Musk said that in the future, cars will be self-driving, and riding in a car is like taking an elevator, what will be the result

Elon Musk said that almost all cars will be autonomous in the future, and there will only be a small number of manually driven cars for entertainment, just like people now keep horses not for riding but for equestrian sports;

Is this a good wish or the inevitable development of science and technology?

Musk's interpretation of the future car has caused a new round of heated discussion, but the author believes that what Musk said is not wrong at all, the driving operation of the car must be getting simpler and simpler, or the progress of science and technology is to simplify all operations.

The metaphor of the elevator is very vivid

Once upon a time there was a profession that many young women envied, and this profession was called "elevator lady", which can also be called "elevator operator". Now you can still see such characters in some film and television dramas, after people enter the elevator, the elevator lady will manually pull up the grille outside the elevator, and then ask customers one by one which floor they want to go to, and finally perform operations one by one. This profession was still very popular at that time, because the working environment was better, the work intensity was not large, and the people I came into contact with were all relatively high-quality people.

So elevator lady once became one of the most popular professions for women, but now it is almost invisible, and now only some hospital elevators still have operators, but hospital elevator operators are no longer to help carry out operations, but to control order, and there are no longer elevator operators in other scenes.

Why are the once beautiful elevator ladies unemployed?

In fact, it is not that the elevator lady is unemployed but this profession has disappeared, the reason for the disappearance of this profession is that the elevator has achieved a high degree of automation, and the operation has become simple and the operation interface is clear at a glance;

Technological advances have simplified the operation of elevators so much and their reliability has been greatly improved that a profession has disappeared.

The Hidden Concerns of Automotive Automation

Cars will definitely be driven automatically, which is not only Musk's view, but also the strategic development direction of China's auto industry. Many years ago, the new four modernizations of the automobile have made clear the strategic development plan, the initial goal is full electrification, accompanied by electrification is comprehensive networking and intelligence, and when the car becomes a real mobile digital terminal, the vehicle has greater potential commercial value, that is, the driver and crew can access the Internet normally while driving, and complete the interaction with other business links through conventional operations and special attributes of the vehicle.

If you want to make the vehicle realize the real mobile Internet, you can't focus on driving behavior, then intelligent automated driving is the basis for realizing finalization, which refers to car sharing;

The technological progress of elevator technology has made the profession of elevator lady disappear, and which professions will be made disappear by automobile automation?

There is no doubt that professional drivers will be replaced.

There is nothing wrong with technological progress, but the author always believes that technological progress should serve people, but in fact, once fully intelligent driving is realized, it will inevitably replace professional drivers; professional drivers are required to pay and various guarantees, but smart cars do not need it, they only need conventional hardware maintenance, and the maintenance cost of these smart cars for a year may be lower than the salary of professional drivers for a month.

Now from the perspective of capital analysis, the natural cause of capital to replace the driver with the machine, so the problem comes; land transport accounts for the proportion of the entire logistics transport is very high, taking the country as an example, its proportion is up to about 80%, so the number of professional drivers is very large. At its peak, there were more than 30 million truck drivers, and even now there are about 17.28 million, followed by many taxi drivers, online car-hailing drivers, bus drivers, etc., these drivers are behind a family, and the salaries of these drivers feed hundreds of millions of people.

Advances in technology may seem to have further increased productivity, but many occupations have disappeared.

The high degree of automation of production is not only carried out in the field of automobiles, automobile factories are also using a large number of robots for production, and there will even be a large number of humanoid robots in the future.

If "automation" becomes the ultimate direction of technological exploration, it is conservatively estimated that more than 90% of occupations will disappear in the future.

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