At 19 o'clock in the evening of December 28, 2023, the third political opinion conference of the 2024 leadership election in Taiwan will be held, and Hou Youyi, Lai Qingde and Ke Wenzhe will compete on the same stage again. After this round of political talks, the three of them also had a televised debate. In the first two rounds of political opinion conferences, Lai Qingde behaved in an average manner, and could even be called full of lies; Hou Youyi was impressive, changing the style of a good gentleman in the past, and fiercely aimed artillery fire at Lai Qingde; and Ke Wenzhe insisted on only stressing political views and not participating in debates. But what is surprising is that after the end of the two rounds of political opinion conferences, before the third round of political opinion conferences, the poll gap between Hou Youyi and Lai Qingde actually reversed!
According to the latest poll conducted by the "Beautiful Island Electronic News", the support rate of Lai Xiaopei of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) soared to 40.0 percent, an increase of 1.3 percent, the support rate of Hou Kang of the Hou Democratic Party was only 28.9 percent, a decrease of 0.8 percent, and the support rate of Ke Ying of the People's Party was 17.6 percent, an increase of 1.0 percent. In other words, the poll gap between Hou Youyi and Lai Qingde widened to 11.1%. If you look at this poll gap, even if Ke Wenzhe takes the initiative to give up insurance at the last moment, plus Guo Taiming returns to Taiwan to support Hou Youyi, I am afraid there is no way to reverse it. In other words, if the polls of "Beautiful Island Electronic News" had not done anything, Lai Qingde could basically lie down and win, and Hou Youyi and Ke Wenzhe could think about the defeat speech in advance.
In this regard, Liu Jiachang, a dark blue Korean fan, believes that there is a big problem with the Kuomintang's strategy. Lai Qingde's iron votes are around 38 percent, and no matter how the Kuomintang fights, it will be difficult to beat down. However, the Kuomintang left Ke Wenzhe alone and devoted its main energy to fighting Lai Qingde. In this way, Ke Wenzhe stole many votes in the south to support the Kuomintang, while Lai Qingde's iron votes gradually returned, rushing to 40%. In fact, what Liu Jiachang said has some truth, but it may not be all right. 10 days before the election vote, all polls in Taiwan must be closed, that is, no polls can be released, and the support rate of Hou Youyi and Lai Qingde suddenly changed from 3% to more than 10%, is it a very coincidence that the polls of "Beautiful Island Electronic News" are accurate?
After all, Wu Zijia, the chairman of the "Beautiful Island Electronic News", has close ties to the Democratic Progressive Party, and it was the British who expelled him from the party, not the new trend. In 2022, Wu Zijia has repeatedly shouted that he supports Lai Qingde. We also need to look at other polls, and if the gap between Hou and Lai in other polls suddenly widens, it means that Wu Zijia is not cheating. If other polls do not fluctuate much between Hou Lai, it means that Wu Zijia is playing tricks again. Of course, it is an indisputable fact that Hou Youyi is behind Lai Qingde. After all, Hou Youyi's personal political charm is not as attractive to the blue camp as Lai Qingde is to the green camp. Now it seems that the 2024 Taiwan leadership election has fallen into a fog again.
Everyone is welcome to leave a message, do you think the poll of "Beautiful Island E-News" is accurate?