沪指八连阳收复3000点！AI、红利资产受青睐，机构解读后市

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——腾讯官方证券投资平台

回顾沪指8连阳以来(2.6-2.23)市场走势，上证指数累涨11.2%并收复年内跌幅，深证成指累涨13.87%，创业板指累涨12.52%。

接下来自选哥用5张图带大家回顾一下此间A股表现：

两市成交额放量明显

整体来看，沪指8连阳区间两市成交额放量明显。其中，2月7日、2月8日两市成交额直接突破万亿。另外，2月6日、2月19日，2月21日以及2月23日两市成交额均在0.9万亿以上。

题材板块普涨

2月6日以来仅粮食种植、稀土、机场三大行业飘绿，其余板块均呈现累计上涨。具体来看，由于人工智能(AI)板块的行情火爆，故数字媒体、通信设备等科技行业涨幅居前。

8个交易日6股走势翻倍

因媒体此前报道维海德涉及“多模态AI概念”，目前公司已斩获6连板，8个交易日以来累计涨幅超177%。安诺其、因赛集团也均因蹭上AI概念累计涨幅居前。个股跌幅榜方面，*ST商城、乐通股份、*ST民控等8股累计跌超10%。

高股息股获主力青睐

2月6日以来白酒双雄获主力青睐，买入贵州茅台超38亿元，加仓五粮液超19亿元。紫金矿业、招商银行、中国平安等权重股也获抢筹居前。净流出方面，中际旭创遭抛逾11亿元，万兴科技、克来机电、立旭精密均遭抛售超7亿元。

北向净买茅台46亿

贵州茅台、五粮液、招商银行、中国平安、兴业银行等红利资产获北向看好，净买入金额均超10亿元。净流出方面，药明康德、万华化学遭抛逾12亿元居前。

监管动作频繁

近期证监会维护市场稳定的政策动作频繁：

其一，倒查IPO企业十年财务数据。据知情人士透露，“妖股”、业绩变脸、股价较发行价大跌的上市公司是检查重点；正处于IPO排队阶段、乃至已经撤回材料的企业同样在倒查范围之列。

其二，量化交易监管再出“组合拳”。2月19日，沪深交易所对宁波灵均限制交易并启动公开谴责程序，严厉打击做空行为。

其三，龙年以来，证券市场处罚消息接踵而至。据证监会网站显示，近期共有11人因操纵上市公司股价或内幕交易，被处罚共计超过8000万元，涉及恒逸石化、美尚生态等多家上市公司。

后市怎么走？

国泰君安指出，反弹有望持续，建议持股待涨为主。受到银行等权重板块继续上涨带动，沪指延续震荡上涨盘中站上3000点，深成指与创业板总体震荡。指数虽然经过持续反弹，但市场几大核心人气方向依旧维持着较高的热度，高位股依旧延续强势，热点有序轮动。整体而言当前市场仍处于较为良性的反弹结构之中。后续需要关注两市成交量能否达到万亿左右级别，同时留意北向资金流入的持续性。短线可继续关注热门板块分化轮动过程中低吸机会，另外可适当关注前期超跌板块的补涨机会。

中信建投陈果认为，这个市场在春节前出现了一个明显的变化，整个市场的流动性问题得到解决，随着一系列政策出台，市场开始进入反弹修复行情。往后总体来看，市场的大底应该说已经是确立了。往后走，应该说它会有一些震荡，会有些反复，但总体来说是一个修复的趋势，或者说是震荡偏向上的趋势。总体来讲，今年市场应该比去年好。

渤海证券研报指出，A股市场已在管理层的呵护下，将风险逐步化解，市场也呈现了底部的反弹过程，市场的进一步的上涨将需更多借助市场自身的力量。展望来看，如果普涨后，市场信心逐步恢复，并带动市场自发主线形成，则赚钱效应下，行情有望持续展开反转的趋势或将由此形成。反之，如果市场主线散乱，则普涨后轮动效应将加快，资金的共振效果不强，则指数反弹后也将进入到修整阶段。

机会方面，国泰君安建议关注AIGC/新质生产力/产能出海/低空经济等。

1)AIGC：文生视频模型Sora进展及效果超预期，谷歌发布Gemini 1.5模型，看好受益效率提升且成本降低的内容创作公司和算力产业链。

2)新质生产力：制胜新赛道引领产业投资新方向，看好智能制造/新材料等新技术和未来新场景。

3)产能出海：结构性产能过剩需求不足背景下，看好战略性出海的高端装备/五金工具和新消费趋势下的跨境贸易。

4)低空经济：看好低空飞行器制造/核心零部件/飞行服务公司。

中信建投陈果称，2024年A股盈利正增长，高股息红利依然是重点。除了红利方向外，也会有一些其他投资机会。第一个是科技行业，科技里首先有个半导体周期、电子周期。第二是医药，它的投资价值从中期来看，还是比较显著的。另外是新能源。新能源是中国曾经市场中最靓的仔，也确实是中国具备核心竞争力的行业。另外一块就是AI，AI需要中期关注。

来源：腾讯自选股财经

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