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Urbanization should have a limit, once the population of a city exceeds 20 million, then, the city will become very crowded, house prices will be very high, once a major natural disaster occurs

author:Qingzhu's investment philosophy

Urbanization should have a limit, once the population of a city exceeds 20 million, then, the city will become very crowded, housing prices will be very high, once a major natural disaster or war, plague, the big city is more dangerous than the countryside. At this time, I think the possibility of further expansion of the urban population will become very small.

Many people take the fact that one-third of Japan's population is in Tokyo to argue that people only had a future in big cities. First of all, I don't think Japan is a successful example, because the problems it is currently facing, such as the lying of young people and the decline in the birth rate, will continue for another century, and I am afraid that it will not be far from the fall of the country. Secondly, with such a large land area as China, there is no need to concentrate the population in several first-tier large cities.

For the real industry, the housing prices in first-tier cities are getting higher and higher, which has become a negative factor restricting development. In this case, the transfer of second- and third-tier cities can almost be said to be inevitable. For workers, working in first-tier cities, a lifetime income is only enough for one suite, is equivalent to lifelong waste, so as long as they can find employment opportunities in second- and third-tier cities, they will not hesitate to leave.

Living and working in peace and contentment, where we choose to live is related to where we are employed. Housing prices in Hegang are low, but people can't find jobs, and people can't stay. Why young people like to go to the south, go to the north, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, or because employment is relatively easy.

However, if the employment opportunities provided by first-tier cities can only allow workers to eat enough, can afford to rent a house and have a bed, but cannot meet the needs of workers to buy a house and marry and have children, then the outflow of workers is inevitable. Or, the laborer chooses to lie flat, live with low desire, and give up the obligation to raise offspring, which means that the regeneration of labor output is a problem, and the final result is that the supply of labor is reduced, forcing the state and the capital to increase wages and improve the treatment of workers; or the workers flow out to find jobs in cities with lower housing prices, of course, this also includes going abroad.

There is also a possibility that workers will rebel against the unreasonable housing price and remuneration system, and if it develops to that point, everyone will realize it. I think that as a socialist country, we should not allow the unbridled greed of capital, and we should not allow the working people to live without tiles.

Urbanization should have a limit, once the population of a city exceeds 20 million, then, the city will become very crowded, house prices will be very high, once a major natural disaster occurs

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