There have been major changes in the fighting on the front line in the Donbass, Russia has successfully broken through the frontline positions to win a landmark victory, and Ukrainian officers say that they will lose the Donbas in October
Germany's "Süddeutsche Zeitung" publicly reported that although the United States, the West and Ukraine are unwilling to accept this fact, the map of the battle line clearly shows that the Russian army has broken through the Donbas front line and won a landmark victory. Regarding German media reports, the commander-in-chief of the Ukrainian army, Alexander Syrsky, also reluctantly admitted that the situation on the eastern front in Ukraine has seriously deteriorated, and the Ukrainian army was forced to retreat and reorganize its defense. Regarding the current situation of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict, Austrian military expert Markus Reisner also openly admitted that "in the worst-case scenario, there is a danger of partial collapse on the Ukrainian front." "All signs show that the conflict between Russia and Ukraine has taken a big turn.
Located on the western side of the lower Don River, Donbas covers an area of about 60,000 square kilometers, including Donetsk and Luhansk oblasts, and is a large coal mine and industrial area. The Donbas region is also the most fiercely contested area in this Russia-Ukraine conflict, and Russia does not want to seize more land in Ukraine, but only wants to control the Russian-majority areas in eastern Ukraine. In April 2014, the Ukrainian civilian armed forces announced the establishment of the "Donetsk People's Republic" and the "Luhansk People's Republic", which is also one of the important bases for Russia's military operation. Donbass was an important industrial city during the Soviet era, and it was also an industrial center after Ukraine's independence, so its strategic position is very important.
Zelensky confirmed that since April 18, the Russian army has stepped up its onslaught on the Donbas front. Russia did not adopt a rash strategy during the attack, but gave full play to its firepower advantage to continuously suppress the Ukrainian defense line. It is reported that Russia fires 4,000 to 10,000 artillery shells at the Ukrainian defense line every day, not giving the Ukrainian army any chance to repair the defense line at all. Under the dense cannon fodder cover of the Russian army, the Ukrainian officers bluntly said that they had no chance of counterattacking at all, and could only be beaten passively. The front-line soldiers of the Ukrainian army chose to flee or surrender because they could not withstand the suppression of Russian artillery, which also made Ukraine very passive.
Many soldiers in the Ukrainian army have not been rotated for more than 18 months, and their psychological defenses are on the verge of collapse. Because of the lack of troops, Zelensky issued a new decree that the normal rotation of front-line soldiers will no longer be carried out. The absolute disadvantage and the serious shortage of ammunition and supplies have led to a serious setback in the morale of the Ukrainian army. The Ukrainian commander-in-chief, against the background of the rapidly deteriorating situation on the Donbass front, can also only make the decision to retreat. At the moment, Ukraine has lost its positions on the front line in the Donbass and has been forced to retreat further away to reorganize its defenses. Can retreating solve the problem? Obviously, no, the Russian army will inevitably continue to advance in the next step. Ukrainian officials bluntly say that Ukraine will completely lose Donbass in October.
The Russian army's breakthrough through the Donbas front, which has been operated by the Ukrainian army for 10 years, is a landmark victory and a turning point in the Russian-Ukrainian conflict. Since 2014, Ukraine has been operating the Donbass front with the help of NATO. Ukraine has built a large number of fortifications on the Donbass front, many of which are solid and permanent. The Russian army broke through the frontline positions of the Ukrainian army, and also announced that the efforts of Ukraine and NATO for more than 10 years have been burned. The Russian army won a landmark victory, which also indicates that the Russian army has taken the absolute initiative on the battlefield. Of course, the more important significance is that this may become a turning point in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine, indicating that Ukraine no longer has the capacity to support it.
Half of Ukraine's chariots are lying in their nests, a large amount of food is festering, and a shortage of materials has caused a large number of wounded to be unable to receive medical treatment, and their combat effectiveness is at a historical low
A deputy brigade commander in Ukraine exclaimed that half of the armored vehicles aided by the United States and the West to Ukraine are in a state of lying on their stomachs. The American "Bradley" infantry fighting vehicle has become a live target on the Ukrainian front, which does not play any role at all and has become a joke on the battlefield. Because of the lack of corresponding maintenance equipment and the lack of system support, the tanks and armored vehicles provided by the United States and the West are basically unable to play a corresponding role on the battlefield. The core reason for half of the combat vehicles aided by the West is that Ukraine will not repair and maintain these combat vehicles at all, and at the same time, Ukraine does not have the corresponding maintenance equipment and parts. The West is also only satisfied with the amount it has done when it comes to aiding Ukraine, and does not care how much it will ultimately help.
The weather on the front line of the Russian-Ukrainian conflict is warmer, and there is no way to freeze and store the corresponding food in Ukraine due to the lack of electricity, which also leads to a large amount of food festering. There is already a shortage of supplies on the front line, and a large amount of food is festering, so Ukraine's supplies are particularly tight. Ukrainian soldiers have been fighting in harsh environments for a long time and are not guaranteed basic food, which has led to a large number of soldiers falling ill. Due to the lack of basic medical supplies, many soldiers were unable to receive timely medical treatment when they fell ill, which led to a surge in non-combat attrition. Under the heavy bombardment of Russian artillery, the Ukrainian soldiers are on the verge of collapse psychologically and physically, which has led to the combat effectiveness of the Ukrainian army at a historical low.
U.S. and Western military aid stays more on paper, and it is difficult to play a role on the front line of the Russia-Ukraine conflict, which has obviously become a joke
The United States has approved a $61 billion military aid package for Ukraine, and the US Secretary of Defense has only implemented the largest military aid to Ukraine. According to the data released by the United States, this military aid includes Patriot missiles, various types of artillery shells, anti-tank missiles and armored vehicles. On paper alone, the list of weapons and ammunition aided by the United States is quite impressive. But in reality, most of this aid is on paper, and a lot of it has become a joke. The aid provided by the United States and the West is more about completing the corresponding data, and does not care about the final effect of the aid. More than 85 percent of the $61 billion in U.S. aid remains in the United States, and Ukraine is merely a tool for U.S. money laundering.
Russia has absolute air supremacy, conducts 24-hour uninterrupted reconnaissance of US and Western military aid, and directly guides strikes when it discovers targets. Russia has destroyed more than 30 military trains from the West, destroyed 5 ammunition depots, 3 supply centers, and 4 transport and marshalling depots in Ukraine. The weapons and ammunition aided by the United States and the West were destroyed as soon as they arrived in Ukraine, which made it difficult for Western aid to play a role. Ukraine expects to rely on Western aid to change the tide of the war, but as things stand, Western aid has become a joke. Now that the Russian army has broken through the Donbas front, the next step is to directly take the entire Donbas region. At present, the outside world generally believes that Zelensky's fate is doomed, and no one can change the current situation of the war.