In the final battle of the French election, the whole West sweated for Macron

Source of this article: Cow playing the piano

Author: Cow playing the piano

On 24 April, the final battle of the French general elections was held. Whatever the outcome, it was a record.

If Macron wins, he will become the first French president in 20 years to win re-election;

If Le Pen wins, she will become the first far-right leader and the first female president of modern France.

Until the last moment, no one knew whose hand the deer had killed, but the whole West had undoubtedly pinched a handful of sweat for Macron.

After all, this is the closest election ever.

In the first round of presidential elections, Macron received 27.2% of the vote and Le Pen 23.2%. But a poll at the time showed that the second round of the showdown was likely to be: Macron 51%, Le Pen 49%.

Although Macron's approval rating has increased in recent polls, it is currently stable at more than 55%, and there is a high probability that he will win the election.

But who can rule out the unexpected?

Don't forget, when the Brexit referendum was held, Prime Minister David Cameron was also full of confidence, and the referendum would definitely veto Brexit, and the polls tended to veto it.

But the result? The Brexit referendum was passed, the EUROPEAN Union and the United Kingdom were separated, and the United Kingdom changed three prime ministers.

Also, more similarly, when Trump played Hillary Clinton, almost all polls believed that Hillary clinton must win and Trump must lose.

But the result? It was Trump who became the master of the White House. The United States is tossing itself, and it is tossing the whole world into a daze.

Now, it's France's turn.

The West is very nervous, after all, France is not an ordinary country, it is an important member of the West, and it is also the leader of Europe.

According to the Western description: Le Pen, she pursues populism, opposes immigrants and Muslims, and more importantly, she is also very pro-Russian, claiming to withdraw from NATO on the first day of coming to power.

The United States is vigilant, the West is anxious.

Macron, can you stand up to it?

A few interesting things to see.

First, the West has interfered in France's internal affairs.

Before the first round of the election on April 10, the US media revealed that the Biden administration was not only worried about Russia's interference in the French election, but also feared that if "Putin supporter" Le Pen was elected, it would shake the Western anti-Russian alliance, which would enable Russia to achieve the "biggest victory" since the Russian-Ukrainian conflict.

Note that the direct characterization of Le Pen as a "Putin supporter" and the promotion that Le Pen's election will be Putin's "biggest victory".

I don't know if such a statement is a serious interference in France's internal affairs?

Ahead of the second round of elections on April 24, German Chancellor Zollz, Spanish Prime Minister Sánchez Sanchez and Portuguese Prime Minister Costa jointly published an article in the French newspaper Le Monde, denouncing Le Pen's anti-democracy, claiming that "they want a France that upholds the common values of Europe" and that they "hope" voters will choose the path that Macron has set for France.

A rare move to directly ask for Macron and not Le Pen, which is a serious interference in France's internal affairs.

Second, turnout is particularly important.

Turnout is not expected to be too high, with perhaps 25 to 30 percent of voters forcing their vote, setting a new decades low.

These two people, neither of them wanted to choose.

But the lower the turnout, the more dangerous Macron becomes.

Therefore, Macron specifically urged the French, you don't stay at home, you have to vote, so as to avoid the bad results of the British "Brexit" referendum and Trump's victory in the election.

Here's what he said:

Think of the Days Before the Brexit referendum and the U.S. presidential election, where those Britons and Americans said, "I'm not going to vote, what's the need?" "I tell you, they regretted it the next day. If you want to avoid unimaginable situations, you have to choose for yourself.

Alas, Trump is lying on the gun again.

Of course, there is no shortage of tricks in the little horse brother. He has always been a suit and leather shoes, and recently inadvertently loosened the button of his shirt, revealing thick chest hair, which naturally became a hot spot on social media, making him easily make headlines.

Well, little margo, you really have a set, Le Pen's trick is really incomparable.

Third, Putin also lays a gun.

Trump lays down the gun, Putin lies the gun even more.

For example, according to CNN, Le Pen has a propaganda poster, which is a photo with Putin. Of course, because of the outbreak of war in Ukraine, this propaganda poster was later abandoned.

But Le Pen's relationship with Putin has become one of her most attacked weaknesses.

During the election debate, Macron attacked Le Pen for getting a loan from a Russian bank, so "when you talk to Putin, you're talking to your bank boss." ”

Le Pen argued that because neither French nor European banks gave loans, she had to turn to Russian banks. Doesn't this make the French economy a mess?

According to Westerners, the French voted with their hearts in the first round and then with their minds in the second round. CNN has advocated that if Le Pen is elected, it will have a greater negative impact than Brexit and Trump coming to power.

Considering that the Western media is almost one-sided in favor of Macron, Le Pen, who has a good relationship with Putin, is indeed a bit difficult.

Fourth, stupid, the key is the economy.

There was a famous saying in the Clinton campaign that year: Stupid, the key is the economy.

This is especially true for the French. They are indeed concerned about the Conflict between Russia and Ukraine and the Bucha Massacre, but what they are most concerned about is their own employment, rice, oil and salt, and the price issue. This is particularly sensitive in France.

The young and vigorous Macron was ambitious in carrying out reforms. But in the past few years, the yellow vest movement has made him suffer a big loss; after the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, oil and gas prices have soared, which has made the French people complain.

People's livelihood is the biggest politics. Whoever ignores it pays the price, no matter which country it is.

As a far-right leader, Le Pen is also reorienting herself, claiming to represent the neglected working class and focusing on people's livelihoods, especially the recent surge in prices. In a speech celebrating the second round, Le Pen promised that she would give France "social justice" and repair "a fractured France."

So, despite the lagging polls, Le Pen was confident. She believes that the results will prove that the polls are wrong.

Fifth, accidents can happen at any time.

The most certain thing about this world is that it is full of uncertainties.

The results of the two recent elections in Europe have disappointed the West.

In Serbia, President Vucic was easily re-elected; in Hungary, Prime Minister Orbán won another election, and they were all classified as "Putin supporters." According to the current anti-Russian atmosphere in the West, they should have been elected to power, but who knows, it turned out to be "Putin's victory."

Now, it's France's turn.

This is also the place where the West is most worried, France is not Serbia, not Hungary, France is the leader of Europe, once France turns, the entire European Union is bound to turn, then the Western pattern will completely change, and the anti-Russian alliance will split.

One Trump is enough, and then another French Trump, what to do?

The world has not seen the greatest changes in a hundred years, and the changes are continuing. Will Macron, who has already exposed his chest hair, win re-election?

Personal opinion, not on behalf of any institution!

Column Editor-in-Chief: Zhang Wu Text Editor: Song Hui Title Image Source: Xinhua News Agency Photo Editor: Cao Liyuan

Source: Author: Cow Playing the Piano