Just recently, the Philippine government completely denied the "gentlemen's agreement" signed between the previous government and China, and Philippine President Ferdinand Marcos even publicly stated that the current administration was not aware of any secret "gentlemen's agreement", saying that if the previous government had such an agreement, then it would have been nullified here.
Marcos and the Philippine government believe that as long as they do not recognize such an agreement, China will have no way to deal with them, but in fact, a large part of the reason why China will tolerate the Philippines' successive provocations near Scarborough Shoal and Ren'ai Jiao is because of this agreement, and since the Philippines has torn up the agreement, China naturally has no worries!
In fact, China is not afraid of the so-called alliance between the United States and the Philippines, nor is it afraid of the "U.S.-Philippines Mutual Defense Treaty", and in 2016, a large-scale conflict almost broke out in the South China Sea.
Now that China's military and economic strength are far stronger than in 2016, why should we be afraid of the declining US empire? Therefore, China's actions in the South China Sea are bound to be tougher in the future, and it will be up to the Philippines to rely on the United States when they dare to end!
The conflict between China and the Philippines in the South China Sea may intensify!
It is not difficult to see from Marcos's attitude of tearing up the agreement that the Philippines will never compromise on the South China Sea issue, and the main courage of the Philippines, a small country, dares to confront China, and it comes from the United States!
Although the United States has sent more than 10,000 people to participate in the exercise, its attitude toward the exercise is that of a careless one; not only did the amphibious landing ship originally scheduled not come at all, but the intermediate-range missile system deployed in the Philippines also became a long-range air defense system.
But the Philippines is still holding chicken feathers as an arrow to deter China, and now the Philippines is like a fox with a fake tiger, but he couldn't imagine that it was standing behind a sick tiger, and this tiger looked at the East Asian lion in his prime, his heart was actually very panicked, but just in order to maintain the majesty of the tiger, he could only forcibly take out his own forest king shelf!
What is extremely ridiculous is that the Philippines, a little fox with the scenery of a sick tiger, not only frequently challenges the lion to death, but also takes the initiative to tear up the treaty to protect the weak in the jungle.
Since the Philippines has torn up the gentlemen's agreement to protect them, then there is no need to worry about China's actions in the South China Sea, and in the face of frequent provocations by the Philippine side, the main reason why China rarely dispatches military aircraft and warships, and only relies on a few ships of the coast guard to deal with it there, is that we do not want to provoke a bigger incident, and the main reason is because of this "gentlemen's agreement".
Originally, China had made up its mind that we would not pursue your provocative actions by towing the broken ship away in accordance with the agreement, but now that the Philippines has directly reversed its word and acted as a scoundrel, then no matter how radical measures China takes, it will not be able to criticize China's behavior in terms of international public opinion!
China will step up its actions in the South China Sea!
The Philippines continues to provoke China in the South China Sea, and its most fundamental confidence lies in the "US-Philippines Mutual Defense Agreement", and the United States said that the Philippines can only activate this agreement if there are casualties!
The implication is that the conflict with China in the South China Sea must be strengthened, and it is better to ask the United States for help after the dead, then the United States must take action!
However, action does not mean that the United States must intervene in an armed conflict, the United States has given military assistance and intelligence sharing to the Philippines, and even supported the Philippines in its attitude.
The so-called mutual defense agreement on which the Philippines relies not only has a very sloppy set of contents, but also has loopholes on all sides regarding mutual defense.
If the Philippines really wants to rely on this treaty to provoke China, then the entire country of the Philippines will be defeated, and they may find out that the so-called mutual defense has given you verbal solidarity!
In 2016, China had already tested the bottom line of the United States in the South China Sea, and when China put on a posture of Armageddon, the United States would naturally admit and flee, so whether it was the Philippines or the United States, after China made up its mind, they would choose to avoid its edge, just like China recaptured Scarborough Shoal at that time!
Now that the Philippines' frequent provocations in the South China Sea have violated China's bottom line, China will definitely make big moves in the South China Sea after the US-Philippine joint military exercises.
Of course, it has been many years since the ship ran aground on Ren'ai Jiao, and the Philippines even secretly reinforced the ship with Ren'ai Jiao, and in the face of such a situation, China can only drive the people on board away, and then forcibly blow up the broken ship!
This process will certainly be difficult, but as long as China shows its determination and will, both the United States and the Philippines will stand aside in a timely manner! After all, even if the two countries join forces in the South China Sea, they are not sure that they will defeat China!