According to Iranian media reports, the Iranian armed forces held an annual military parade, which was held by the Iranian side mainly to celebrate Iran's successful retaliatory actions against Israel.
It can be said that it is very dangerous for Iran's high-level officials to continue to attend public activities on Army Day on April 18, because just before Israel announced that it might carry out air strikes on Iran, senior US officials made it clear in an interview with ABC that the situation could suddenly change at any time, and the Israeli army might take advantage of the holiday to launch a strike on Iran.
At a time of tension in the Middle East, Iran has a military parade and Israel has vowed to retaliate
Biden does not want the Middle East conflict to spill over and implicate the United States
Tensions in the Middle East are rising, and the Israeli leadership has vowed to retaliate after Iran's retaliatory actions on April 13 achieved their strategic goals.
Netanyahu
Although Biden clearly told that he hoped that Israel would not retaliate against Iran itself, and even stated that the US military would not support it, Netanyahu still reversed his previous promise to Biden that "there will be no retaliation" under the pressure of the main war faction in Israel and the huge populist pressure, and intends to respond by military means.
What Israel can "blow" is anti-aircraft missiles
Interestingly, some media previously analyzed that Israel might launch missiles to attack Iran, but then experts pointed out that Israel's missile technology is far from Iran's, the number is insufficient, and it has not held several test launches so far, and it is not as good as North Korea, and whether it has the ability to deploy in actual combat is another matter.
The adequacy rate of the Israeli F-35I is the best among Western countries to equip F-35 units
As expected, according to the Israeli media, the IDF intends to use air power to launch retaliatory actions against Iran, and it can be said that the only long-range strike means that Israel can rely on now is its air force.
As early as the 80s of the last century, Israel dispatched its air force to carry out "surgical" precision strikes on Iraq's nuclear facilities.
Iran's S300 long-range air defense system
Iran has strengthened the deployment of air defense forces to prevent air strikes by Israeli warplanes
According to the video taken by Iranian netizens in the past few days of shooting its capital Tehran, the S300 and S200 anti-aircraft missiles of the Iranian air defense forces are gathering and deploying near its capital.
Iran held a grand military parade
At the same time, it has to be said that the Iranian side is "really big", and immediately after the start of the retaliatory action, a military parade will be held in Iran on April 17, and a full-scale celebration will be held on Army Day on the 18th.
Iranian President Raisi
Iranian President Raisi and senior Iranian government officials and senior military commanders attended the Army Day parade in the capital Tehran, and it is said that the Iranian leadership will still be present to celebrate Army Day on the 18th.
Raisi said that the operation "destroyed the glory of the Zionist regime (Israel)" and that the operation showed that Iran's armed forces were ready, and reiterated that any provocation by the Israeli side would be met with a harsh response from Iran.
Iranian missile forces participating in the parade
According to outside analysis, the celebration of Iran's Army Day will face great pressure, and the security risks of Iran's leaders will rise sharply due to their successive public appearances.
Senior U.S. officials, the Israeli military may take advantage of the Iranian holiday to launch retaliatory actions
According to ABC News, senior U.S. military officials said that while it is "unlikely" that Israel will retaliate against Iran on a holiday, the situation could "change" at any time.
Israel's F-35I's current long-range strike means are still "Jeddam", and the US military does not dare to provide Israel with strike weapons with a longer range
The Israeli Air Force is capable of penetrating and striking Tehran, and Iran's air defense system is under great pressure from the Israeli Air Force, especially the F-35I stealth aircraft it is equipped with, and if Israel intends to launch a surprise attack, it can use the F-35I to penetrate into Iran's depth and use the "Jedam" bomb to strike the Army Day site on the 18th.
According to analysis, the ideal path for Israeli air strikes on Tehran is from Syria - Iraq, breaking through into Iran, and then running to the Oman region
Of course, this operation is indispensable to bring tankers, according to the combat radius of the Israeli F-35I, plus two auxiliary fuel tanks, the flight formation must at least once in the airspace of Syria or northern Iraq before reaching Iran, and then the F-35I broke through the territory of Iran 500 kilometers, launched the "Jedam" bomb on the site of Tehran's Army Day, and carried out the "decapitation" mission.
After that, the F-35I could fly to the vicinity of Oman in the Persian Gulf with the remaining fuel, and forcibly coerce the US military tanker aircraft to support (the US military could not refuse, otherwise all these F-35I would fall into the sea), and finally withdraw directly to the mainland.
However, domestic military experts say that if Israel dares to launch a "decapitation" operation against Iran's national leadership, the consequences will be incalculable. You must know that Israel and Iran are not in a state of war at present, and if Israel openly "beheads" the leader of a country, it will seriously violate Iran's national sovereignty, which is extremely bad in nature, and is no less than a "terrorist attack".
Iran produces a large number of ballistic missiles
This will only further isolate Israel in the international arena, and the entire "arc of resistance" in the Middle East will take further military action against Israel, and Israel and Iran will be completely locked in a situation of "never stopping".
Second, if the Iranian side is determined to take super tough countermeasures, Israel will never be able to afford it, and now according to the US media's estimate of the number of Iranian missiles, it can probably be determined that Iran has 3-40,000 rounds of various types of missiles, and at the same time has the ability to manufacture more than tens of thousands of long-range strike drones.
An Iranian missile that successfully penetrated on April 13
In the retaliatory action launched by Iran on April 13, it launched a wave of saturation strikes against Israel, launching a small number of hypersonic missiles to successfully break through the air defense network of the Israeli and US forces and hit a number of Israeli military targets.
According to Iranian media, the hypersonic missile launched by Iran can reach Israeli territory in just 400 seconds, including the ability to carry out a "decapitation" operation against the Israeli leadership.
If Israel dares to openly carry out air strikes on the site of Iran's Army Day celebrations, Iran can basically knock out all its missile stockpiles without any worries, and Israel simply cannot afford it.
In any case, Israel's actions in the Middle East in recent months can only show that it is "getting more and more crazy" and that the geopolitics of the Middle East will usher in "great changes".
Some of the content sources in the article: 1. Iran held a military parade on Army Day Xinhuanet