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Text: Xu Xu.
Edited by Xu Xu.
In a recent interview with foreign media, Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi once again mentioned China-India relations and border issues. A careful taste of his rhetoric reveals that Modi is looking forward to repairing relations between the two countries, but at the same time he has hidden concerns, revealing the complex psychology of the Indian side. Whether it is the impasse between New Delhi and Beijing, or the entanglement of the border between the two countries, Modi's information has undoubtedly aroused widespread concern and reflection. At present, Sino-Indian relations are at a critical juncture, how can the two sides break the deadlock? What is Modi's real thoughts? This article will analyze them in depth.
In the face of growing tensions between China and India, Modi could not hide his doubts. In interviews, he repeatedly stressed that India and China must "get a good grasp of the settlement" of the border issue in order to "restore peace." It can be seen that New Delhi has many concerns about Beijing and blames it on territorial disputes. Why, then, is Modi so anxious? Is the border dispute a real pain point? Or is there something else going on? The Indian government's frequent mention of the border issue actually conceals its deeper concerns.
How can this be seen? We might as well ask: Why did the bilateral situation suddenly deteriorate when Sino-Indian relations were originally in a good atmosphere? Indian strategic circles have avoided talking about this, but they have frequently pointed the finger at China, saying that it has violated the border agreement between the two countries. However, how many people know the truth? The New Delhi side is very secretive about the causes and consequences of the Galwan Valley conflict, and prefers to fabricate lies about "China's provocation" to divert attention. This raises the question of whether Modi's so-called call for a "border issue" has another purpose.
Tracing the development of China-India relations, it is not difficult to find that New Delhi has been scheming about Beijing on the border issue. In 1988, the two sides reached a consensus to separate the border dispute from other areas in order to promote the development of relations. However, India quickly reversed course and caused frequent problems in the border areas. The Indian army has repeatedly tried to annex Chinese territory in an attempt to forcibly change the so-called "Line of Actual Control". Seeing that it could not do so, New Delhi fabricated lies such as "China opposes India's entry into the permanent country" and seized the opportunity to smear China.
In fact, China has never opposed India's accession to international mechanisms such as the UN Security Council. On the contrary, we have consistently called for greater representation and voice of emerging economies in global affairs. However, India insists on turning contradictions into confrontation, ignoring the precious consensus reached between the two countries in the 80s of the last century, and openly provoking China.
What is even more speechless is that in recent years, India's high-level officials have interfered in this matter and pretended to be innocent, but instead quibbled that India-China relations have been "stable" since 1988. The logic of this statement was full of loopholes, but it was repeated over and over again, and eventually became the "theoretical support" for New Delhi's policymaking. Facts speak louder than words, and it is not difficult to see that the Indian side is the main culprit for the deterioration of Sino-Indian relations.
Analyzing the deep-seated reasons for the deterioration of Sino-Indian relations, it is not difficult to find that India's "dream of becoming a great power" plays a decisive role. India has indeed made great progress since the beginning of economic reforms in the 90s, but the gap with China is also widening. In an effort to reverse its marginalization, New Delhi has turned to China as its number one strategic rival, confronting flattery on all issues that concern China's interests.
It is precisely because of this mentality that India's China policy is so capricious. At the beginning of Modi's rise to power, India-China relations eased for a time. But soon, India turned pro-American and anti-China, making China a target for development hatred. The new defense minister, Rajanat Singh, even pointed out that China is the "number one strategic threat".
In the latest outbreak of the Ukraine crisis, India has colluded with Russia and acted as a "fellow traveler of China and Russia", intending to benefit from the chaos in Ukraine. Some commentators believe that the reason why New Delhi is so capricious is due to anxiety about China's rise and its inability to stop it.
It is not difficult to see that India has played the role of a wayward "comet" in its China policy, vacillating and adding fuel to the fire at the expense of its own interests. Such reckless actions have undoubtedly plunged Sino-Indian relations into a quagmire.
So, where will Sino-Indian relations go? If the Indian Government returns to rationality and is sincere in promoting bilateral relations, the prospects will be bright. After all, strengthening cooperation between the two countries in the fields of economy, trade, and investment will be of great benefit to promoting New Delhi's poverty alleviation and modernization. The reality, however, is that New Delhi will not change its course for a while. Constrained by domestic politics and other factors, the Modi government is likely to continue to be blunt on the China issue, and will not hesitate to deal with China at the expense of its own interests, so as to gain temporary political capital. Once this happens, China-India relations will only sink deeper and deeper, and regional and even global peace and stability will inevitably suffer negative impacts.
Some netizens believed that the Indian government has a distorted "big power mentality" and is concerned about China's continuous rise, so its China policy is frequently capricious, playing "anti-China" and "pro-China" tricks in an attempt to gain political capital on the China issue. Such an approach would be tantamount to self-defeating of the country's long-term interests.
Some netizens also believe that India's China strategy is almost blindly obedient and lacks the ability to think independently. It is undoubtedly stupid and naïve for the Indian side to blindly throw itself into the arms of the United States and other Western countries, and to demonize China on the China issue. A responsible major country should uphold an independent foreign policy, rather than blindly following others and eventually becoming a pawn to be used by others.
Some netizens believe that the Modi government's purpose of hyping up territorial disputes in Sino-Indian relations at any cost is quite simple and low-level, that is, to divert domestic contradictions and consolidate its ruling position. As a country with a large population, India has long faced severe challenges such as poverty and backwardness, and social division, and the government can reap the benefits of blindly exaggerating the "China threat theory" to channel people's anger and anxiety outward. Such a narrow and selfish approach would undoubtedly bring the danger of further isolation and marginalization for India.
On the whole, India has serious cognitive deficiencies and strategic mistakes in handling the issue of Sino-Indian relations. Only by looking at China's rise objectively and rationally and abandoning the old "India second" mentality can we establish a truly mutually beneficial and win-win partnership with China. Instead of being blunt, quick and sudden, and secretly crossing Chen Cang like now, not only will it not solve the actual problem, but it will put itself in a dangerous situation of becoming more and more marginalized.
"The wise man takes it because he thinks, and the benevolent man gets it because he does it." "There is no doubt that if the two emerging powers of China and India can cooperate sincerely, it will benefit the whole world. On the contrary, if you rest on your laurels and miss the opportunity, your regrets will be endless. We look forward to New Delhi getting rid of its misunderstandings at an early date and working hand in hand with Beijing to write a new chapter in the friendship between the two countries. So, does India really have the courage and wisdom to do so?