The world is like a chess game, and there are many unexpected variables. Seven days have passed since "Israel beheaded an Iranian officer". During this period of time, the situation in the Middle East has changed dramatically, and the contest between Iran and Israel can be said to be that you will sing and I will appear on the stage, and no one will let anyone.
On April 7, the Times of Israel revealed that Israel was preparing for the worst-case scenario, including an Iranian missile attack. Just in case, Israel canceled all leave for Israeli troops and called up reservists.
On the 7th, the main Israeli army chose to withdraw from Gaza. Why Netanyahu did this, whether he was preparing for the siege of Rafah, preparing for Iran, or negotiating with Hamas? But it's not hard to see from Israel's performance that Netanyahu is nervous.
It was at this time that Iran made a decision that made everyone feel "incredible".
On the 8th, Iran suddenly told the United States that if the White House could ensure a ceasefire agreement in Gaza, Iran would no longer respond to the "bombing of the Iranian embassy". Iran stressed that if the United States can succeed in containing the situation, it will be a great success for the White House, and on this basis, Iran can work on it.
In short, Iran wants to tell the United States: Iran can give up retaliating against Israel as long as you can stop Israel from besieging Gaza. The incident of "seven Iranian military personnel killed in the bombing" can be put to an end temporarily.
Iran's statement can be said to have exceeded everyone's expectations.
The front foot also threatened to "retaliate with a tooth for a tooth" and make Israel "regret it", and even showed missiles that were "enough to hit Israel itself." Subsequently, Iran gave Israel a chance to take advantage of the slope and get off the donkey: as long as Israel ceases fire in Gaza, everything will be fine.
The reversal of attitudes is so great that one can't help but wonder: what is Iran thinking?
You know, in order to form an "anti-Israel coalition", Iran's foreign minister has already traveled to Oman and Syria, and has also communicated with the Houthis. In order to support Iran, Iraqi forces, Lebanese Allah and the Houthis have retaliated against Israel, and the Houthis have even attacked Israeli ships and US warships.
But at this juncture, Iran waved its hand and directly issued "non-retaliatory conditions" to Israel.
Unfortunately, Israel seems to have been prepared for Iran's "sudden change of face". Israel is engaging with Hamas on the issue of a "return to the negotiating table".
What do you think about this?
First, I really didn't expect Iran to do this, and the United States, Russia, Britain and France were all deceived.
At the outset, Iran's message was tough: to make Israel pay a heavy price. But for now, it is clear that Iran has ulterior motives.
What Iran really wants seems to be to "encircle Wei and save Zhao" and force Israel to withdraw its troops from Gaza by threatening Israel.
In this way, the pressure on Hamas will be greatly reduced, and the Palestinian people living in Gaza will be able to breathe a sigh of relief. If Israel can be brought to its knees, Iran's international influence will be enhanced.
The reason is very simple: what the United States, Russia, Britain and France failed to do, finally let Iran do it, how can the world not look at Iran with admiration?
Second, in the past, when Iran shouted and shouted to kill Israel, the United States would not be as calm as it is now. The United States will make arrangements in advance, such as increasing troops in the Middle East, and US aircraft carriers may even be dispatched.
But this time, the United States has chosen to stand still, only to make the US military in the Middle East more vigilant, as well as to provide Israel with weapons.
Thirdly, this time, the initiative came to Israel's side. Iran has already thrown an olive branch, and it depends on whether Israel will take it.
If Netanyahu is determined to escalate the situation, Israel is likely to continue to besiege Gaza and even retaliate against Iran once again. If Israel doesn't want to make a big deal out of it, it would be a good choice to give in.
In a day, the situation changed dramatically, and the good thing is that a vicious battle probably doesn't have to break out. That's a good thing for the world.
As for whether Israel will change its tactics and whether the United States can convince Netanyahu, it remains to be waited and seen.