The statements in this article are based on reliable sources and are repeated at the end of this article
It didn't take long for Israel to withdraw its troops and Iran said that it "can give up retaliation", but it didn't take long for Iran to suddenly strike again, and many Iranian armed forces suddenly began to launch a large number of missiles at many Israeli military bases, which caught the other side by surprise. [Listen to the song]
01 Revenge reappears
In fact, the reason why Israel will be bombed this time has a lot to do with himself, after all, Iran made it very clear at that time: if Israel can cease fire and withdraw from Gaza, then it will not retaliate against it.
But Israel is clearly playing a trick of "stealing the beams and changing the pillars", and the army has indeed begun to withdraw from Gaza, and there is still a brigade left there.
At the same time, although the armistice talks between Israel and Hamas are still ongoing, they have not yet ended, and there are still quite a few points of disagreement between the two sides that have not yet been resolved.
And in this case, Netanyahu also suddenly publicly stated that he has "given time" to attack the Rafah area of the Gaza Strip, doesn't that mean that he will continue to fight?
It is also the largest refugee concentration in Gaza, with 1.4 million refugees forced to gather here, and an attack on it would be horrific in its inflicted disaster.
There are also people on the Israeli side who clamored that the withdrawal of troops is for a better offensive. This has led Iran to think that the closure of 28 embassies and the so-called withdrawal of troops are actually trying to toughen itself to the end.
So after seeing that the other party thinks like this, then the premise of "stopping revenge" is not complied with at all, so naturally don't blame yourself for being "ruthless".
Of course, the bombing of Israel this time did not belong to Iran's direct action on the surface, but was carried out by the Iraqi armed organization "Iraqi Islamic Resistance Movement".
However, as a pro-Iranian armed group, if they want to carry out a direct bombing campaign against Israel, I am afraid that there are people behind it, and the missiles and drones and other equipment used are probably not something they can take out casually.
Moreover, this bombing can be said to be a surprise attack, which caught Israel by surprise, and because it was not prepared in advance, the defense was also quite panicked.
In fact, judging from Iran's reaction during the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, we can feel that they do have very good means, which are probably much higher than Israeli Netanyahu.
02 Iran reaction
First of all, Iran announced that it would retaliate against Israel, which was actually triggered by an attack on the embassy in Syria on April 1, which resulted in the deaths of several diplomatic and military personnel.
Among them, the commander of the Quds Force, Zahedi, who was also the successor of Soleimani, who was assassinated by the United States, was also killed in this attack, which shows that this was a long-planned "decapitation operation".
Such a situation will naturally provoke collective condemnation from the Iranian side, and it has also publicly stated that it "vows to retaliate against Israel".
Less than an hour after the embassy was bombed, Israel was bombed, and many of them were "suicide" operations carried out by drones, but most of the attacks were carried out by pro-Iranian armed groups in the surrounding area.
If you want to say that Iran actually went to retaliate, but there is no evidence at all, if you want to say why these people will attack them, it can only be said that you yourself have done too brutally, provoking all the neighbors around you to be "angry and resentful" and unbearable.
From the time Iran announced that it would retaliate until now, Iran has not directly attacked it at the official level, but in recent times, there have been many bombings and attacks on the Israeli side.
Even if the other side really wants to pressure the United States to go to war with Iran in person, there is not enough evidence, and at the same time, various sudden attacks have caused more panic in Israel, after all, it is not known when it may be bombed.
On the other hand, when Iran saw that the United States was not willing to go out directly, it began to use both soft and hard measures, indicating that the other side should not interfere in this matter, with direct warnings to it, and some goodwill to express that "if you are willing to withdraw your troops, you will not retaliate."
On the one hand, this will allow the United States to take the initiative to put pressure on Israel not to continue to expand the war, and on the other hand, it will also cause the United States to begin to waver in its support for Israel.
After all, he has clearly stated his intention of "don't interfere, otherwise I will fight with you", and if the Biden administration does not want a direct conflict at this time, then it will have to think more about what to do next.
03 The direction of the conflict
In fact, judging from the comparison between the two sides, we can feel that the Israeli side has now fallen behind, and for Netanyahu, his previous strategy was probably to expand the war, and even to oppress the United States in the end.
However, since the attack on the Iranian embassy, the United States has openly expressed its dissatisfaction and wavered in its support, and for the first time abstained from voting on the Palestinian-Israeli conflict at the UN General Assembly some time ago.
At the same time, after Netanyahu announced a date for an attack on Rafah, the United States also directly stood up and expressed its opposition, which is completely different from the previous image of standing firmly by Israel's side.
Of course, there are many reasons for this situation, such as the reluctance to directly engage in conflict with Iran in today's situation, Biden's approval rating in an election year, and the opposition of the domestic public to aid.
Therefore, after such a change, the Israeli side was afraid of Iranian retaliation, so it chose to close 28 embassies, withdraw its troops and defend against possible retaliation.
It would also show that their goals have been shrinking, and they have focused more on the confrontation with Hamas in the Gaza Strip, knowing that they may not be able to expand the war as a whole.
But since so many crimes have been committed, and many neighboring countries and organizations have come out to oppose it, how can you just shrink the scope if you want to?
Therefore, Israel may still carry out operations in Gaza, such as the attack on Rafah mentioned earlier, and the announcement of the killing of the three sons of the Hamas leader today, all show that the conflict is far from over.
However, as long as the conditions put forward by Iran are not complied with, then the subsequent "retaliation" may not stop, and there will be no fewer attacks from other armed groups, and even the previous bombings may be just a foreshadowing.
All in all, Netanyahu has now tied Israel to his "self-blowing train", and if he continues to drive, he will probably only be crushed, but if he does not go on, he will be crushed.
And it is precisely because of this situation that the whole situation is still dangerous, the blood left in Gaza is irreparable, and the local people may face even more brutal disasters, which is perhaps the greatest pain caused by this conflict.
Sources of information:
[1] Observer.com - "Iran Tells U.S. No Retaliation Against Israel If Gaza Ceasefire Is Ensured"
[2] Globo - Iraqi militias say they have launched attacks on Israeli military bases
[3] Bright Net - 15 rockets!
[4] Globo - Netanyahu said that the date for attacking Rafah has been set, and the leaders of the three countries including Macron jointly issued a warning!
[5] Straits Network - Israeli forces announce the killing of three sons of Hamas leaders