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The trend of work investment in the next 10 years must be known

author:Han Longfei Education Fund
The trend of work investment in the next 10 years must be known

Many people feel that it has become more and more difficult to make money in recent years, which is the feeling or opinion of many people, but is this really the case?

Not necessarily, in fact, we are in a critical period of a round of economic restructuring, and many people are still stuck in the original inertial thinking.

At present, many social emotions towards income, employment, and the economy are caused by this round of economic structural adjustment.

If we are not clear about the current trend, it can be painful, we will find it harder and harder to make money, and we will become more and more pessimistic about the future.

If we can understand that this adjustment brings short-term pain and great opportunities, and become one of the few who "turn" ahead of schedule, then you may become a new rich or upstart under the new economic structure.

This is also the trend we have to know about our work and career choices in the next 10 years.

PART.1

Trends in policy adjustments

We must first understand the impact of politics on the economy, especially living in a socialist country with Chinese characteristics.

We are a socialist political party, and the party has always represented the fundamental interests of the people, and put forward that future economic development should take into account efficiency and fairness, and the next goal should be to achieve common prosperity;

These policies are very important and have set a general direction for the next economic and social development, so only by knowing the party spirit and understanding the policies can we seek development.

Whether it is employment, entrepreneurship, or investment, we must listen to the party, follow the party, and serve the broad masses of the people in order to stand firm and have greater space for development.

In the past few years since the epidemic, we have experienced policy adjustments to the industry, which has affected a considerable number of "white-collar" or "high-salary" groups.

Student A, who graduated in 2021 with an annual salary of more than 200,000 yuan in a provincial capital city for two years, was planning to buy a house and settle down in this city, when the double reduction policy came, he suffered layoffs, and found a job with a monthly salary of 6,000 after half a year's rest.

Student B, who was in a large Internet factory in 2022 with a high salary, suffered layoffs in 2022, and changed companies after a break, and his salary dropped sharply.

Student C: I have been in the real estate industry for 7 years, bought 2 houses, and in the first half of 2023, the last batch of layoffs in the company left, and I am currently doing some small business with friends

These are the microcosms of the impact of policies on K12 education, Internet, and real estate practitioners. The two involve the three mountains of the people and the other involves monopoly, which is the result of the state's active regulation and control.

The impact of this is: internally, these people's incomes have been greatly reduced, and the high mortgage expenses are unsustainable;

Externally, he was originally a high-income role model for his relatives and friends, but now he has become the "spokesperson" for the decline in the economy, making the people around him feel the cold of the money and the economy even more.

We have never experienced such a concentrated and huge policy adjustment before, and for the first time, many people are not suitable and unacceptable;

Now that we have seen and experienced it, we need to change our fixed thinking, and then we must follow this trend to consider career choice and investment.

PART.2

The trend of industrial structure adjustment

In recent years, real estate, old infrastructure, and traditional manufacturing industries are accelerating their transition to high-tech industries, new infrastructure, and service industries.

It has been more than 40 years since the reform and opening up, and China has experienced a period of rapid development, but this is by no means the norm, and transformation and upgrading will inevitably be required at a certain stage.

The original industrial structure has faced the pressure of transformation and upgrading, and real estate, old infrastructure and traditional manufacturing have already entered the stage of transformation and upgrading;

Since 2016, it has been proposed that housing is not speculation, and in 2008, after the stimulation of 4 trillion infrastructure, the space for old infrastructure is becoming less and less, and in 2015, "Made in China 2025" proposed the transformation and upgrading of the traditional manufacturing industry.

It's just that the years after the epidemic have entered a critical period of comprehensive adjustment and transformation, and some people who originally benefited from the old industrial structure began to feel the chill of reduced income and the danger of being eliminated.

This is the inevitable adjustment of the industrial structure to a certain stage of development, and this round of adjustment has affected more people, and there are many people around you and me who are in this kind of adjustment.

Workers in real estate and upstream and downstream industries have their jobs affected, their incomes have declined, and they are seeking new outlets.

This large group of people is not yet fully integrated into the new industry, and is in the process of disrupting income or seeking new outlets, which directly leads to people becoming pessimistic about the economy.

Old infrastructure: including railway, highway, bridge, water conservancy and other infrastructure construction personnel. Fewer projects and fewer businesses have led to the loss of jobs, especially migrant workers.

This group of people is mainly selling labor, and finding a new job is not an advantage, which makes migrant workers worry about their future income and feel that it is becoming more and more difficult to make money.

Traditional manufacturing: especially enterprises engaged in low-end manufacturing, because of overcapacity, labor costs have no advantages, manufacturing transfer, employees are affected, income declines, and seek new outlets.

This group of people even exceeds the real estate population, which once absorbed more than 50% of the employed population, but now there are fewer job opportunities, wages are falling, and many are struggling to hold on or seek their own way.

If you are in the previous industrial structure, it will be difficult for you in the past few years, and it will be more and more difficult in the future, what should we do?

That is, we should clearly understand the development trend of employment, actively jump out of the original industry, and integrate into the new industrial structure as soon as possible.

PART.3

Trends in the direction of employment

In fact, it is not that it has become more and more difficult to make money in recent years, but that the world has changed, and the previous experience of making money and the skills of making a living are suddenly not good;

If you don't adapt to the trend and change the preconceived mindset shaped by your previous experience, you will be eliminated.

If you adjust faster than others, you will find that in the past few years, it has been said that the economy is not good and it is difficult to make money, but there are some people who make money more and more easily.

Student A: The live streaming company is engaged in operation, and many jobs and headhunters take the initiative to find him.

Student B: I just graduated from 211 University and received offers from more than a dozen companies such as Meituan, Byte, Huawei, JD.com, and iFLYTEK, and the entry salary is generally between 250,000 and 350,000 yuan, and most of my classmates are in a similar situation.

Student C: I returned to my hometown to start a business and breed for 11 years, and it was very difficult before 2019, with the development of self-media, business has been getting better and better in recent years, and I bought a suite, 2 cars, an Audi, and a Mercedes-Benz.

These are professional and technical personnel such as live broadcast operations, computer professional and technical posts, breeding + self-media, and industries that integrate traditional new business models and are easy to make money.

From here, we can see that professional technology is becoming more and more popular, and the integration of traditional business and new business models, and the innovation of service circulation links can also bring new growth points.

This is just a microcosm of some individual cases and some groups of people around us, and we need to look at the general industrial structure trend to see the greater trends and opportunities.

From the perspective of the large industrial structure, we know that real estate, old infrastructure, and traditional manufacturing industries are transforming into high-tech industries, new infrastructure, and service industries.

High-tech industries, such as the photovoltaic industry, new energy battery industry, chip industry, AI artificial intelligence industry, big data, cloud computing, bioengineering and other industries, have become more and more profitable in recent years, and the salary of personnel is basically more than 200,000 yuan.

The 5G communication industry, UHV industry, Internet security, security and other industries in the new infrastructure are also becoming more and more profitable.

There are also more and more opportunities in the service industry, such as clothing, food, housing and transportation services, home services, entertainment services, childcare services, elderly care services, education services, and consulting services.

The above is the development trend of employment direction, and it is the main consideration direction of our employment and career choice.

PART.4

There will be a flow of people to the service industry

We see that the industrial development trend mentioned above is mainly high-tech industry or high-end manufacturing industry and service industry, but the high-tech industry has a high educational background and technical threshold, and the number of people accommodated is relatively small.

What can really accommodate a large number of new jobs is the service industry, which is also the trend of industrial development.

The service industry, according to the official definition, refers to the business that uses equipment, tools, places, information or skills to provide services to the society, including agency, hotel, catering, tourism, warehousing, leasing, advertising and other services.

In the United States, the number of people employed in the service sector accounted for 54% of total employment in 1950, 75% in 2000, and 83% in 2004.

In China, the number of people employed in the service sector accounted for 40.6% of total employment in 2014, 46.3% in 2018, 48% in 2021, and is expected to reach 54.9% by 2025.

Under this trend, social phenomena have already been revealed, such as:

In recent years, Didi car owners, food delivery riders and other travel services and life services have attracted a lot of employment.

The tourism, accommodation, camping, and RV economies have also become more and more popular in recent years, and these are all service economies.

Zibo and Harbin have been out of the circle successively, and they are inseparable from the efforts in service.

And then the laundry, housekeeping, maintenance services, childcare services, physiotherapy services, massage massage, yoga health, elderly care and other service formats that can be seen everywhere around us are developing against the trend.

The above is just life services, and the production service space will be larger (limited to space, if you want to know about this kind of opportunity, you can leave a lot of messages to introduce it later), this is the trend, and a large number of people will flow to the service industry in the future.

At present, the contribution of China's service industry output value to GDP is only equivalent to that of the United States in 1990, and there is still a lot of room for development in the future.

PART.5

end

When you understand the trend of policy adjustment, industrial structure adjustment, and employment development that are taking place at present, you can understand so many emotions in China at this stage.

Because in the more than 40 years since the reform and opening up, we have not made a major economic restructuring, and now we want to adjust the structure of the real estate industry and the structure of the manufacturing industry, you will be very painful.

The painful reason is that the way you are used to making money, the way of living, the way of dealing with and the way of doing business need to be adjusted, so you will inevitably feel that the world has changed, the money is not easy to make, and you are more and more worried about the economy.

So it's not that money is hard to make, it's not that the economy is bad, it's that we're going through an unprecedented change, and some people are destined to be eliminated in this change;

At the same time, there will inevitably be some new rich and new upstarts, and we need to have a clear understanding of the trend of this era, so as to guide our work and career choice.

In the face of the times, everyone only needs to take advantage of the trend and actively create, remember that for us ordinary people, it is never the heroes who make the times, but the times that make the heroes.

Well, that's all for this talk, we know that real estate is undergoing unprecedented structural adjustment, which is related to the livelihood of the vast majority of families in China, and also related to the investment future of many middle classes;

Can you still buy a house in 2024, and what will be the future trend of real estate?

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