On May 5, Beijing time, with the Heat beating the 76ers 119:103 and the Suns beating the Lone Rangers 129:109, Fivethirtyeight's playoff winning probability list is also officially updated. According to the current probability rankings, the Suns now have the highest 38% probability of winning the championship on this list. In the current NBA playoff semifinals, the Suns are now also 2:0 ahead of the Lone Rangers in the series, and it is no surprise that the Suns may be the brightest presence on the NBA playoff stage this year.
As for the Celtics, they occupy the second place in the probability of winning the championship, and now the Celtics are 1:1 in the series and the Bucks, which is also the favorite team for the NBA to win the championship predicted by the US media. Now that the Celtics have a 25 percent chance of winning the title, they and the Suns are also at the top of the list. Facing last season's NBA championship team, the Celtics still maintain the possibility of winning the series, and if they can finally successfully cross the Bucks barrier, I believe that the Celtics will eventually rush out of the Eastern Conference.
The no. 3 Heat on the list predicted the probability of winning the championship is 11%, and the probability value of the 4th Place Bucks is 10%, and the probability of winning the championship between the two Eastern teams is currently very close. Although the Heat have now won two consecutive games against the 76ers, the Heat's championship does not seem to be enough throughout the playoffs. As for the playoffs of the defending champion Bucks, due to the injury problem of the main star Middleton, the Bucks can only fight the Celtics with all their strength now, and the team has now lost its previous lineup dominance.
No. 5 on the list is the Warriors in the Western Division, and Fivethirtyeight currently predicts that the Warriors have an 8% chance of winning this year's championship trophy. As we all know, due to Dillon Brooks' bad fouls, Warriors player Gary Payton Jr. may not be able to continue to return to the playoffs, and the overall strength of the Warriors is now declining. Moreover, because the team is in the NBA Western Division, even if the Warriors finally defeat the Grizzlies, then they will have to face a more powerful Suns team, so now the US media only gives the Warriors an 8% probability of winning the championship, and such a prediction value is obviously not comparable to the Suns!