Today with a netizen to discuss which of fuel vehicles and electric vehicles is the future of the problem. He firmly believes that electric vehicles are the future direction of development, fuel vehicles will be eliminated, so now to buy a car to buy an electric vehicle; and I always believe that fuel vehicles are the dominant means of transportation in society, electric vehicles can only be used as a supplement to fuel vehicles, in the case of immature conditions, it is not recommended to buy electric vehicles. We couldn't convince each other and broke up.
People who support electric vehicles often compare the automotive industry with industries such as mobile phones and home appliances, such as smart machine replacement function machines, China's home appliances have led the world, etc., in order to prove that electric vehicles will replace fuel vehicles, and China's electric vehicles will lead the world. Regarding this analogy, I do not agree, mobile phones, home appliances are fast moving consumer goods, the price is relatively low, it is easy to replace; while the car is a durable consumer goods, the price is high, the update frequency is relatively low, the two are not comparable. People can change a mobile phone every few months, a TV or a refrigerator a year, but no one changes a car for a few months or a year, and the average service life of the car is more than ten years. So such an analogy is inappropriate and illogical.
I suddenly thought that such an analogy should be more appropriate: China's economic system is a socialist market economy, dominated by the public ownership economy, and the non-public ownership economy is a supplement to the public ownership economy. We see that the non-public ownership economy is very developed in society, but it still cannot shake the dominant position of the public ownership economy. Although the public ownership economy has shortcomings of one kind or another, and its proportion is gradually declining, it is still the cornerstone of this social stability; although the non-public ownership economy is very active, the system is more flexible, and the proportion is getting higher and higher, it cannot withstand the big storm and can only be used as a supplementary form of the public ownership economy. The development of Chinese society in recent years has also fully proved this point, and in the major undertakings involving the national economy and the people's livelihood, it is still state-owned enterprises and central enterprises that carry the banner and pick up the big beams. Now more and more people want to enter the system, want to enter state-owned enterprises, central enterprises, is to see the stability and persistence of the public ownership economy.
We can regard fuel vehicles as a public ownership economy, and electric vehicles as a non-public ownership economy. Fuel vehicles do have many shortcomings, and there are many technical bottlenecks that are temporarily difficult to overcome, but its advantage is that electric vehicles are difficult to replace, is the most stable and reliable means of transportation in this society, even if its proportion declines in the future, it must be the dominant means of transportation in this society; and electric vehicles are relatively simple in technology, and the type can also be flexible and changeable, but the short endurance, difficulty in filling energy and other shortcomings are difficult to overcome, and there are more restrictive factors, so it is impossible, Electric vehicles should not be allowed to be the dominant means of transportation in society, no matter how it develops in the future, even if it exceeds the number of fuel vehicles, it can only be a supplement to fuel vehicles, and it is impossible to completely replace fuel vehicles.
Therefore, perhaps in the future, electric vehicles will develop rapidly and the proportion will become higher and higher, but the bottom line and cornerstone of this social means of transportation must be fuel vehicles. We must look at the world, not only to see highly developed modern cities, but also to see backward villages and county towns. Let us not forget that in China, in the world, in many underdeveloped areas, electricity is still a luxury, far from reaching the level of popularity, in these areas to promote electric vehicles, is tantamount to asking for fish.