#实话实说#
Recently, the Philippines has been in the South China Sea, and it has been very capable of bringing in the United States to constantly build up momentum for itself! China gives people the impression that it is disdainful to take care of it, but in fact China has been prepared for a long time.
Marcos Jr. used the South China Sea to make trouble, just to increase his support in China! But this bargaining chip is not so easy to live!
Recently, there has been a bit of a difference in Philippine politics, that is, the Marcos Jr. family and the Lao Du family of the ruling coalition are particularly divided.
Lao Du You couldn't stand Marx's stirring up trouble in the South China Sea, destroying the relationship between China and the Philippines, and making his efforts over the years come to naught.
It is said that Lao Du intends to meet with him for a talk, and Marcos Jr. readily agreed.
This should be the last chance, because Lao Du's patience also has a limit, and he doesn't want to endure it anymore, and those opponents even have "black claws" on his daughter's hands!
Philippine politics watched the fire, and Lao Du couldn't bear it
In Southeast Asian politics, there are no more than two parties, one is pro-Western. The other one is not, preferring to analyze the current problem from an objective point of view.
This is the case in almost every country, it is a contest between two factions.
Vietnam experienced a major political upheaval before last year, when many pro-American factions stepped down. After taking office, he has maintained a good relationship with China, so that Vietnam's economy can develop steadily.
The same is true in the Philippines, where Mrs. Du and Mrs. Arroyo are pragmatics, and they also know that the Philippines cannot take advantage of anything in the South China Sea, and it is better to be content with the status quo than to have eggs and stones.
These people are basically capable and can gain the support of the people, so they have no intention of engaging in the South China Sea.
There are people like Aquino III and Marcos Jr., who ignore domestic economic problems and have to engage in the South China Sea.
To put it bluntly, it is just to use the South China Sea to divert domestic contradictions and maintain its own stability.
When Lao Du was president, he did a very good job, maintaining friendly exchanges with China, and the economic development of the Philippines was very good.
It is also relatively rare for the Philippine presidents to withstand the pressure of the United States and prevent the United States from interfering in Philippine affairs.
If a country allows the United States to intervene, it is basically the same as having no sovereignty. If you look at Japan, this is the best example. The United States says that if you want to go east, you will not dare to go west.
Because of this, Lao Du offended many pro-American factions in China, and after Lao Du stepped down, they began to look for trouble frantically.
In fact, Lao Du also knows in his heart that this is why he reached a political alliance with Marcos Jr., to put it bluntly, he is also seeking a guarantee for himself.
It's just that he never dreamed that this person would be so unreliable, following Lao Mei to mess around and mess up the South China Sea issue.
Now the relationship between China and the Philippines, how many years has it been regressed, it is equivalent to saying that he did it in vain in the early stage!
The opposition wanted to move the Lao Du family, but they couldn't bear it at all
Although Lao Du has retired, it does not mean that he does not care about national affairs, after all, the baby girl is the vice president of the Philippines.
In the political arena, blood relations are emphasized, and there are several large families, and Mrs. Arroyo's father is the former president of the Philippines, which is equivalent to saying that both father and daughter have been presidents.
Marcos Jr.'s father is also a former president of the Philippines, and the difficulty is that the Philippines does not exclude women from being presidents.
Lao Du's daughter and Marcos Jr. belong to a political alliance, and they are one and the same, and they should have cooperated seamlessly, but now Marcos Jr. is a little inauthentic.
Some reactionaries in China want to attack Lao Du's daughter and grasp some minor problems of others.
The 650 million Philippine pesos classified funds in the vice president's office and the Ministry of Education, which are in charge of the old Du girl, were taken away by the Philippine government, handed over to intelligence and security agencies, and misappropriated to the South China Sea to deal with China
Bullying people doesn't bring such a bullying method, this time it's a money robbery, will you arrest people directly to prison next time?
Lao Du is also unbearable for some of Marcos Jr.'s practices, and don't underestimate his influence in the Philippines and the army.
If you really wave your arms, even if you can't get things done, it's definitely a trouble.
So when he said that he wanted to talk to that person, that person quickly agreed!
This is an ancestor, if you really offend, it's definitely not a good thing!
The Philippines has a wait-and-see attitude, and ASEAN will not intervene lightly
Marcos Jr. is also a little drumming in his own heart, wanting to use the power of the United States, but he is worried that the other party will run away on his own.
For example, the USS Carl Vinson aircraft carrier of the United States always runs at critical times and does not stand up to China at all.
Counting on a broken ship that has been shelved for a long time and wants to bargain for any bargain in the South China Sea is basically tantamount to a dream!
Continuing to fight against China really provokes China, and I am afraid that no one dares to predict the consequences!
Lao Du has to continue to appease, if it is really too stiff, it must be someone else who comes forward to ease relations with China!
As for the outside, for example, ASEAN, I really can't count on it! Among ASEAN, friendly relations with China occupy the majority, and there is no need to fight with China for the sake of the Philippines!
ASEAN is not like the European Union, there are not so many nosy problems, like Myanmar has been in trouble for so long, and ASEAN does not say a single!
Among ASEAN, Indochina is closer to China. As for Indonesia and Malaysia, there is no big difference between China either!
The idea of Marco Jr. to use the power of ASEAN to counter China is almost equal to zero.
brief summary
In the Philippines, in fact, all parties are also holding a wait-and-see attitude, depending on how these two families solve this matter!!
There are also people in the military who are not satisfied with the current government, and if someone takes the opportunity to do something, it is still possible!!
Then you didn't make us rich when you became president, it's better to be in the past, why do we keep you?
The three railways planned are intended to borrow China's Belt and Road Initiative, and now they can't be built, why do we still listen to you.
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