seemingly political and military problems are actually economic problems in their bones, especially every move of the capitalist empire, which is inseparable from the interests of capital.
The logic of the United States in today's world is that when Americans have a good life, the rest of the world has a chance to have a better time; when Americans have a hard time, everyone should not think about it.
In the stock market, when the U.S. stock market rises, the A-share market can rise, and it is easy to achieve twice the result with half the effort; if the U.S. stock market seeks to rise against the trend in a round of decline, it will be twice the result with half the effort, and the path will become very difficult.
Therefore, when you feel that the Americans are having a hard time, the uncertainties begin to increase, and even if A-shares can stabilize their footing, they will have to work a hundred times harder. Therefore, Xianxian Finance once said that "A-shares should overcome all difficulties and get out of the independent market".
The logic is clear, and the problem is clear at a glance.
The current two major events must be seen together.
On April 18, the UN Security Council voted on Palestine's application for full membership in the UN, and the result of the resolution was 12 in favor, 1 against and 2 abstentions. The United States voted a veto, preventing the resolution from passing, and the United Kingdom and Switzerland abstained.
The United States stands on the opposite side of the vast majority of the world's largest majority of the world, and is also the source of global instability, and Israel is once again supported by the United States, and it is bound to "repay" the United States.
On 19 April, Israel's Jerusalem Post reported that explosions had been heard in Iran's Isfahan region, southern Syria's Suweida province, Iraq's Baghdad region, and Babylon province.
From the above information, it is not difficult to conclude that Israel's attack on Iran was carried out with the knowledge of the United States and after the United States voted on the veto, and the alliance between the two sides remains unbreakable.
From an economic point of view, what are the immediate benefits for the United States?
International oil prices rose sharply, and once rose more than 4% intraday, from a technical point of view, this made the international oil prices that were almost weakened stronger again!
You know, on April 17, the United States announced the reinstatement of previous sanctions on Venezuela's oil and gas industry from April 18, citing the fact that the election was not free.
The resumption of sanctions against Venezuela means that the United States has begun to tighten the global energy supply side in the hope of achieving a strong international oil price, while Israel's attack on Iran has increased tensions in the Middle East.
As we all know, the petrodollar is an important weapon for the United States to transfer domestic inflation, and in 2022, the United States has achieved phased results by combining aggressive interest rate hikes and the Ukraine crisis to transfer domestic inflation.
Now, the slowdown in inflation in the United States has begun to stagnate, and the possibility of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hike at a high level is very small, and the turmoil must be used to further transform the domestic conflict.
What makes people even more convinced of this observation is that on the evening of April 18, New York Fed President Williams, known as the "Fed's third-in-command", said that if the data shows that the Fed needs to raise interest rates to achieve its goal, then the Fed will raise interest rates.
Xianxian Finance believes that this is intimidating the market, and the direct consequence is that the dollar remains strong, coupled with the sharp rise in crude oil prices, it is clear that the United States is once again harvesting the world.