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This is the root cause of the decline in the birth rate, housing prices, education, and health care are all illusions

author:Joy in poetry, standing in etiquette, and happiness in pleasure 1
This is the root cause of the decline in the birth rate, housing prices, education, and health care are all illusions

When the fertility issue is on the table, the essential problem is obscured.

No homeowners say that because housing prices are too high, it affects the birth rate; Those who have children say: the cost of education is too large, which affects the birth rate; People who have experienced high medical costs say the cost is too high, affecting the birth rate.

However, the author believes that these are important factors, but not fundamental factors. The author's article "House price, education, and medical care do not have much impact on the birth rate, and the age of first marriage is the focus" (click on the link to see) believes that the age of first marriage is too large is the root cause of the decline in the birth rate.

The article has several points:

1. The marriage age in foreign countries is younger than in China. Generally under 20 years old.

2. The marriage age in ancient China was relatively young, not more than 20 years old.

3. The age of first marriage in contemporary China is too large, with an average age of about 30.

4. The optimal childbearing age should be under 20 years old.

5. The extension of the school system has delayed the age of first marriage.

After the age of 6 and 18, what was originally an adult has become a huge child.

7. Double reduction cannot increase the birth rate.

8. Lowering the age of marriage is fundamental to increasing the birth rate.

This is the root cause of the decline in the birth rate, housing prices, education, and health care are all illusions

When is the most scientific time to get married, the marriage law has been stipulated, 22 men and 20 women. After pushing the age of marriage back 10 years, everything changes, just like after the fruit on the tree is ripe, wait another month before picking, at this time some fruits are rotten, some have withered, and only a small part can be eaten, which is contrary to the laws of nature.

The author's following article reverses: Didn't you say that housing prices, education and medical care affect the birth rate, and if these problems are solved, can the birth rate rise? Please see:

If medical education were free, housing prices plummeted, and wages doubled, would you have one more child?

The conclusion is that if these problems are solved, the birth rate will improve, but not much.

So what causes this phenomenon? Please see:

Shortening the school system and attaching importance to the selection and training of talents in individual subjects are the focus of educational reform

It is understood that the extension of the academic system in the compulsory education stage and the expansion of university enrollment have pushed the age of first marriage back several years, completely changing the pattern of marriage and changing people's concept of marriage and childbearing. It turns out that this is the root cause of the decline in the birth rate.

This is the root cause of the decline in the birth rate, housing prices, education, and health care are all illusions

So can it be changed back? This action is too big and will involve many aspects. At least there is an excess, there is a process, it is not achieved overnight.

So before the reform, under what circumstances would one more child be considered?

In the past, didn't rural women not go to work to raise children, but now they give birth to children for the state, and the state pays salaries. Add zero to the maternity allowance, and then pay a monthly allowance, don't pay a few hundred yuan without pain, add a zero, only until the age of 18.

Or a one-time heavy prize, the prize to the heart, 7 figures.

Without practical measures, daily verbal attacks cannot solve the fertility problem.

This is the root cause of the decline in the birth rate, housing prices, education, and health care are all illusions
This is the root cause of the decline in the birth rate, housing prices, education, and health care are all illusions

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