Author: Battle Flash
Lithuania is a country that really has the potential of "newborn calves are not afraid of tigers", and in the competition between big countries, the average small country avoids becoming cannon fodder. And it has been unusual, blatantly provoking China, and now it has begun to "roar" at Russia. There was a feeling of terminal illness and incurability. According to media reports, a few days ago, the Lithuanian Minister of Economic Innovation said in an interview with Taiwan media a few days ago that Lithuania is fully prepared to set up a so-called "economic and trade office" in Taiwan. The DPP authorities confirmed that they had received relevant applications from the legislative government. This is a provocation to the "one-China principle" and a posture to make a complete break with the Chinese mainland. In the case of Russia, Lithuania first cut off gas trade with Russia, and then Lithuanian Foreign Minister Landz Bergis said Lithuania would downgrade diplomatic relations with Russia and expel the Russian ambassador to Lithuania.
Offending both China and Russia, the two world powers, does not know where Lithuania's courage comes from. However, there is some support behind it, and no one supports Lithuania's estimated failure to make such a childish diplomatic move. Its blatant interference in China's internal affairs, the Chinese side will legitimately launch a certain countermeasure against it, the Ministry of Foreign Affairs has given it a certain warning, and follow-up moves are inevitable. And Russia directly stated that "retaliatory measures will be introduced soon." "If Lithuania offends China, we still have some whiplash, and the means used are most likely trade countermeasures." But offending Russia is not as simple as cutting off the gas trade, and if it continues to provoke, Russia will directly take "special military action" against it as it did against Ukraine.
Lithuanian President Nauseda recently publicly warned that Lithuania is suffering from economic stagnation, "it is difficult to find an antidote and prescription", and if the situation deteriorates, Lithuania may face economic stagnation. According to the results of a poll commissioned by the Office of the President of Lithuania, 90 percent of respondents said they were affected by rising prices for energy, fuel, food and related services. According to some analysts, the inflation in Lithuania is largely due to rising raw material and energy prices and supply disruptions. Lithuania's energy supply is still mostly dependent on Russia, and now a complete confrontation with Russia will only make its domestic economic situation "worse".
First, Lithuania is a pawn launched by the United States to test China and Russia, and only by looking at China's reaction and attitude on the Taiwan issue can it carry out its next move. This will not directly aggravate the cross-strait situation, nor will it allow China and the United States to directly turn the other cheek. For Russia, it should be for European countries to see, you see Lithuania is not afraid of threats, cut off Russia's gas trade, but also expelled Russian diplomats, you Europe should also express it. Sure enough, after Lithuania, both France and Germany expelled Russian diplomats. The follow-up diplomatic storm is likely to involve more and more countries. Hopefully, Russia will be prepared, after all, the expulsion of diplomats is already a major diplomatic event.
Second, Lithuania has no fear because it believes that the United States and Western countries will compensate Lithuania for the losses it has suffered, and even help Lithuania recover its domestic economy. In short, the Western countries can give them benefits that China and Russia cannot give. But can this speculation really be supported by the United States and the West? The answer is obvious, not possible. So far, the United States has given some loans to Lithuania, other aspects are only verbal support, and European countries have ignored it. With the United States' own priority nature, it will never contribute to Lithuania, and it will most likely abandon it decisively after using Lithuania.
Third, lithuania has so blatantly offended China and Russia that it is inevitable that its domestic economy and people's livelihood will be affected. If Lithuania could not get the support of the West, it would not be able to solve these internal problems on its own. It is likely that some demonstrations will erupt in the country, and even the downfall of Lithuania's current ruling party is not impossible. Because no matter from which point of view, Lithuania has no possibility of breaking the situation, China and Russia will inevitably counteract, and the EU will most likely stand by and watch, even in order not to sin Against China, Russia and Lithuania to draw a certain line. The United States, again, is selfish in nature and has no strong internal circulation within itself, so Lithuania is doomed to pay a price for its crazy operations, which is not as simple as a recession. All Lithuanians may be coerced by these politicians and then pay for their political manipulation.