According to reports in the Times of Israel, The Washington Post and other media outlets, the Qatari side is considering a possible US request for "expelling the leaders of the Palestinian Islamic Resistance Movement (Hamas) from Doha" and is ready to accept it.
The Times of Israel reported on the 4th that a source revealed that given that the United States' "patience has been exhausted" with Hamas, unless Hamas responds "positively" to the agreement in the ceasefire negotiations, any other situation may lead the United States to formally ask Qatar to expel the organization.
According to a May 3 report by the Washington Post, U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken expressed his "U.S. position" on expelling the Hamas leader to Qatari Prime Minister and Foreign Minister Mohammed bin Abdelrahman Al Thani in April. The attitude of the United States is that if Hamas continues to refuse to reach a ceasefire agreement with Israel, Qatar should close the group's political office in Doha.
Obviously, whether Hamas can accept Israel's "conditions" and reach a "ceasefire agreement" has become a "key factor" in whether Hamas's overseas top leaders will be expelled by Qatar.
Hamas seeks a comprehensive ceasefire to end the conflict in the Gaza Strip, ensure Israel's withdrawal from Gaza, and reach an exchange agreement for detainees, Hamas Politburo leader Haniyeh said in a latest statement, according to Qatar's Al Jazeera report on May 5. However, Haniyeh's proposal was categorically rejected by the Israeli side.
On May 5, local time, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in a statement that Israel could not accept Hamas's request to "fully end the conflict in the Gaza Strip to reach a ceasefire agreement", and said: Israel will not withdraw its troops from the Gaza Strip, and Israel will not accept Hamas's rebuilding of military infrastructure in Gaza.
Some analysts have pointed out that the reason why Netanyahu rejected the latest ceasefire proposal put forward by Haniyeh is because the plan does not meet the demands of the Israeli side.
For example, Israel insisted that "the release of hostages is part of a ceasefire agreement", while Haniyeh demanded "a ceasefire followed by an exchange of detainees". For example, Israel demanded that Hamas "lay down its arms", but Haniyeh's proposal apparently did not contain such language.
To put it bluntly, even if Haniyeh and other high-level Hamas overseas officials agree to the Israeli side's "demands" in order not to be expelled by Qatar, it is impossible for Hamas military commanders such as Sinwar in the Gaza Strip to accept Israel's version of the "ceasefire agreement."
Because Sinwar and others know that if the "number of hostages" is not gathered (only 33 hostages are gathered at present), Israel will turn its face at any time, and the ceasefire agreement will be a "piece of waste paper". Moreover, Sinwar and the others knew better what the fate that awaited them once they laid down their arms. So, they showed their "position" and "attitude" with "shelling".
According to reports from a number of media in Israel and the Middle East, on May 5, local time, when negotiators sent by Hamas's overseas leadership were being mediated in Egypt, Hamas forces in the Gaza Strip used rockets to launch an attack on the Kerem Shalom area in southern Israel from the Rafah area, and the Qassam brigades have also been "claimed".
Obviously, the attitude of Sinwar and other Hamas "real power" and the Israeli side is enough to show that the chances of reaching a "comprehensive ceasefire agreement" in the Gaza Strip are slim. In other words, according to the "conditions" set by the United States, the expulsion of Haniah and other high-level Hamas overseas officials by Qatar will be a high probability event. So, where will Chania and the others go?
Just as the latest round of negotiations between Hamas and Fatah ended, Palestinian National Authority President Mahmoud Abbas issued a statement saying that he "does not accept" Hamas's participation in the Palestinian "political process", that is, Haniyeh and others will not even be able to go to the West Bank.
There are reports that after the Qatari side revealed the intention of "expelling the top Hamas officials", Haniyeh and others made contact with the Gulf state of Oman. However, some analysts believe that it is unlikely that Oman will accept Hamas. This is because Qatar is regarded as the Gulf Arab country that is "closest to Hamas", and if even Qatar wants to "drive Hamas" away, the probability of Oman receiving Hamas will be very low.
A source close to Haniyeh revealed that in fact, the place where Hamas's top overseas leaders most want to go is Jordan. However, a spokesman for the Jordanian government has hinted in a recent statement: it is impossible. Moreover, the Palestinians had "taken refuge" in Jordan, and the Jordanian royal family was almost overthrown, and to this day, the Jordanian royal family is still apprehensive, how can it be possible to accept the Palestinians again?
As for Egypt, they are not even willing to accept Palestinian refugees, and they are even better off against Palestinians than against "girlfriends," and naturally they will not "accept" Hamas, a "comrade-in-arms" of the "Egyptian Muslim Brotherhood." It is almost certain that Chania and others went to Egypt "without fun".
Since the outbreak of the current round of the Israeli-Palestinian conflict (Kazakh-Israeli conflict), Turkey has been high-profile in supporting Hamas. But "support" and "receiving" are two different things. Moreover, Erdogan, the "human spirit", may not care about Israel, but it is impossible for him not to take into account the attitude of the United States. Moreover, Turkey is not as rich as Qatar, and the "Sultan of Ethiopia", which has always pursued maximum profits, is reluctant to provide Chania with the treatment of a "seven-star hotel".
Iran is recognized as one of the "bosses" behind Hamas, but Hamas is Sunni and Iran is the Shiite "leader". Even if Iran is willing to accept Haniyeh and others, Hamas may not agree, because that will mean that Hamas will be "abandoned" by Sunni countries, and it will also mean that Hamas will be "cut off from food", because the "rich" are all in Sunni Arab countries.
If Haniyeh and others are expelled by Qatar, it means that the "Gaza Ceasefire Agreement" has not been reached, and it also means that Hamas in the Gaza Strip will be "cleared" by Israel. And if the Gaza Strip does not have a foothold for Hamas, how much use can these people in Haniyeh overseas have? Without their use, will Moscow accept them? Naturally, there is a need to put a "question mark" on it.
As for the "final destination" of Haniyeh and others, some analysts believe that it is very likely that these high-level Hamas overseas leaders will eventually have to go to Africa to "take refuge", but they may face the "hunting" of the Mossad, and it is naturally difficult to guarantee safety.
It has to be said that whether it is Haniyeh and other high-level Hamas leaders overseas, or Hamas leaders with real power such as Sinwar who remain in the Gaza Strip, they all seem to be facing a desperate situation of "no way out". Who else can "save" them?
Hamas's current predicament shows once again that in the face of absolute strength, all "skills" are futile, and the price of "hot-headedness" is "extremely high".