According to Iranian media reports, a plane carrying Iranian President Raisi and Foreign Minister Abdollahian was involved in an accident on May 19, the helicopter was sailing in heavy fog and eventually made a hard landing in Varzagan County, Azerbaijan Province, about 670 kilometers from Tehran.
Subsequently, after some efforts, the Iranian rescue team found the location of the crash of the helicopter in which Iranian President Raisi was riding, and through the on-site search and through the search of the accident area, no signs of survival were found, and Iranian President Raisi and others were all killed.
For the outside world, this incident is undoubtedly unfortunate, but the outside world is also very concerned about how the Iranian government will operate after Raisi and others are killed, such as who will succeed Raisi as Iranian president, and whether Iran's national strategic policy will be adjusted. For now, Iran's constitution stipulates that when the president dies suddenly, the first vice president will take over the position on an interim basis, and then re-elect when the situation stabilizes.
Iranian President Raisi
The current first vice president of Iran is Mohammad Mohber, who was personally appointed by Raisi, and the two sides have relatively close political ideas, so even if Iran faces a presidential change in the near future, its general national policy will not change.
The current situation in the Middle East is very tense, and the continuation of the Palestinian-Israeli conflict, as well as the fact that Iran and Israel have dropped missiles at each other, have made the situation in the region sensitive and tense. Therefore, the current international environment and situation facing Iran needs a hardliner like Raisi, and the Shiite arc also needs Iran to take the lead, so whether it is Mohamed Muheber who will take over, and the next president who will be re-elected later, it will be from the hardliners.
It should also be emphasized that with the death of Iranian President Raisi in a helicopter accident, the United States has not stopped its actions in the Middle East. According to a report by Lianhe Zaobao on May 20, US National Security Adviser Jake Sullivan gave a brief explanation to the Israeli prime minister, saying that he had held a constructive meeting with Arab Crown Prince Mohammed to discuss Israel's ground military action in the Gaza Strip.
According to Reuters, Sullivan's meeting with Netanyahu discussed potential options for Palestinian civilians in Israel and the Gaza Strip, as well as asking Israel to do its utmost to reduce the likelihood of civilian deaths.
Sullivan's two meetings were in fact aimed at putting pressure on Israel to minimize the number of Palestinian civilian casualties in the Gaza Strip. In addition, it has put pressure on Saudi Arabia to agree to accept the U.S.-mediated Arab Sunni reconciliation with Israel, join the U.S.-led Abraham Accords, establish diplomatic relations with Israel, and promote the so-called pacification process in the Middle East.
Saudi Arabia also issued a statement saying that during the meeting between Sullivan and Mohammed, the draft strategic agreement between the two sides was considered, and the Israeli military operation in the Gaza Strip was also considered.
Sullivan
So Sullivan's meeting with Israel was a pressure to keep Israel's military action within what the Arab world could bear. The meeting between Sullivan and Saudi Arabia was a request to accept the Saudi-Iranian rapprochement promoted by the United States.
Although it is not a bad thing for the United States to try to promote reconciliation in the Middle East, after all, maintaining a peaceful state in the Middle East will play a vital role in the security and stability of global energy and trade routes.
But the problem is that the core of the current Middle East problem is actually the conflict between Muslim Shiites and Israel. Although the Muslim Sunnis, that is, the Arab countries, have a grudge against Israel, in fact the conflict between the two sides is not large. The root cause of tension in the Middle East is the conflict between Israel and Shiite arc countries, such as Syria, Lebanon and Iran, and Yemen's Houthi rebels.
In other words, the United States' forcible push for reconciliation between Israel and Saudi Arabia without resolving the contradictions between Israel and the Shiite states will in fact only lead to division and confrontation within the Muslim countries. To some extent, this may even lead to internal conflicts between Muslim countries, which, on the basis of the conflict between Israel and Shiite countries, may lead to conflicts between Shiites and Sunnis, which is not conducive to peace and stability in the Middle East.
But from the perspective of the United States, this may be the goal of the United States and Israel, if the United States can stabilize the Arab world, it means that Israel will have an additional layer of security, plus take advantage of the confrontation between Muslim Sunnis and Shiites, which will also help alleviate the regional strategic pressure that Israel is facing.
To sum up, such actions by the United States are unrealistic, and even deliberately promote the escalation of the struggle in the Middle East. If the United States really wants to promote peace in the Middle East, it should promote the reconciliation of Saudi Arabia and Iran's positions on the Gaza Strip issue on the basis of China's promotion of the great reconciliation between Saudi Arabia and Iran, and actively implement the two-state solution through negotiations with Israel through the entire Muslim country, so that Palestine can become an independent state. Only in this way can we truly ensure peace and stability in the Middle East, but the US approach is the opposite at present, and it is entirely for the interests of the United States and Israel, and at a time when the political situation in Iran is ushering in changes, the United States is pressuring Saudi Arabia in the Middle East, which will inevitably lead to a white-hot struggle in the Middle East.