The "Iron General" Zaluzhny has a high degree of strength, the results of the Ukrainian army's two-year defense are afraid to come to naught, Poland has begun to prepare for war against Russia, and Putin will not fight a new Cold War.
Time has entered 24 years, Russia and Ukraine are still far away from the road to peace, and under the seemingly stalemate battlefield situation, there is a greater crisis. On February 3, foreign media reported that President Zelensky had decided to remove the supreme commander of the Ukrainian army, Commander-in-Chief Zaluzhny, from his post and reportedly sent him to the British Embassy for retirement. Immediately afterwards, the Minister of Defense of Poland openly stated in an interview with the media that a war with Russia cannot be ruled out at present. He also made a point of emphasizing that the Polish-Russian war was not a casual talk, but a deliberate one. The next day, the Polish Ministry of Defense issued a notice that NATO will mobilize 20,000 soldiers and 3,500 pieces of equipment for military exercises in Poland on the 25th of this month.
Zaluzhny has a sound command style, is good at delaying the Russian army in defensive battles, and can seize the opportunity of the counteroffensive, the Ukrainian army has been able to hold out for nearly two years, Zaluzhny can be said to have contributed a lot, and he has also earned the nickname "Iron General". However, the general is the most taboo about "high merit", Zaluzhny is known as "Little Maninstein" because of the counterattack in eastern Ukraine, whether it is in Ukraine or in the Western world, it is on a par with Zelensky. Zelensky was originally just an actor, and the president, who was supported by the pro-Western media, has successfully eaten in the West several times in the past two years by relying on Zaluzhny's military exploits, and to be honest, he can't recognize his own position, because of the issue of military aid, Zelensky has frequently contradicted the Biden administration, so much so that the United States has stopped military aid to Ukraine.
Against this background, it is not impossible for the West to replace an obedient "proxy" to come to power, and Zaluzhny is undoubtedly the first candidate. However, after Zaluzhny is gone, who will be able to carry the burden. Is it General Nikolai Baran, who lost Crimea? Is it Chief of Staff Shaputala, who is famous for his success in running away in the conflict between Ukraine and Eastern China? Or Lieutenant General Pavlyuk, who has a rich resume in tank forces? To be honest, after Zaluzhny left, Zelensky could not pick out an experienced commander-in-chief who had a unique understanding of both attack and defense. It is foreseeable that with the dismount of Zaluzhny, the US military aid will be cut off under Zelensky's unrealistic micro-manipulation, the Ukrainian front line will fester, and Zelensky will not be able to hold on, in fact, it is only a matter of time.
However, is the end of Ukraine's defeat? Ukraine will threaten Russia if it colludes with the United States, Poland vigorously expands its armaments, and makes no secret of its anti-Russian posture, will Putin let it threaten Russia's security in his lifetime? If the Russian-Ukrainian conflict can end within one to two years, and when the world changes, Russia will ease up a little, and Poland and the three Baltic states, which are also staunchly anti-Russian, will undoubtedly become the targets of Russia's new "special military operation."
In recent years, there is often a third world war argument, some people say that it is in the undercurrent of the East, and some people say that it is the powder keg of the Middle East, but at present, Eastern Europe is the most likely fuse, the Russian-Ukrainian conflict has completely pushed Russia and the West to the opposite side, the two sides not only lack strategic mutual trust, but also lack of security, so they can only continue to enhance military strength, and then lead to more severe military confrontation, under the premise of a huge difference in economic strength, the Cold War is a slow death for Russia, the Soviet Union is a precedent, so until Russia gets what it wants"Security", or if the West can let go of its hatred of Russia, the war will not end, and even in extreme cases, the conflict between Russia and Ukraine will eventually evolve into a third war.