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Why is it said that the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom is "impossible to succeed"? Would history change if the Taiping Army captured Beijing?

The long river of history is running endlessly, there are calm waves, there are also waves, let Xiaobian take you into history and understand history.

The Taiping Heavenly Kingdom Movement was the largest old-fashioned peasant movement in the history of the world, which originated in a remote corner of Guangxi, and two years later swept through the whole of southern China, and its 20,000 Northern Expedition divisions actually hit the city of Tianjin directly, and the troops approached the capital of the Qing Dynasty, Beijing, frightening Xianfengdu to prepare to flee in a hurry.

In fact, the occurrence of such a large-scale civil revolt basically determined that the end of this dynasty has arrived, but the Qing Dynasty lasted for sixty years, which is actually the fundamental reason is that the Qing Dynasty is different from the previous feudal dynasties, it was involved in globalization in the later period, so there are reactionary forces to support it, so that it can survive and create a self-deceptive "Tongzhi ZTE".

Why is it said that the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom is "impossible to succeed"? Would history change if the Taiping Army captured Beijing?

Of course, this is a digression, we know that in the actual history, the Northern Expedition of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom failed, and finally engaged in a north-south confrontation with the Qing Dynasty, and finally under the joint strangulation of Chinese and foreign reactionary forces, the movement failed. Let's just assume: What would happen if the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom really captured Beijing?

Many people commented that this would definitely be a huge disaster, because the leaders of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom believed in foreign religions and made a mess of the whole country, and if it controlled the whole country, the consequences would be unimaginable, and China would become a state and a state...

Is this really the case? Let's analyze it.

Why is it said that the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom is "impossible to succeed"? Would history change if the Taiping Army captured Beijing?

First of all, we must be clear that the attack on Beijing does not represent the demise of the Qing Dynasty. Look at the British and French allies, did not they also break through Beijing? As a result, the treasures of the Imperial Palace and its Yuanmingyuan were looted by the British and French forces, and the Xianfeng Emperor of the Great Qing Dynasty slipped away and took refuge in Rehe. Of course, we must know that the taiping heavenly kingdom and the purpose of the Anglo-French coalition army are not the same, the Anglo-French coalition army just wants the Qing Dynasty to submit to the soft, borrowing the Qing court's "external soft and internal strength" rule to gain the greatest benefit for themselves, and the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom wants the life of the Qing Dynasty. Therefore, if the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom had breached Beijing, it would certainly not have withdrawn, and the Qing rulers were estimated to have slipped earlier and run to Rehe, Xi'an, and even farther.

Next, let's look at the confrontation between the taiping heavenly kingdom and the Qing court at that time. There is no doubt that after the Northern Expedition of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, it occupied a certain area, and it was a rich area in Jiangnan. At this time, the Qing court officials and troops were defeated one after another, and their prestige had been greatly reduced.

The Northern Expedition of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, if Beijing is conquered at this time, it will be the first time that the Qing court has lost the capital after entering the customs, and after the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom conquered Beijing, the flag people who did not run out are estimated to be the same as the flag people in Jiangning Province.

Why is it said that the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom is "impossible to succeed"? Would history change if the Taiping Army captured Beijing?

As for who will win on both sides? We will not discuss this issue, after all, history has been fixed to end with the victory of the Qing Dynasty.

Here, let's first discuss another question: Suppose the Taiping Army captures Beijing, will the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom have the ability to establish a stable ruling order throughout the country?

From the existing history: obviously not. The historical Taiping Regime has never been truly recognized by Chinese society because of its strange ideology, and the level of governance of its state apparatus is very low (only relatively better in the later period when Li Xiucheng and others were still relatively good). Therefore, the larger the area ruled by the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom, the greater the internal ruling resistance, and the northern region of China has always been a region with strong traditional Confucian colors, and it is really difficult to say whether the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom can gain a firm foothold in this place. After all, the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom had caused the "Baocun Incident" in Zhejiang (the Gentry of Zhejiang spontaneously resisted the rule of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom).

Therefore, the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom regime is still highly likely to be overthrown, and historians estimate that its evaluation will also be discussed as a period like in history: Wang Mang's chaotic government.

What about the Qing Dynasty? The performance of the Qing Dynasty in history is much more clever than that of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom. After the two Opium Wars, the Qing Dynasty realized that the foreigners were powerful, and the Qing court immediately "relied on the foreigners to respect itself" and sold its national rights in exchange for the support of the foreigners, which was an important reason why the foreigners (foreign reactionary forces) sided with the Qing court. Shamelessness was shameless in exchange for the Qing court's traitorous power, but for maintaining reactionary rule, this may have been the only way out at that time.

Therefore, if the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom had conquered Beijing, the Qing court was expected to speed up this process, increase this intensity, give more money, make more concessions and benefits, in exchange for a greater degree of support from foreigners, and at the same time, internally, it would also increase the intensity of decentralization of power to the Han members, and strive to mobilize the Han forces based on the gentry at the grass-roots level to counterattack the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom.

Why is it said that the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom is "impossible to succeed"? Would history change if the Taiping Army captured Beijing?

In this way, the demise of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom naturally became a high-probability event. This is also the reason why most people accept that the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom Movement cannot succeed. The so-called "impossible success" does not mean that it is impossible to destroy the Qing Dynasty. In fact, from the perspective of probability, the extinction of the Qing Dynasty can be said to be an accidental event, but with the political form of the Taiping Heavenly Kingdom at that time, it was impossible to truly establish effective rule but it was a high probability event (possible event).

Well, today's sharing ends here, and we'll see you next time

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