The Shanghai Composite Index regained 3,000 points in a row! AI and dividend assets are favored, and institutions interpret the market outlook
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Looking back at the market trend of the Shanghai Composite Index since 8 consecutive days (2.6-2.23), the Shanghai Composite Index rose 11.2% and recovered the year's losses, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 13.87%, and the ChiNext Index rose 12.52%.
Next, Brother Zixuan will use 5 pictures to take you to review the performance of A-shares here:
The turnover of the two cities has increased significantly
On the whole, the turnover of the two cities in the 8 consecutive yang range of the Shanghai Index has increased significantly. Among them, the turnover of the two cities on February 7 and February 8 directly exceeded one trillion. In addition, on February 6, February 19, February 21 and February 23, the turnover of the two cities was more than 0.9 trillion.
The theme sector generally rose
Since February 6, only the three major industries of grain planting, rare earths and airports have been green, and the rest of the sectors have shown cumulative gains. Specifically, due to the hot market of the artificial intelligence (AI) sector, digital media, communication equipment and other technology industries are among the top gainers.
The trend of 6 shares doubled in 8 trading days
Due to previous media reports that Weihaide was involved in the "multimodal AI concept", the company has won 6 consecutive boards, with a cumulative increase of more than 177% in 8 trading days. Anoqi and Insai Group are also among the top gainers due to the concept of AI. In terms of individual stock decliners, 8 shares, including *ST Mall, Letong Shares, and *ST Civil Control, have fallen by more than 10%.
High-dividend stocks are favored by the main force
Since February 6, the liquor duo has been favored by the main force, buying more than 3.8 billion yuan of Kweichow Moutai and adding more than 1.9 billion yuan of Wuliangye. Zijin Mining, China Merchants Bank, Ping An and other heavyweights were also scrambling to take the lead. In terms of net outflow, Zhongji InnoLight was sold more than 1.1 billion yuan, and Wanxing Technology, Kelai Electromechanical, and Lixu Precision were all sold more than 700 million yuan.
Northbound net buying Moutai was 4.6 billion
Dividend assets such as Kweichow Moutai, Wuliangye, China Merchants Bank, Ping An of China, and Industrial Bank are favored by the north, with net purchases exceeding 1 billion yuan. In terms of net outflows, WuXi AppTec and Wanhua Chemical were sold more than 1.2 billion yuan.
Regulatory actions are frequent
Recently, the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has made frequent policy moves to maintain market stability:
First, check the financial data of the IPO company for ten years. According to a person familiar with the matter, "demon stocks," listed companies whose performance has changed their faces, and whose stock prices have fallen sharply from their issue prices are the focus of inspection; enterprises that are in the stage of queuing for IPO or even that have withdrawn their materials are also included in the scope of the investigation.
Second, the supervision of quantitative trading has made another "combination punch". On February 19, the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock exchanges restricted Ningbo Lingjun from trading and launched a public reprimand procedure to crack down on short selling.
Third, since the Year of the Dragon, news of penalties in the securities market has come one after another. According to the website of the China Securities Regulatory Commission, a total of 11 people have recently been fined more than 80 million yuan for manipulating the stock price of listed companies or insider trading, involving many listed companies such as Hengyi Petrochemical and Meishang Ecology.
How to go in the future?
Guotai Junan pointed out that the rebound is expected to continue, and it is recommended to hold stocks to rise. Driven by the continued rise of the weighted sectors such as banks, the Shanghai Composite Index continued to fluctuate and rose at 3,000 points intraday, and the Shenzhen Component Index and the Growth Enterprise Market generally fluctuated. Although the index has continued to rebound, several core sentiment directions in the market still maintain a high degree of heat, high-level stocks continue to be strong, and hot spots rotate in an orderly manner. Overall, the current market is still in a relatively benign rebound structure. In the future, it is necessary to pay attention to whether the trading volume of the two cities can reach the level of about one trillion yuan, and at the same time pay attention to the sustainability of northbound capital inflows. In the short term, we can continue to pay attention to the low-absorption opportunities in the process of differentiation and rotation of popular plates, and we can also pay appropriate attention to the opportunities for making up for the over-falling sectors in the early stage.
Chen Guo believes that the market has seen a significant change before the Spring Festival, and the liquidity problem of the entire market has been solved, and with the introduction of a series of policies, the market has begun to enter a rebound to repair the market. In the future, on the whole, the bottom of the market should be said to have been established. Going forward, it should be said that there will be some shocks, some repetitions, but in general it is a repair trend, or a trend of oscillations to the upside. Overall, the market should be better this year than last year.
Bohai Securities Research Report pointed out that the A-share market has been under the care of the management, the risk will be gradually resolved, the market has also shown a bottom rebound process, the further rise of the market will need more help with the market's own strength. Looking ahead, if market confidence gradually recovers after the general rise, and drives the spontaneous formation of the main line of the market, then under the money-making effect, the market is expected to continue to reverse the trend or will be formed. On the contrary, if the main line of the market is scattered, the rotation effect will be accelerated after the general rise, and the resonance effect of funds is not strong, and the index will also enter the correction stage after the rebound.
In terms of opportunities, Guotai Junan recommends paying attention to AIGC/new quality productivity/production capacity going overseas/low-altitude economy.
1) AIGC: The progress and effect of the Wensheng video model Sora exceeded expectations, and Google released the Gemini 1.5 model, which is optimistic about the content creation companies and computing power industry chain that benefit from improved efficiency and reduced costs.
2) New quality productivity: Win the new track to lead the new direction of industrial investment, and be optimistic about new technologies and future scenarios such as intelligent manufacturing/new materials.
3) Overseas production capacity: In the context of structural overcapacity and insufficient demand, we are optimistic about high-end equipment/hardware tools and cross-border trade under new consumption trends.
4) Low-altitude economy: optimistic about low-altitude aircraft manufacturing/core components/flight service companies.
Chen Guo of China Securities Construction Investment said that in 2024, A-share earnings will grow positively, and high dividends will still be the focus. In addition to the dividend direction, there will also be some other investment opportunities. The first is the technology industry, and there is a semiconductor cycle and an electronic cycle in technology. The second is medicine, whose investment value is still significant in the medium term. The other is new energy. New energy is the most beautiful in China's market, and it is indeed an industry with core competitiveness in China. The other piece is AI, which needs medium-term attention.
Source: Tencent Pick-and-Greet Finance
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