The reversal came, and the other day the South Korean side said that North Korea carried out an artillery operation on South Korea's Yeonpyeong Island, on the basis of which South Korea criticized North Korea for "taking the initiative to destabilize on the border", and then launched a series of so-called countermeasures.
However, just now, the slap in the face came. North Korean officials announced that they did not carry out an artillery operation on Yeonpyeong Island, but simulated the sound of shelling, and carried out a fraudulent operation, and they produced relevant video materials as strong evidence.
Considering that the South Korean side has so far failed to produce tangible evidence that the North Korean shelled Yeonpyeong Island, especially the traces of the craters left by the shelling, it is clear that the North Korean side is much more credible than the South Korean side in this incident.
So why did South Korea react so strongly to the sound of simulated shelling? Did South Korea become a frightened bird, or did it want to play on the topic?
1
South Korea is on the move
The shelling of Yeonpyeong Island took place more than 10 years ago, when North and South Korea engaged in a series of artillery battles around Yeonpyeong Island.
In this artillery battle, the ROK army, which was not well prepared and had insufficient training, although it possessed relatively advanced artillery weapons, fell behind in the artillery battle.
The Yeonpyeong incident is also seen as the beginning of tensions on the Korean Peninsula after 2010, and we know that it was the North Korean nuclear issue that really caused tensions at that time.
The bombardment of Yeonpyeong Island is just one manifestation of the constant friction and escalation of the conflict between North and South Korea in this environment.
However, North Korea has been promoting economic development in recent years. Its sufficient national defense capability ensures that the DPRK can have better conditions to promote agriculture and economic development.
Their official reports have also begun to focus on agricultural and economic aspects, and most recently reported on the inspection of the production of agricultural machinery in North Korea by its top leader.
On the contrary, South Korea has become increasingly nervous in recent years, constantly taking tough measures on the border and vigorously updating its military equipment. There is a feeling that North Korea has become South Korea and South Korea has become North Korea.
In particular, after South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol came to power in the past two years, South Korea has turned to the United States in an all-round way on the Korean Peninsula issue.
In keeping with the overall U.S. strategy of containing China and to realize its political ambitions, South Korea has continued to create contradictions on the border issue and has made increasingly tough rhetoric, showing an aggressive offensive posture.
After North Korea successfully launched a military satellite last year, South Korea unilaterally tore up some of the terms of the Panmunjom armistice treaty on the grounds that North Korea violated those terms by launching a military satellite.
But in fact, South Korea had launched its military satellite earlier, and North Korea's actions were just an excuse for South Korea.
2
South Korea has two possibilities
Specifically, when it comes to this incident, is it because the South Korean side misjudged the DPRK's actions and misjudged the sound of the DPRK's simulated shelling as an artillery bombardment, or did the ROK misinterpret it as a fool and use the topic to play on the topic?
It's not clear for the time being.
If the first possibility is the case, then it means that the quality of the front-line troops of the DPRK is quite poor, and it is impossible to tell whether they have been shelled or not?
Thinking that they had been shelled just by hearing the sound of artillery, such an army would probably not have the courage to fight on the battlefield, and perhaps it would only take one shelling to crush it.
Therefore, if the front line of the South Korean army misjudged the situation, then it means that the situation of the South Korean army is very bad.
If it is the second possibility, then it means that South Korea is ready to make a move on the Korean Peninsula issue, and wants to create a contradiction and conflict out of nothing or fish in troubled waters, and then use the topic to play.
While North Korea is developing its economy and agriculture, South Korea wants to provoke a war on the 38th parallel.
On the one hand, this shows South Korea's current ambitions, and on the other hand, it may also show that the current domestic contradictions in South Korea are extremely serious, and it is necessary to divert domestic contradictions through war.
This possibility is worth paying attention to, as it shows that South Korea is actively seeking a war, and South Korea will become a very dangerous destabilizing factor in the situation in Northeast Asia.
Considering that the ROK military has been constantly updating and developing its equipment in recent years, and that it conducted a secret space launch mission last year, there is reason to suspect that the ROK military is actively preparing for war and has the possibility of taking the lead in starting a war.
Obviously, whatever the possibility, South Korea is not as harmless and innocent as they advertise. So what kind of situation does South Korea belong to? We may be able to analyze it from the reaction of the South Korean side after the North Korea slapped it in the face.
3
South Korea cannot admit it
After the North Korean side gave video evidence of the simulated shelling, the South Korean side refused to admit that it was a simulated shelling, insisting that Yeonpyeong Island had been shelled.
However, the South Korean side has not yet been able to produce sufficient and strong evidence to prove that Yeonpyeong Island was shelled by the North Korean army, and it is difficult not to doubt the real intentions of the South Korean side.
We can combine the two possibilities we mentioned above to understand why South Korea refuses to recognize the incident as a simulated shelling.
If it is the first possibility, then after South Korea admits it, the outside world will have doubts about the real situation of the South Korean army and put a question mark on their combat effectiveness.
Considering that South Korea has been working very the propaganda of the ROK army for a long time, and its national self-confidence is also related to the long-term propaganda of the ROK army's combat effectiveness.
Obviously, South Korea cannot admit that their army has a poor level of training and low combat effectiveness.
If the second possibility is the case, then South Korea will no longer be able to play the role of a passive response, and the outside world will clearly know that South Korea is the one that provokes instability in Northeast Asia.
This is unfavorable to South Korea in terms of international public opinion.
Moreover, China attaches great importance to the stability of the situation in Northeast Asia, which will also lead China to take certain measures against South Korea.
Therefore, if South Korea admits that the incident on Yeonpyeong Island was a simulated artillery bombardment by the North Korean army, and the problems that follow are all played by themselves, then South Korea will be put in a passive position, and South Korea can still see this clearly.
So we expect to see a number of rhetorical confrontations between the two Koreas on this issue, which may be accompanied by some military movements along the border.
Whatever the situation in South Korea may be, it is clear that the situation in Northeast Asia will become more volatile as a result of South Korea's actions.