In the past few days, the game between the U.S. federal government and the Texas state government around illegal immigration is intensifying. The latest news is that as of January 26, local time, 25 Republican governors across the United States have expressed their support for Texas Governor Abbott to use the National Guard to defend the border and expel the Federal Border Patrol.
M1 main battle tank on the streets of Texas
And Trump also lost no time in stepping in, praising Texas Governor Abbott for erecting barbed wire and deporting illegal immigrants at the border, and incidentally boycotting the Biden administration's inaction in defending the US border and letting in a large number of Amigo. The Biden administration was furious at Trump's statement, and many Democrats accused Trump of muddying the waters, and the situation was in chaos......
What's wrong with the United States
What happened in the United States, and how did Texas just get up to face with the federal government? Actually, it seems that this incident started at the beginning of this month, but in fact, the signs began in the middle of last year.
On the 11th of this month, the Texas National Guard suddenly dispatched troops to take control of Shelby National Park on the border between the United States and Mexico. Separated from Mexico by the Rio Grande, it has always been the last stop for Latin American Amigos, who have been smuggled into the United States by large numbers due to the shallow and slow flow of the water.
The Border Patrol of the federal government system, because of the spirit of the federal government's instructions, ignored these beautiful Amigos, or simply pulled them away, and finally angered the Texas government. After the Texas National Guard occupied Shelby Park, it immediately erected barbed wire along the river to prevent Amigo from illegally crossing the border.
When the news reached Washington, the Biden administration was furious, and how dare a state government not carry out federal orders and dare to provoke people in our federation? On January 22, the U.S. Supreme Court issued a 5-4 ruling that the Texas government had acted illegally, and that the National Guard must be immediately withdrawn and the barbed wire fence must be removed, that is, the Amigos should continue to be allowed to cross the border, and the Biden administration issued an executive order to Texas the next day after receiving the Supreme Court's ruling.
An army of immigrants on foot to the United States
The Biden administration has done a very tough job, but I didn't expect the Texas government to be even tougher, and Texas Governor Abbott directly pulled out the Constitution of the United States of America and announced that the border areas of the United States are suffering from an "invasion threat" by invoking Article 1, Paragraph 10, Item 3 of the US Constitution! Therefore, the state government has the right to use the National Guard to deal with the "invasion threat," which has detonated the problem of legal interpretation of the US Constitution.
The Biden administration is still in the circle, but I didn't expect the Texas government to start a tandem, and overnight, 25 Republican state governments announced their solidarity with the Texas government. Some Republican state governments have the money to contribute money, some people have contributed people, some have sent the National Guard to assist the Texas government in controlling the border situation, some have expressed their intention to support the Texas government for barbed wire, and Florida Governor DeSantis, who has just announced his withdrawal from the 2024 US presidential election, also stood up for the first time and announced that he would support the National Guard and corresponding materials and equipment to Texas.
The Texas National Guard moved heavy equipment to the border by rail
The 50 states of the United States were suddenly divided into two factions in the "Texas border confrontation" incident, and even many experts and scholars in the United States shouted outrageously, and some even compared the confrontation between the National Guard and the Federal Border Patrol with the siege of Sumter Fort by the Southern Territorial Army at the outbreak of the Civil War, believing that the United States was not far from the outbreak of the Second Civil War.
Will there be a civil war in the United States
Is the United States really going to fight a civil war? Big Ivan thinks that it is not very likely, but in fact, how can we say such a thing as politics, some people say that politics is a self-fulfilling prophecy, and the more you worry about something, the more you will avoid something. For example, in the game between the Texas government and the federal government, at the beginning of the game, some people in the United States exclaimed that there was a threat of civil war, and the federal government and the Texas government are expected to try their best to avoid such a threat.
The latest news at the moment is that the Biden administration is said to have taken a straight and appropriate admit after discovering that the Republican states are in tandem, and did not send federal troops to confront the National Guard, and also ordered the federal government's border patrol to temporarily withdraw from the border area. At the same time, the Senate and the House of Representatives were urgently asked to hold consultations on border defense to see if they could negotiate the greatest common denominator with the Republicans or something.
This is not to say that the Democratic Party will really give in, but at least it proves that at the juncture when things may become big, the US federal government still wants to turn this matter into a small matter as soon as possible. Therefore, as long as both parties have this idea, then I believe that this abstract behavior in Texas will be subsided as soon as possible.
And the most fundamental factor, the contradiction between Texas and the federal government this time, has not yet involved the contradiction of "abolition of slavery and not abolition" of the Civil War, which is like killing parents by taking people and money. Although Amigo is hated in the eyes of many Americans, it does not threaten the interests of the financial and military-industrial big bourgeoisie as the ruling class of the United States for the time being, and at best stays at the level of election issues. So how to say it, of course, there are still contradictions at present, but for the time being, they have not developed to the extent that they have to fight a civil war, not to mention that the federal states are still clear about how many pounds and taels their National Guard has and how many taels they have, and if they really want to fight a civil war, they are really not the opponents of the federal army.
Therefore, the current drama in Texas is more like the maximum pressure learned from Trump, which will give you an abstract and ruthless job that is unacceptable to the entire federal government, and then the federal government has no choice but to admit it. It is expected that after the federal government admits instigation, the Texas government will also step down, which is basically the routine.
Contradictions in the United States
But not to mention anything else, such a fuss in Texas has exposed some deep-seated contradictions in the United States.
First, there is the problem of the United States being unjust in Texas. When the United States incorporated Texas into its territory, it first instigated the establishment of a lone star republic and then incorporated this lone star republic into its territory. Speaking of which, this lone star republic was snatched from Mexico, and you may look similar? Yes, isn't this exactly the same as Russia's operation in the two states of Donbass?
It's really different, the two states of Donbass are mostly ethnic Russians, and there is a natural intimacy with Russia. On the one hand, Texas is far away from the 13 states on the east coast of the political core of the United States and is a real frontier region, and on the other hand, it comes from the grassroots self-government tradition of the United States, which is extremely obvious in Texas, and has allowed Texas to retain this "lone star republic."
In the case of the rising national power of the United States, this independent trend of thought in the Lone Star Republic is bound to be suppressed and not many people agree with it. After all, the founding fathers of the United States made it clear in the Federalist Papers that the United States should establish a unified federation rather than a separate confederation to ensure unity of domestic policy and foreign command. But if when the national power of the United States declines, will the original federal states have some new ideas, it is not certain.
This is the same as the problem of Scotland and England, when everyone goes out to fight together, drink wine and eat meat, it is easy to say anything, but now that the national strength is not good, those who are more active begin to have some other ideas. The quarrel between Texas and the federal government can be said to be just a small episode brought about by the disagreement between the federal government and the local state government due to some ideas and certain conflicts of interest. However, if this episode continues, it is not excluded that in the near future this discordant stream will turn into a raging flood.
Second, there is the issue of widening contradictions between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party. The current situation is very clear, desperately releasing Amigo in the United States is actually beneficial to the Democratic Party, after all, when the time comes to amnesty, these people will naturally become the iron votes of the Democratic Party, so the Republican Party is of course unhappy. It's just that the forces on both sides are basically balanced now, and the Republican Party still has room to turn around, so the two sides can still talk.
But if a few years later, Amigo puts in more and more, and several iron red states of the Republican Party can actually be converted into blue states, then the situation is really uncertain, and it may really reach the level of what we call "robbing people of money like killing parents...... Therefore, it is more likely that this drama in Texas will be a rehearsal for a bigger mess a few years later, maybe more than ten years later, and we don't know whether it will make a bigger mess.
M2 infantry fighting vehicle on Texas roads
All in all, with the start of 2024 in Texas, it has given us a whole job, and with the official start of the 2024 U.S. election, throughout this year, the intrigue between the Democratic Party and the Republican Party has been colluding with each other, and I don't know how many moths can be made. Among them, due to the addition of Trump, a master who behaves perversely, does not care much about the consequences, and would rather make things bigger than make big things small, it may bring us a lot of uncertainties.
Child casualties have also been a controversial topic at the border
In the new year, for the United States, Big Ivan thinks, it's hard to say how many strange things are waiting ahead, let's wait to watch the show.