#文章首发挑战赛#
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Text: Xu Xu.
Edited by Xu Xu.
Seeing that the chess game in the Middle East is undergoing drastic changes, Israel, a former "chess player", is in an unprecedented predicament. The earthquake in the military's top ranks has raised questions about whether its deterrent effect is only in the past. When this country, which is called "Israel in the Middle East," is struggling, where will the entire region's territory evolve? This series of changes has flashed the ethereal direction of the new chess game in the Middle East, and it is necessary for us to calmly think about the next unknown overall situation!
Here I simulate Mr. Hu Xijin's philosophical style, using metaphors such as "chess" and "chess player", and raising questions from the perspective of regional patterns to create suspense on the topic.
As a military power in the Middle East, why is there frequent news of infighting among the top military leaders? However, within 24 hours, Central Command Commander Fox and Military Intelligence Director Haliwa resigned one after another, and this is tantamount to questioning Israel's own military strength the most. This wave of high-level resignations is clearly closely related to the country's failures in the current regional situation, and the internal and external troubles it has endured have caused the military to gradually lose its morale.
Why is there such a shocking situation? What has happened to Israel that has caused this "Middle East hero" that once swept through the Arab countries to find itself in such a predicament? In the face of the constant provocations of Iran and other countries, it seems that Israel's series of retaliatory actions can no longer play the deterrent effect it should have, and is it that its former control in the Red Sea region is gradually eroding?
To solve this mystery, we must go back to the recent series of dilemmas that Israel has encountered in the Middle East. The first is that the conflict with Palestine has never really stopped. Although Israel has the upper hand on the battlefield with advanced weapons, the guerrilla tactics of the Palestinian armed forces have also caused considerable trouble for the Israeli army. The two sides have sometimes stopped fighting and sometimes clashed again, leaving Israel in a quagmire from which it will not be able to extricate itself.
Second, Iran, Israel's biggest threat in the Middle East, has strengthened itself in recent years by making large arms purchases and intervening in regional affairs. Israel's repeated strikes against Iran have provoked retaliatory actions by the latter, and the struggle between the two countries in the Red Sea coast has intensified. The sinking of an Israeli aircraft carrier in the Red Sea is undoubtedly a heavy blow to its maritime power.
It can be seen from this that Israel's predicament is indeed due to internal and external troubles. The internal conflict with the Palestinians has made it difficult to concentrate and has been a serious drag on economic reconstruction, while externally, it is facing growing pressure from countries such as Iran, which is being challenged as never before in areas of traditional influence such as the Red Sea.
At a deeper level, Israel's predicament also reflects the upheaval of the Middle East. On the one hand, the growth of emerging powers such as Iran and Turkey has reshaped the region's balance of power, and on the other hand, the rivalry between external powers such as the United States has exacerbated the turmoil in the Middle East. In this context, Israel has limited access to space and resources.
It is imperative that Israel readjust its strategy, reinvigorate its military, secure its economy, and strengthen its diplomacy in order to regain its due influence. Otherwise, this country, which is regarded as the "fulcrum of the Middle East", is very likely to become a "frog at the bottom of the well" in the undercurrent of waves.
The optimistic trend is that under the condition that the influence of external powers is weakened, the Middle East countries will eventually achieve reconciliation with endogenous momentum, and Iran, Turkey, and other countries will gain more say through cooperation with neighboring countries, thus re-forming a new pattern of relative equilibrium.
The pessimistic outlook is that Israel's decline will accelerate the Middle East's instability due to the lack of confrontational power, and the involvement of external forces will intensify. At that time, it is very likely that the Middle East will repeat the mistakes of civil wars such as Syria and become a new arena for the contest of great powers.
In these two cases, the relevant parties need to take different measures. As far as Israel is concerned, it undoubtedly needs to rebuild its military, economic, and diplomatic strength as soon as possible and restore its influence in the Middle East; as far as Iran, Turkey, and other countries are concerned, it is necessary to exercise restraint and persist in cooperation with other countries to prevent the situation from getting out of control; and for external powers, it is all the more necessary to reduce its intervention in the Middle East and give local countries a chance to resolve contradictions on their own.
This incident quickly aroused heated discussions among netizens on the Internet:
Some netizens believe that the drastic changes in the situation in the Middle East are not unexpected, after all, what is in front of us is a new chess game with a greatly changed pattern. Israel's predicament, as the former "boss of the Middle East," now shows that the world is impermanent, and that any power will have a different day. As for where it will go next, it remains to be seen how all parties will fight their wits and courage.
Some netizens also believe that the turmoil in the Middle East is worrisome, but the war will not last forever. As long as all sides can be open-minded and sit down for peace talks, this struggle from which there is no return will certainly be resolved. The turmoil in the Middle East is nothing less than the intensification of conflicts in one big family, and reconciliation can be achieved only through dialogue.
Some netizens believe that external powers have always been the main culprits in this situation. Now that the chess pieces of the United States and Russia in the Middle East are inevitably collapsing, it is no wonder that the situation will become more and more chaotic. It is better to take this opportunity to return the power to the Middle Eastern countries themselves, so that they can rely on endogenous forces to build new associations and have their own order.
The differences and consensus of netizens are a microcosm of the future direction, which tests both our wisdom and our goodwill to the people of the Middle East. No matter how the situation evolves, we should uphold a neutral and rational attitude, take no sides, and always stand up for peace.
Looking at this series of changes, it is not difficult to see that Israel, as a traditional power in the Middle East, is already in danger, and it is experiencing a gradual distancing of its own power. But that doesn't mean the region will start anew. In fact, the current turmoil is only a symptom, reflecting a deeper power game that transcends Israel.
In order to overcome the turmoil and usher in true rejuvenation, all countries in the Middle East need to embrace each other with an open and inclusive mindset and jointly build a new order. Only in this way can this thousand-year-old civilization town regain its former glory.
"The rise and fall of the world is the responsibility of the husband. "In the face of the ongoing upheaval in the Middle East, it is incumbent upon us to ask a key question: What kind of leader does the Middle East really need?