Zhang Wenhong's latest judgment: This may be the last "cold winter"

On the evening of January 15, CCTV News "Theory of Relativity" connected With Zhang Wenhong, director of the National Center for Infectious Disease Medicine and director of the Department of Infectious Diseases at Huashan Hospital affiliated to Fudan University. He made an up-to-date study of the current epidemic situation.

About vaccine effectiveness and the fourth dose

The spread of Omikeron has led to a global spike in cases, reigniting public discussion about the vaccine's role. Zhang Wenhong said that studies on including variants have shown that the new crown vaccine has a significant effect in reducing severe illness and mortality, especially the third dose of vaccine can increase antibody levels by dozens of times, "once there is a local case, we can minimize the patient's severe illness to the lowest level we can."

As for the fourth stitch, he thought it was too early to say. At present, China and the international community are mainly given three injections, and only a few countries such as Israel have recommended a fourth injection for people who are elderly and at high risk of underlying diseases. "In the future in China, I personally think that people with low immunity and advanced age may also be able to get a fourth injection. But now there is no need to be so anxious, and we can have more international experience for us to use."

The next six months of Aomi Kerong

The import risk can be very high

Recently, the domestic epidemic situation has been sporadic at many points, and according to the published circulation situation, some of them have come from relatively independent overseas imports. "In the next six months, the import risk should still be very high." Zhang Wenhong said that to further improve the quality of prevention and control, if we can run to the front of the virus through epidemic prevention, we can win the victory of each dynamic zero clearance, "I am deeply confident in this, there will be relatively big challenges in the future, we must be prepared."

In Zhang Wenhong's view, the severe illness of Omi Kerong is declining, but its toxicity can still not be ignored. At present, the international community's determination to prevent and control Omicron has been greatly reduced, and Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, recently said that in theory, everyone in the United States may be infected with Omicron. In this regard, Zhang Wenhong said: "The latest calculated case fatality rate in the United States is 0.24%, so many vaccines, the natural infection rate is so high, and there is a 0.24% case fatality rate, which is 2.4 times higher than the 0.1% of the normal seasonal flu." This means that you can't ignore it, and if you really don't do anything, it will have very serious consequences. ”

Still believe this could be

The last "winter" of the COVID-19 pandemic

"I still have a lot of confidence that the COVID-19 pandemic will end at the end of this year." Zhang Wenhong said that in principle, after the next year, whether it is the level of herd immunity, or the immune barrier established through vaccines, or the listing of new crown treatment drugs, it means that "this may be the last 'cold winter'".

Whether it's Delta or Opmiqueron, it's just that the virus has mutated. Zhang Wenhong has said that if the new crown regroups with other coronaviruses, the situation may be worse. In the connection, Zhang Wenhong further explained: "So far, this is still a very low probability event. I believe that the experience we have accumulated in the process of dealing with COVID-19, no matter what kind of mutation the virus will occur in the future, we humans will still be able to cope with it. ”

Video source: CCTV news client

In the video connection, CCTV news reporter Zhuang Shengchun also mentioned the netizens' questions to Zhang Wenhong: When the girl said that she was afraid that she would not be able to return home because of the epidemic this year, how to comfort her and cheer her up?

"Tell her it's going to be the last winter, and we'll cheer up." We believe in China, we believe in the world, there are so many people working together, we get through this cold winter, next year's Spring Festival will no longer be so cold. ”

When asked about his New Year's wishes, Zhang Wenhong replied: "I hope that next spring festival, every family can be reunited, and every pair of long-distance lovers can hug together." ”

Source: CCTV news client