If you don't fight, you never know how many allies you have, and how many enemies you have. Immediately after the Iranian air strikes on Israel, the end of the counterattack was announced. At the same time, Iran has threatened to respond harsher if Israel makes another "mistake". The delegation also warned the United States not to get involved in the conflict.
It is clear that Iran will not know the effects of this strike in just one day. It is incomprehensible that Iran hastily opted for a truce without knowing the exact outcome of the war.
Counterattack, is that the end of it?
In fact, how could Iran want to end the counterattack? In the course of the counterattack, some reactions of neighboring countries really chilled Iran and made Iran feel isolated and helpless.
Iranian television station PressTv said that after a night of fierce fighting, Iran found that at least 10 countries were intercepting Iranian missiles and drones.
As we all know, Iran and Israel do not share a border, and Iran must at least pass through Iraq and Jordan to launch drone and missile strikes. It stands to reason that Israel is the public enemy of the Islamic world, after all, they occupy Jerusalem, one of the three holy cities. The liberation of Al-Quds Al-Sharif should have been the duty of all Muslims. In order to regain lost territory, the Islamic world has fought five wars in the Middle East and launched several sieges against Israel.
When Iran strikes Israel, Arab countries should support and respond to it. However, instead of helping the Islamic brothers, the countries along the route have also acted as Israel's shields, dispatching air forces and anti-aircraft missiles to shoot down Iranian missiles. The most representative ones are Saudi Arabia and Jordan.
Saudi Arabia is the protector of the two holy sites of Mecca and Medila and the leader of the Arab world, while the Jordanian royal family is descended from the saints and has a high status. But they keep saying that they want to protect the people of Gaza and liberate Palestine. But in reality, they are not interested in fighting Israel, on the contrary, they are more interested in fighting Iran.
On the one hand, Jordan and Saudi Arabia use their air defense systems to intercept Iran's missiles and drones; on the other hand, they have sent messages to the United States, Britain, and France, giving up their own air bases and those of their younger brothers (such as the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain, and so on) to create conditions for the United States, Britain, and France to intercept Iran's attacks.
Iran clearly wants to use the counterattack against Israel to unite the Muslim world. Now it is better, Iran has become the one under siege. The only thing Iran can really rely on is its derivatives, such as Allah, the Houthis, and the Shiite militias in Syria. But relying on these non-state armed forces will not be able to shake the foundations of Israel. The victory over Israel must be based on the state unit, just as the Middle East coalition forces besieged Israel in the past.
So why do Arabs prefer to support their enemy Israel rather than Iran?
Historically, the Arabs and the Persians did not deal with each other, and Persia was once a slave of the Arabs. On the one hand, the Persians accepted the religious beliefs of the Arabs, but on the other hand, the Persians looked down on the Arabs, who were less civilized.
The vast majority of Arabs are Sunnis, but Persia has done the opposite, embracing the Shiite faith. As a result, the Arab countries and Iran regard each other as heretics, and have been fighting for nearly a thousand years.
During the Pahlavi dynasty in Iran, Israel and Iran were as good as wearing a pair of pants, and some of Iran's advanced military technology today comes from the teachings of the Israelis. At that time, the Arabs regarded Iranians as traitors.
In the 70s of the last century, Khomeini overthrew the Pahlavi dynasty and made a complete break with Israel. However, the leaders of the Arab countries were not long in their joy when they were horrified to find that the Iranians were exporting revolution to their own people. This is a hornet's nest.
For the Arab countries, Israel is nothing more than an elbow problem. The liberation of Palestine or not does not affect the stability of their regime, and Israel has no interest in seizing their territory, otherwise Israel would not return the Sinai Peninsula to Egypt.
Iran, on the other hand, is a major problem for the Arab states, who fear that Iran will export revolution and overthrow their regimes, and deprive the kings, chiefs, and princes of their prosperity and luxury.
Therefore, with the support of the Arab countries, Saddam's Iraq launched a war against Iran, and the bloody war lasted for 8 years. At one point, the hatred of Arabs and Iranians rose to the extreme.
After the demise of Saddam's regime, Iran began to infiltrate Iraq, and Saudi Arabia and other countries lost their barriers. The enemy of the enemy is the friend, so when Iran and Israel clashed, the Arab countries sided with Israel, either explicitly or implicitly.
In the case of Jordan, they have already taken refuge in Israel after the third Middle East war. At that time, the PLO unleashed civil strife in Jordan and forced the Jordanian king out of the capital.
As a result, Israel unexpectedly intervened and sent Mossad agents to find the king of Jordan and put him back in power. Soon after, Jordan and Israel normalized their relations.
Take Egypt, for example, which normalized relations between Egypt and Israel as early as 1980. Now that Egypt's population is exploding, there is an urgent need for Israeli desalination and agricultural technology. Therefore, instead of helping Palestine and Iran, Egypt helped Israel to besiege Gaza.
Saudi Arabia, on the other hand, sees Iran as its number one enemy, and it has rallied the Gulf coalition to bomb the Iranian Houthis. Although the Saudis are rich, they are not fighting enough. Therefore, Saudi Arabia has chosen to cooperate militarily with Israel, and Israeli soldiers have actually entered Saudi Arabia long ago.
In addition to Saudi Arabia, Israel also has a military presence in the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, Bahrain and other countries. From time to time, the US media have released wind saying that Saudi Arabia and the Gulf countries are about to normalize relations with Israel. It was only because of last year's "Al-Aqsa flood" operation that Saudi Arabia temporarily stopped.
In reality, however, Saudi Arabia and Israel are not allies, but they are better allies.
Therefore, Iran is keenly aware that the time is not ripe for a complete victory over Israel, and it is absolutely impossible to win without getting rid of these "brothers" who eat outside the country.
Israel's military is already strong, and with the backing of the United States, it is impossible for Iran to do it alone. The situation in Israel today may seem volatile, but it is actually much safer than it was in the last century.
In the past, Egypt, Jordan, and Syria besieged Israel on three sides, but now Egypt and Jordan are on Israel's side, and Syria is torn apart, and it can only rely on Iran to hang its breath.
In the past, Saudi Arabia, Iraq, and the Gulf countries provided financial support to defeat Israel, and even imposed an oil embargo on Western countries at the expense of national strength. Now they are in collusion with Israel. Gaza is besieged, Saudi Arabia is immovable, Iran counterattacks Israel, but Saudi Arabia strikes hard.
What is even more infuriating is that the former PLO, which is now Fatah, is even explicitly or implicitly on the side of Israel. Hamas is stubbornly resisting in Gaza, while Fatah gloat is demolishing in the rear.
The current situation in the Middle East is like that of three kingdoms, the United States and Israel are Wei, the Arab countries are Wu, and Iran and a series of its younger brothers are Shu. In the face of the powerful Wei State, the weaker Wu State and the Shu State should have sincerely cooperated and fought the enemy together. But the Arab countries, like Wu, stabbed Iran in the back, which was supposed to be a brother and ally. Without the unification of Arab and Iranian forces, the liberation and independence of Palestine may remain elusive.