National Football VS Qatar: The host 2 main forces are rested in turn, there is no advantage in the historical encounter, and there is no hope of qualifying for 3 points

Preface

Tomorrow night, the Chinese football team will face the Qatari team that has already qualified in advance in the final round of the group stage of the Asian Cup. This game is a game that must be won for the national football team in order to hope to enter the knockout stage.

However, in the face of the strong Qatar team, what are the chances of the national football team?

Let's talk about history: there is no advantage at all

The history of the confrontation between the youth team of Chinese football and Qatar can be said to be a journey full of twists and turns and regrets. Especially against Qatar, an opponent who has been a leader in Asian football in recent years, it seems that our national youth team has always struggled to find a breakthrough.

Take the 93/94 age group National Olympic team as an example, in the U23 Asian Cup eight years ago, they met Qatar in their first match. originally thought it was a close match, but it turned out to be reversed by the opponent with a score of 1-3, which was a big surprise. What is even more regrettable is that this competition is also the only time that the national Olympic team in this age group has participated in an intercontinental event at the Asian level.

Looking at the 95/96 age group, they met Qatar twice in the 2014 U19 Asian Youth Championship and the 2018 U23 Asian Cup, both of which ended in defeat. These two encounters not only put our young players under tremendous pressure, but also exposed the gap between the national youth team and their opponents at the technical, tactical and psychological levels.

Today, these players who have played against Qatar in past matches, such as Xu Xin, Xie Pengfei, Liu Binbin, Wang Qiuming, Liu Yang, Wei Shihao, Zhang Yuning and others, are still active in the Chinese Football League.

The Qatar team has also emerged a batch of outstanding young players, such as Afif, Moyez Ali, Asadala, Aladdin, Ravi, Salman and others. These players are not only highly skilled, but also have a lot of experience in the game, and they will be difficult opponents for the Chinese team.

The host's two leading stars may take turns to rest, and the national football team is hugely beneficial

Qatar coach Lopez's tactical arrangement seems to indicate that the two core players of Afif and Ali may be given a chance to rest in the next game. Such an adjustment is not surprising, after all, for the Qatar team, which has already qualified early, it is more important to protect the fitness of the main players and avoid unnecessary injuries.

At the same time, players like Assadalah and Aladdin are likely to get more appearances. This also means that the "China-Card 95 National Youth Showdown", that is, the contest between Wei Shihao and Afif, which was originally expected by the outside world, may not be staged in the final round of the group stage.

However, for the Chinese team, they are very much looking forward to Wei Shihao being able to appear as soon as possible. The young player has shown excellent performance and potential in previous matches, and his speed and breakthrough ability are much needed by the Chinese team. If Wei Shihao can play in the match against Qatar, he will become an important weapon in the offensive end of the Chinese team, bringing a huge threat to the opponent.

It is not easy to qualify for a draw, and there is no way back for the P-30%.

After the draw with Lebanon, the Chinese team did not completely lose hope of qualifying. Although the initiative to qualify is no longer completely in their own hands, as long as they defeat the host Qatar in the final round, the Chinese team can still advance to the knockout stage with their heads held high, showing the strength and fighting spirit of Chinese football.

However, Qatar are not easy to follow, and even if head coach Lopez decides to rotate tactics, the West Asian powerhouse still has a lot of quality and experience in the game. The Chinese team will need to give it their all and play at their best to have any chance of winning this game.

For the Chinese team, the biggest chance to qualify with 3 points came in the results of the match between Tajikistan and Lebanon. If these two teams fail to separate the winners, then China have a chance to secure a second place in the group with three straight draws.

Once Tajikistan and Lebanon are decided, the Chinese team will have to compete with the third place in the other group for a PK small score.

The outside world also put forward different opinions on the performance of the Chinese team. Some believe that if China can draw with Qatar, they may still have a chance to enter the round of 16 with a score of 3 points. However, judging from the results of each group from the 18th to the 20th, the possibility of qualifying by three points has become less and less.

As of 20 January, Syria in Group B, Palestine in Group C and Bahrain in Group E are all likely to finish third in the group with four points. As a result, if only the four best group finishers can qualify for the round of 16, the chances of the three-point team qualifying will be greatly reduced.

National Football Team Life and Death Match Starting Prediction:

In the training on the 20th, the wide attacker Wei Shihao, who missed the previous two rounds due to injury, has recovered and participated in the full team training. However, due to the long-term absence of the team, he is likely to be on the bench in the game on the 22nd, and become the "backhand" of coach Jankovic to improve the team's attack. It has to be said that the Chinese team was able to temporarily rank second in the group with zero goals conceded, thanks to a relatively solid defense in terms of technical and tactical aspects.

Facing a Qatari team that is known for its attack, it is still an important tactical requirement for the team to be based on defense. In this case, Wu Xi, a defender who has been substituted in the last round and performed well, is expected to return to the starting lineup in this game. As for the starters in other positions, compared to the last game, the adjustment will not be too large, and may even remain the same.