On April 30, Beijing time, with the dust settled on the last game of the first round of this year's NBA playoffs, the Grizzlies reversed the Timberwolves 4-2 in double digits to advance, and also announced that the second round of 4 sets of showdowns were all released. According to the latest probability update of the famous American data media FiveThirtyEight, only two teams in the second round have a promotion probability of more than 70%, the Suns 77% and the Celtics 75% in the top two, and the Warriors 54% in the 4th place. In terms of the probability of winning the championship, the Celtics are 35% and the Suns are 29%, and the Warriors are 9% and Philadelphia are 6%.
Full results in the first round
West: Suns 4-2 Pelicans, Grizzlies 4-2 Timberwolves, Warriors 4-1 Nuggets, Lone Rangers 4-2 Jazz
East: Heat 4-1 Hawks, Celtics 4-0 Nets, Bucks 4-1 Bulls, Philadelphia 4-2 Raptors
The Grizzlies and Timberwolves became the final group to end the first round of the series, and the Grizzlies trailed by as many as 13 points before taking a strong counterattack in the last two quarters. Not only do we need to thank Dillon and Bain for hitting 5 three-pointers to shoot 20+, Morant still contributed quasi-triple-double data in the face of poor offensive crosshairs, especially in the last minute to dedicate key offensive passes to win, leading the team to beat the Timberwolves 4-2 to advance.
The second round of promotion probabilities is updated
Eastern Conference Semifinals: Heat vs Philadelphia, Celtics vs Bucks
Western Conference Semifinals: Suns vs Lone Rangers, Grizzlies vs Warriors
1、 Sun 77%
2. Celtic 75%
3、 Heat 56%
4. Warriors 54%
5. Grizzly Bear 46%
6. Philadelphia 44%
7、 Bucks 25%
8. Lone Ranger 23%
The final western conference semifinals were released, and the Youth Grizzlies and Curry-led Warriors once again met in a narrow road. In last season's playoffs, Morant led the Grizzlies to eliminate the Warriors to advance to the playoffs, and now the two teams have met again, and the Grizzlies still have home advantage, which is naturally expected to fight for the Elimination of the Warriors again. Just according to the predictions of the US media data website, the Warriors are the more optimistic side, and their promotion probability is 54%, which is better than the Grizzlies' 46%.
As for the 4 groups of duels in the second round, only two teams were predicted to have a promotion probability of more than 70%, and there is no doubt that the second round of duels will be more intense. The Suns 77% and the Celtics 75% are in the top two of the second round of the promotion probability list, the Suns will encounter a lone ranger duel led by Doncic, Paul, Booker and Doncic, Brunson are highly anticipated, and the Suns are naturally more optimistic. As for the defending champion, the lack of second-in-command Middleton, the currently in good form of Celtic is more optimistic.
In addition, Philadelphia only has a 44% chance of qualifying, and Embiid's orbital fracture is the biggest hidden danger, and he is likely to miss the opening game of the second round, which also puts Philadelphia in a disadvantageous situation. Harden needs to shoulder the heavy responsibility of leading the team forward, especially challenging the Heat, who are extremely good defensively, and once Harden is in a downturn again, it will be extremely difficult for Philadelphia to qualify.
The probability of winning the championship is updated
1. Celtic 35%
2、 Sun 29%
3. Warriors 9%
4. Bucks 7%
5、 Philadelphia 6%
6、Heat 6%
7. Grizzly Bear 5%
8. Lone Ranger 3%
In terms of the probability of winning the championship, the Celtics' lead has further weakened, and they have slipped from a maximum of 42% to 35% today, but they are still in the first place. As for the Suns, which have risen to 29%, they are constantly approaching the gap with the Celtics, and the probability of the remaining 6 teams winning the championship is predicted to be less than 10%.
The Warriors were second and third with 9 percent and the Bucks at 7 percent, while Philadelphia and the Heat were on average at 6 percent, and the Grizzlies were 5 percent and the Lone Rangers at 3 percent. There is no showdown on the following gram in the first round, and it is likely that there will be a gram in the second round, and the championship competition is also the biggest suspense.
(Text/Drunken Floating Life)