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Reference News Network reported on March 9 that according to the Ukrainian State Network, Ukrainian President Zelenskiy's People's Servant Party issued a statement on the 8th local time saying that a new treaty should be concluded to ensure Ukraine's national security. An article published by the Ukrainian State Network pointed out that this shows that Kiev agrees to declare neutral state status.
A statement issued by Ukraine's ruling party stated that given that Ukraine is unlikely to join NATO in the next few years, a new international treaty must be concluded to replace the Budapest Memorandum and guarantee Ukraine's security by "the United States, Turkey and neighbors." The security guarantee plan proposed by the Ukrainian side also recommends that Moscow legally recognize Ukraine's state status and guarantee that "Kiev is not threatened."
Regarding other demands made by the Russian side, including the ownership of Crimea and Donbass, the People's Servant Party reportedly rejected them in a statement.
The Ukrainian government wants to be neutral? Really fake?
The War in Ukraine has been fought until now, and it is basically fixed. The so-called basic stereotype lies in three characteristics: First, the overall situation of Russia's victory has been determined. Second, the means of intervention between the United States and Europe are almost exhausted. Third, Ukraine is exhausted.
First, the overall situation of Russia's victory has been decided
The overall picture of the Russian victory has been decided, depending on three aspects:
First, Russia has acquired Ukraine's sea and air supremacy. Don't underestimate this sea and air supremacy, which is equivalent to Russia has completed the blockade of Ukraine's seas and established a no-fly zone in Ukraine's airspace. This means that in the subsequent ground war, Russia's air and space forces will play the role of the main force, the war situation will be greatly improved, and it also means that the United States and NATO will not be able to establish a no-fly zone in Ukraine.
Second, Russia has surrounded the main forces of Ukraine in the eastern region of Ukraine, although the Ukrainian army is still stubbornly resisting and refusing to surrender, but the Ukrainian army has been infighting, actually attacked the commander, and ballistic missiles hit their own people, which shows that the Ukrainian army has been divided within itself, and there is no room for fire and water. In the case of encirclement, with the concentration of Russian forces, and the cutting off of the supply lines of the Ukrainian army, the wavering of the military heart, and the despair of foreign aid, surrender or annihilation is an inevitable result.
Third, Russia began to shrink the encirclement, the Lack of strategic coordination between the Ukrainian army, divided and surrounded in various eastern cities, will inevitably face the risk of annihilation or surrender. The process of de-militarization and de-Nazismization in Ukraine will accelerate.
Second, the means of intervention between the United States and Europe have been almost exhausted
As soon as the war in Ukraine broke out, the United States publicly stated that it would not intervene militarily, but hoped for sanctions. This means that the United States and Europe lost the best time for military intervention in the early stages of the war, and in the more than ten days of the war, the United States and Europe have played all the cards against Russia, which can be said to be ineffective, but has increased the contradictions between the United States and Europe.
Russia has shouldered the three axes of the United States and Europe, and the international pressure it will face in the future will become less and less. After that, the United States and Europe began to deviate from Germany, and even split. After only ten days of war, the EU began to reflect, the Franco-German leaders took the initiative to hold video conferences with Chinese leaders, and it was rumored that China and the EU should strengthen cooperation, and even decided to sign a suspended China-EU investment agreement. This shows that the Franco-German-led European Union has begun to take a new stand on the issue of the war in Ukraine, no longer hates Russia so much, strengthens cooperation with China, and begins to say "no" more and more openly to the United States.
Thirdly, Ukraine is exhausted
From the very beginning, the War in Ukraine was doomed to defeat in Ukraine. This war is a self-defense counterattack in the eyes of Russia, a financial war in the eyes of the United States, a fox and tiger war in the eyes of the European Union, and the last most tragic thing is ukraine, that is, the European Union.
The Ukrainian government has publicly declared neutrality, which could be a delaying tactic. But from this, it can be seen that Ukraine really can't hold on. If the main forces of Ukraine are annihilated or captured, Ukraine will lose its right to compete with Russia and will have to accept Russia's coercive de-militarization and de-Nazirification process.
The true meaning of Ukrainian neutrality
The Ukrainian government, in the event that the main army is surrounded and about to be annihilated, has taken the initiative to declare national neutrality, and it is obvious that it is almost impossible to save the main force of the besieged army through this.
Russian President Vladimir Putin has argued from the outset that Ukraine must be demilitarized and de-Nazismized. Ukraine's neutrality really means de-militarization and de-Nazismization. The so-called demilitarization means that the Ukrainian army must be disbanded or reorganized, disbandment means that no army is allowed, and reorganization is to accept the command and leadership of the Russian army. The so-called de-Narcification is actually de-Americanization, and the Nazi soldiers and Nazi officials in the Ukrainian army are generally agents of the United States, and these people only accept the orders and commands of the Americans, so this part of the people must be completely eliminated, which can be regarded as de-Nazismization.
The Ukrainian government thinks that issuing a statement and writing a news report says that it is neutral is also too naïve, who believes? Don't say that the Russians don't believe it, even the Ukrainians don't believe it. Therefore, the war in Ukraine will definitely continue, because the neutrality of Ukraine is achieved by Russia, and the compulsory de-militarization and de-Nazismization are achieved, which is an irreversible process.
My judgment is that once Ukraine is forcibly de-militarized and de-Nazified, Russia will definitely reorganize the Ukrainian government and achieve Ukraine's true neutrality, while Ukraine's national defense and security will be entrusted to Russia, and Russia and Ukraine will sign an alliance. In this case, the so-called Crimea, the so-called Donbass region, may nominally belong to Ukraine. Since all of Ukraine is under Russian leadership, what about Donbass and Crimea? This may be the end of the War in Ukraine.
The tragic fate of Ukraine has also taught some countries and regions that collude with the United States and want to deal with other big powers with blood, relying on the United States to deal with such a big country as China and Russia, which is to dig their own graves and kill themselves.
Read more original articles by Long Kaifeng:
1. The War in Ukraine is a major war in the world pattern and has a bearing on China's major strategic interests
2. Long Kaifeng: The Ukrainian war is an innings, who are the praying mantis cicada catchers, who are the yellow finches behind?
3. Will the Russo-Ukrainian War be fought in 2022? Big hit, hit or hit? What is the basis for judging?
4. The War in Ukraine is a major war in the world pattern and has a bearing on China's major strategic interests
5. De-militarization and de-Nazismization of Ukraine, Russia takes roughly a month, divided into three stages
6. Russia-Belarus joint military exercises, Ukraine is facing a three-front operation, the United States is very nervous, Ukraine can not hold
7. The symbol of the establishment of the three-pole world: NATO has stopped its eastward expansion and China has liberated Taiwan